UMB WX Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 Buried Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 lol, max stripe gonna end up 2-4 just north of stl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 Man the ukie is lights out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 Hoosier should have stayed out of this thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 UK is an easy toss, at least verbatim speaking. The weight/blend of everything usually wins this close in to an event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 definitely the bed shitter of the year imby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterStorm294 Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 GEFS are also SE. Not far off from UK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moosey2323 Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 GEFS looks a lot weaker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 DAB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 Lafayette soon to get a WSW. I have an extra. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 Overnight snow should be a plus for racking up 7 to 9 in Griffith. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michaelmantis Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 Posting this (data from 4 AM it looks like) to see these totals drop off a cliff with the 3 PM update. Even the 10% probability map had 4+ inches north of I-88 all the way across the entire state. https://www.weather.gov/lot/winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MIstorm97 Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 Seasonal trends die hard, but it plays into my benefit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 lol, that low end map, brutal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michaelmantis Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 18 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: lol, that low end map, brutal Even you ALEK would have bet some money on those odds at a casino right? :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 +800 baked out of his mind, maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 the nws offices riding the gfs yesterday when the se/weak trend was already p evident was bad enough but the longer those headlines remain, the worse is gets euro close to a shutout here now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 the nws offices riding the gfs yesterday when the se/weak trend was already p evident was bad enough but the longer those headlines remain, the worse is gets euro close to a shutout here now This one may take a bit more tact than usual to backtrack from Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 12z Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michaelmantis Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 LOTs update does not provide much insight into their thinking into how the amounts change over the area. They do mention a sharper cut off during the day on Tuesday near the IL/WI border but if any of the current models verify, there is no way this is even an advisory in the first few tier of counties in N IL right? My underlining below. Quote Headlines will be a challenge for this event, not surprising given the duration and phasing character. But in a simpler terms of snow amounts/impacts, this conceptually has the look of a high end Advisory to a low end Warning, with peak impacts Tuesday night into Wednesday morning including the cold advection winds which could cause some blowing and drifting of what has/is still falling. Stay tuned though as a lot of moving parts. https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=LOT&issuedby=LOT&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IllinoisWedges Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 We sleep. Spring soon! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 Lolz. Another one bites the dust. Theme song of this winter. There's going to be some drastic changes to snow maps and headlines come afternoon updates Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 3 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: 12z Euro LMAO!! Feel bad for local TV mets and NWS peeps. They're gonna hear a lot of complaining from the public on this one. NWS still showing 8" for the QC. Worst bust of all time hands down. (Unless there's a last minute miracle lol). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 Solid 10" spread in accums from RFD to GYY on the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 The early WSW's from DVN yesterday before noon should've never been issued. Could've waited another cycle or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 3 minutes ago, Thundersnow12 said: Solid 10" spread in accums from RFD to GYY on the Euro final calls RFD DAB- GYY 2.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 2 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: LMAO!! Feel bad for local TV mets and NWS peeps. They're gonna hear a lot of complaining from the public on this one. NWS still showing 8" for the QC. Worst bust of all time hands down. (Unless there's a last minute miracle lol). This has been a pretty substantial shift for this day in age, but I remember more frequent big busts in the 90s. One in particular (wish I could remember the exact year... could've been 1995 or 1996) when I was forecast for 7-13" (odd range I know) the day before and ended up not getting a flake or any precip for that matter. It pulled a last minute south lunge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Luftfeuchtigkeit Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 4 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: LMAO!! Feel bad for local TV mets and NWS peeps. They're gonna hear a lot of complaining from the public on this one. NWS still showing 8" for the QC. Worst bust of all time hands down. (Unless there's a last minute miracle lol). Oh man, I feel bad for them too. At least in Madison the models were already trending downward yesterday, so they've had more time to back down from the initial predictions here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 Obviously trends are very encouraging for mby but I'd be wary of a last minute bump NW. Ul trough is very dynamic and there's a lot of jet energy digging into its base which might allow for a bit more amplification than modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AWMT30 Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 Well here in the Detroit Metro we are on the upward rise... Just hope this does not fold tomorrow morning on the models... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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