• Member Statistics

    16,016
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    georgefernandis
    Newest Member
    georgefernandis
    Joined
snowlover2

June 26-29 Severe Threat

Recommended Posts

Nice. Berrien Co MI and LaPorte Co IN lakeshore getting blasted. Nice cell over northern Lake Co IN too. 

Just now, IvyBelle said:
  • WOODTV out of Grand Rapids following a couplet in Van Buren county.

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Yikes!

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
927 PM EDT Fri Jun 26 2020

The National Weather Service in Grand Rapids has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Kalamazoo County in southwestern Michigan...

* Until 1015 PM EDT.

* At 927 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Paw Paw,
  moving east at 55 mph.

  This is a very dangerous storm.

  HAZARD...85 mph wind gusts.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris
           may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile
           homes will be heavily damaged or destroyed. Homes and
           businesses will have substantial roof and window damage.
           Expect extensive tree damage and power outages.

* Locations impacted include...
  Kalamazoo...           Portage...             Vicksburg...
  Galesburg...           Mattawan...            Schoolcraft...
  Climax...              Richland...            Comstock Northwest...
  Westwood...            Gull Lake...           Alamo...
  Fulton...              Augusta...             Oshtemo...
  Comstock...            Scotts...              Cooper...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is an EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION with tornado like wind
speeds expected. Mobile homes and high profile vehicles are
especially susceptible to winds of this magnitude and may be
overturned. For your protection move to an interior room on the
lowest floor of a building. This storm has the potential to cause
serious injury and significant property damage.

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Nice full blown MCS, with multiple line segments headed into S MI and N IN. There will likely be several corridors with significant damaging winds.

Needed development a few more counties west of where it occurred for it to have been a mature MCS by the time it reached here. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Significant wind damage potential across N IN for the short term. Winds of 60-80mph likely in three distinct line segments.


.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Seems like there will be a lot of reports out of Valpo. Personally, some sub severe winds with the gust front. Tried to get a picture of the shelf cloud but it kind of snuck up on me behind the trees. Lots of rain. Not a ton of lightning. Waiting to hear about potential damage in nearby areas. 

3D01F4DF-80D3-4DA9-A583-7307EF333D1C.jpeg

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Wasn't expecting a possible watch this far south.

Quote

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1016  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
0940 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2020  
 
AREAS AFFECTED...FAR EASTERN ILLINOIS ACROSS NORTHERN  
INDIANA...SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN...AND MUCH OF OHIO.  
 
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY 307...  

 
VALID 270240Z - 270415Z  

 
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT  
 
SUMMARY...A LINE OF STORMS WHICH IS PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS FROM  
EASTERN ILLINOIS INTO SOUTH-CENTRAL MICHIGAN, AND CONTINUES TO SAG  
SOUTH. LOCAL WATCH EXTENSIONS AND/OR A DOWNSTREAM WATCH MAY BE  
NEEDED.  
 
DISCUSSION...NUMEROUS REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE AND MEASURED SEVERE  
WIND GUSTS HAVE BEEN REPORTED ALONG A LINE OF STORMS FROM EASTERN  
ILLINOIS INTO SOUTHERN MICHIGAN. MOST DAMAGING WINDS HAVE BEEN  
ASSOCIATED WITH INDIVIDUAL BOWING SEGMENTS EMBEDDED WITHIN THIS  
LINE. HOWEVER, DESPITE VERY STRONG WIND SIGNATURES ALOFT, IT DOES  
NOT APPEAR THE STRONGER (70+ KT) WINDS SAMPLED BY KIWX AT 3-4KFT ARE  
REACHING THE SURFACE BASED ON THE RECENT 52 MPH WIND GUST AT KVPZ  
WHICH WAS AT THE APEX OF THE BOWING SEGMENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE  
STRONGEST WIND SIGNATURE BASED ON RADAR. HOWEVER, THE ENVIRONMENT  
CONTINUES TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR DAMAGING WINDS AHEAD OF THIS LINE,  
AND THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR SOME OF THESE STRONGER WINDS FROM ALOFT  
TO REACH THE SURFACE.  
 
