TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 6z GFS is basically a little ending as snow for some in SNE. Euro seems the more aggressive model now, but not sure how I feel about that. Edit, I guess the Ukie did too. I'm not sure it's much to do with Zeta as it is more with the ULL in TX. That thing is getting the boot east. I’m just here for the rain... looks good for around an inch on most models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 Nice soaking rain coming, which will be welcomed. 1-2" of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 It's fine to start a thread. As if that has anything to do with the outcome. People are bored and it's an interesting look for late October. So what if it's started? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: It's fine to start a thread. As if that has anything to do with the outcome. People are bored and it's an interesting look for late October. So what if it's started? Snow butthurt is as real as the Covid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 RGEM got off the sauce I see. I didn't see the trends we are looking for overnight. Still could be some snow to end, however. We'll see what today brings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 Nice. Raining this morning and more coming. No reason for snow yet here, hope cne/nne can still grab it though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: RGEM got off the sauce I see. I didn't see the trends we are looking for overnight. Still could be some snow to end, however. We'll see what today brings. Wouldn't shock me to see a bump north today. Ensemble sensitivity showing ~60% of the variance explained by a more amplified system. So maybe models overcorrected flat and will tick back some today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 6 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Wouldn't shock me to see a bump north today. Ensemble sensitivity showing ~60% of the variance explained by a more amplified system. So maybe models overcorrected flat and will tick back some today. With the ULL in TX? Wouldn't surprise me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 24 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: We should be starting "storm" threads if the likelihood is there. Shame on you for thinking it was a snow storm thread. You are nutz "Oct 29-30 snow threat" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 50 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I sat this one out....isn't going to be major and focused on outlook Cat 2 at LF 24 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It's fine to start a thread. As if that has anything to do with the outcome. People are bored and it's an interesting look for late October. So what if it's started? It was a joke, geezuz you people need coffee and Bob needs less IPA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 40 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: This one was more like 3.5-4 days out. Ray started it Monday morning (though we added previous posts to it from the main October thread so it looks like it was started on Sunday) Anyways. This is still a threat for a few inches. What did the Euro do overnight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: You are nutz "Oct 29-30 snow threat" I didn't change the name of the thread. The original one made by Ray had no mention of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: I didn't change the name of the thread. The original one made by Ray had no mention of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 8 hours ago, PhineasC said: The hemisphere is speeding up? Tip has had good posts about how the past few years, overall, have featured a very fast flow in the N Hemisphere jet streams. Thus we have a lot of systems getting “shredded” and a lack of good timing with N/S stream phasing of storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 6 minutes ago, PhineasC said: What did the Euro do overnight? 6z is out you may see a trace Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Cat 2 at LF It was a joke, geezuz you people need coffee and Bob needs less IPA Yea, major is cat 3. Should be a decent hit. If it comes at a bad time, I will sit non majors out. Hannah I did, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said: Tip has had good posts about how the past few years, overall, have featured a very fast flow in the N Hemisphere jet streams. Thus we have a lot of systems getting “shredded” and a lack of good timing with N/S stream phasing of storms. I would have to agree with that. It does seem like the northern stream has been a high-speed buzzsaw lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 Just now, Ginx snewx said: 6z is out you may see a trace Maps? Shredded mess? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 6 minutes ago, PhineasC said: What did the Euro do overnight? This is the 06z Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 Just now, Ginx snewx said: 6z is out you may see a trace Thanks. Seems like this one is not for NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 Just now, PhineasC said: I would have to agree with that. It does seem like the northern stream has been a high-speed buzzsaw lately. Yeah, often see "record jet" posts now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 Just now, dryslot said: This is the 06z Euro Sheesh ouch for everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 Just now, dryslot said: This is the 06z Euro Ouch. She gone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 6Z Euro has lowered snowfall amounts. Speaking of snow for today's little system a light rain/snow mix just started 35.5/31F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: That's what you look like right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 The massive +AO is the main reason for the fast flow. That is what we've had the last few years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 6 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Thanks. Seems like this one is not for NNE. or SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 Those 6z runs were ugly....we're gonna need a bounce back on 12z or it's probably not much snow out of this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 10 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Sheesh ouch for everyone. It increased the qpf a bit, But its warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 Nice latent heat release from tropical storm should cook everyone from getting much snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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