40/70 Benchmark Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 00z Euro didn't look that impressive....even the Berkshires were only like 10"... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Still looks pretty far north as it has been the whole time....though given I need an electron microscope to see the details, can't tell if it trended at all. UKMET trended S a bit, but still only snows in the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Still looks pretty far north as it has been the whole time....though given I need an electron microscope to see the details, can't tell if it trended at all. At least i didn't make you get a neck cramp looking at it sideways............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 Just now, dryslot said: At least i didn't make you get a neck cramp looking at it sideways............. Not true...had to adjust my neck to see the date Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 4 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Not true...had to adjust my neck to see the date Rather the date then looking at the northeast from the south............ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 This should be easier to read.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 The uncle is ridin Ray and headed for the Pope! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: This should be easier to read.......... Low right over my driveway is never good news. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 Yeah still tracking it over New England...been doing that for a few runs now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Low right over my driveway is never good news. I don't think anyone here other then PF and logan11 would like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: 00z Euro didn't look that impressive....even the Berkshires were only like 10"... In this case I think QPF is misleading .. 500/700 track was really good. If we kept this look, no doubt QPF would increase as we go forward IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah still tracking it over New England...been doing that for a few runs now. Snow output improved, though....goose egg on 00z to 4-8" in s NH now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 Just now, ma blizzard said: In this case I think QPF is misleading .. 500/700 track was really good. If we kept this look, no doubt QPF would increase as we go forward IMO Yea, not arguing that...just a cursory clown-scan... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: 00z Euro didn't look that impressive....even the Berkshires were only like 10"... Put snow maps away. You’ll double or triple those numbers with this setup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, not arguing that...just a cursory clown-scan... Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Put snow maps away. You’ll double or triple those numbers with this setup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 I would be extremely shocked if the sfc low ended up that far north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 Just now, ma blizzard said: In this case I think QPF is misleading .. 500/700 track was really good. If we kept this look, no doubt QPF would increase as we go forward IMO Hedge high on QPF in the terrain-favored spots and hedge low in the valley shadows on this type of setup...I'd prob hedge higher in eastern areas too with that type of firehose. Even during the March 2013 firehose, models did pretty poorly on the QPF. Underestimated badly in those areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Put snow maps away. You’ll double or triple those numbers with this setup I feel like that will be a common theme this week... put everything away except the highest end progs and then expect a little better than those. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 Just now, weatherwiz said: I would be extremely shocked if the sfc low ended up that far north I would like to see the UK trend more decidedly south, though....we have seen the EURO blink a few times this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 Start at the ceiling then go to the roof rafters if needed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 UK drops 12-18" in the foothills west of PWM, near the NH border... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 3 minutes ago, powderfreak said: I feel like that will be a common theme this week... put everything away except the highest end progs and then expect a little better than those. Exactly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I would like to see the UK trend more decidedly south, though....we have seen the EURO blink a few times this season. That would certainly help with confidence here..obviously could certainly happen as there is still a large spread in wiggle room with this but seeing the GFS and Euro slowly with some ticks south is somewhat of a good sign. If the 12z euro comes in anything like the Ukie that would be a bit more concerning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: That would certainly help with confidence here..obviously could certainly happen as there is still a large spread in wiggle room with this but seeing the GFS and Euro slowly with some ticks south is somewhat of a good sign. If the 12z euro comes in anything like the Ukie that would be a bit more concerning. Yes, I like that the GFS has been trending towards this EURO, as it usually does. I use the GFS as an ensemble, essentially lol Would like to see the CMC and UK trend decidedly south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 The lack of BL resistance is allowing the models at this range to bore the low across land. Man, ...we really don't have much cold below the 800 mb and it's showing. That said, as we get closer to go time, the models may begin to hone into smaller land -vs- oceanic viscosity differences and it may end up a coastal hugger but E of ORH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 some differences showing on the EURO at 57, through looks like is digging a bit more.. we shall see.. remember the PBP back in the day as every hour printed.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 Could be a quite a bit of convection and convective elements involved...mlvl lapse rates approaching 8 with the mlvl low!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 I think peeps are wishcasting this into something it's not....probably going to be some occluded piece of crap spitting graupel under dreary skies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 I like the early ULL look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 21, 2020 Author Share Posted January 21, 2020 Just now, Whineminster said: I think peeps are wishcasting this into something it's not....probably going to be some occluded piece of crap spitting graupel under dreary skies. A lot of evidence growing that you and I get a moderate event...room to grow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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