THE UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT AHEAD OF THIS LINE AND A STRENGTHENING  
LOW-LEVEL JET (NOW >50 KTS PER KIWX VWP BETWEEN 1-2 KM) SHOULD  
SUSTAIN THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WELL INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.  
THEREFORE, A DOWNSTREAM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED. THE TIMING OF A  
NEW WATCH REMAINS UNCERTAIN AS IWX CAN LOCALLY EXTEND WATCH 307 IN  
THE SHORT TERM, BUT EVENTUALLY THE LINE OF STORMS WILL REACH SOUTH  
AND EAST OF THE IWX CWA WHICH WILL LIKELY NECESSITATE A NEW WATCH IF  
SEVERE CONVECTION PERSISTS AS EXPECTED.  
 
..BENTLEY/EDWARDS.. 06/27/2020

 

mcd1016.gif

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

There will probably be quite a few more storm reports out of these sections of the line that are bowing outward.

P7aaxv4.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

A+ in the lightning department with this one. One hell of a light show and the line was pretty strong when it came through too.

  • Like 4

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
16 hours ago, RogueWaves said:

Saharan dust contributions??

I believe it's all anvil cirrus 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

That area of storms around Kankakee IL has been persistent. Looks like radar is estimating close to if not over 8" southeast of Kankakee.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 hours ago, snowlover2 said:

That area of storms around Kankakee IL has been persistent. Looks like radar is estimating close to if not over 8" southeast of Kankakee.

Someone is not going to be happy about basement flooding.

  • Sad 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
9 hours ago, bowtie` said:

Someone is not going to be happy about basement flooding.

lol, I'll own that. All good here though. Was put under a FF Warning at 4:30 yesterday...and ended up with 0.25" total. To my south and southeast, not so good though. Saw a report of 7.76" from Kentland IN. That's a lot of water, in a short amount of time.

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
29 minutes ago, Chicago WX said:

lol, I'll own that. All good here though. Was put under a FF Warning at 4:30 yesterday...and ended up with 0.25" total. To my south and southeast, not so good though. Saw a report of 7.76" from Kentland IN. That's a lot of water, in a short amount of time.

That is good to hear. Still going to have to keep the fingers crossed for a few days with that boundary meandering in the area.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Not quite in our sub, but it looks like there's a good shot at some very picturesque supercells out in northwestern IA later this afternoon/early evening.  CAMs have been adamant in developing one or two large slow moving sups in the wake if this morning's MCV.  Large cape and nice swooping hodos (albeit a bit short).  Not so sure about tor potential, but would still be great to be on those sups after they mature.  Kind of kicking myself for not being out there at the ready. :bag:

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I drove all the to South Haven waterfront to capture some footage.  Glad I went.  It was awesome.  Marine-layer shelf was so low it was almost touching the water.  Nice lightning bolts too.  The portion that hit was near the kink in the line with the stronger bowing segment / rear-inflow-jet slamming the shore just a few miles south.  Winds were still impressive, though not quite as severe as down towards Benton Harbor.  The worst wind seemed to hit directly between Benton Harbor and South Haven, but it would have been hard to find a public location to park the car with a beach view.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Editing my footage now.  Laptop is kinda old so it's taking a long time to make.  I'm guessing winds were in the 55 mph range... so just barely sub-severe.  70 mph gusts were a little south of me.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
6 hours ago, cyclone77 said:

Not quite in our sub, but it looks like there's a good shot at some very picturesque supercells out in northwestern IA later this afternoon/early evening.  CAMs have been adamant in developing one or two large slow moving sups in the wake if this morning's MCV.  Large cape and nice swooping hodos (albeit a bit short).  Not so sure about tor potential, but would still be great to be on those sups after they mature.  Kind of kicking myself for not being out there at the ready. :bag:

My apologies to the chasers in that area.  I jinxed you.

  • Haha 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.