Brian5671 Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 18 hours ago, MJO812 said: Nws Boston mentioned a possible pattern change Who cares 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 19 hours ago, Allsnow said: I feel like JB hasn’t been correct since 2015. He should probably stop with the outrageous analogs. His temp forecasts have severely busted in the last 5 years in what's a very mild pattern overall outside of Feb '15. I mean he missed a few of the months by 7+ degrees. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Moonlit Sky Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 I like stormy, snowy Marches. March 2018 was great even if it under-performed relative to the potential. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 16 minutes ago, Minenfeld! said: I like stormy, snowy Marches. March 2018 was great even if it under-performed relative to the potential. Yes 3/18 was excellent...Had 25" here that month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 Yeah but the first storm in that series was a disaster up here. The sheer number of trees down, roads blocked (and closed for days) and power out for a week was a HUGE pain in the rear. No heat for a week when the highest temperature is in the 20's sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 1 hour ago, NEG NAO said: isn't there a vendor thread ?????? Could care less what JB or this whatever ….. has to say or any of the other for hire talking heads...…. True, should be in the vendor thread, but he did make a good point about some conflicting signals moving ahead by different models that need to be resolved Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 Eps mean would make eastern North Carolina snow fans happy lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB-99 Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 44 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Eps mean would make eastern North Carolina snow fans happy lol Nice snow hole 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB-99 Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 Zip here over the next 15 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 Why not.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Moonlit Sky Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 7 hours ago, gravitylover said: Yeah but the first storm in that series was a disaster up here. The sheer number of trees down, roads blocked (and closed for days) and power out for a week was a HUGE pain in the rear. No heat for a week when the highest temperature is in the 20's sucks. True. I think we just got lucky here specifically. I don't wish damage on anyone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 9 hours ago, Allsnow said: Eps mean would make eastern North Carolina snow fans happy lol They have a legit shot at a moderate snow event. Anything to add to our misery. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 First get the cold here and then we might have some chances for snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 7 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: They have a legit shot at a moderate snow event. Anything to add to our misery. While it sucks, it does at least show that with some luck and good timing you can snow in the worst of patterns. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 16 hours ago, Allsnow said: Eps mean would make eastern North Carolina snow fans happy lol Well, most folks who move there don't like snow, so I don't think it will make them very happy.....in fact NC is a retirement destination for "half backs" people who went to FL but decided the heat was too much, and they'd rather have four seasons with no or very little snow. Course, they could get that right here this year.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 9 minutes ago, MJO812 said: First get the cold here and then we might have some chances for snow. we get some cold, but there's nothing to lock it in, so in and out it goes. Wash rinse repeat-any storms will cut to our west and we'll rain. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 31 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: we get some cold, but there's nothing to lock it in, so in and out it goes. Wash rinse repeat-any storms will cut to our west and we'll rain. Some promise from many people at the end of this month. Imagine if we get our biggest snow event in March lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Some promise from many people at the end of this month. Imagine if we get our biggest snow event in March lol. It's quite possible. A rogue storm is more than likely in March than Feb especially based on recent history. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 Just now, Brian5671 said: It's quite possible. A rogue storm is more than likely in March than Feb especially based on recent history. I give it a slim chance. Nothing is working out this winter. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 23 minutes ago, MJO812 said: I give it a slim chance. Nothing is working out this winter. I think you (nyc) will get a decent snow event before April. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB-99 Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 The cold will finally appear, the EPS is forecasting a week of -6 into the N/E by d 10. The question will be, is it just another transient period and is there anything ( snow wise ) with it ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 14 minutes ago, PB-99 said: The cold will finally appear, the EPS is forecasting a week of -6 into the N/E by d 10. The question will be, is it just another transient period and is there anything ( snow wise ) with it ? Haven’t forecasted cold or snow shots >10d been somewhat or completely reversed between 5-10d? Do you see something here any different? Not a met so genuine question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB-99 Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 19 minutes ago, ILoveWinter said: Haven’t forecasted cold or snow shots >10d been somewhat or completely reversed between 5-10d? Do you see something here any different? Not a met so genuine question. Makes sense this time 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB-99 Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 Good for S/C 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 el nino took a hit last week...oni was down to +0.1 for the week...I thought a strengthening el nino this time of year would help matters...1992-93 comes to mind...now that possibility is off the table...what else can go wrong... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 Nice hit for Eastern NC on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 49 minutes ago, PB-99 said: Makes sense this time Assuming we don’t loose it again, the first week of March is the “best” look we’ve seen since the beginning of December, which isn’t saying much at all. We are going to have to settle for a weaker -EPO than we had early last March. I have to believe this is transient with no -NAO or -AO blocks setting up to trap everything. How long the PAC stays ok is the other question. The PAC jet always seems to rage back and blast any transient EPO/PNA to pieces. Plus the SPV is still strong as hell.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB-99 Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 34 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Assuming we don’t loose it again, the first week of March is the “best” look we’ve seen since the beginning of December, which isn’t saying much at all. We are going to have to settle for a weaker -EPO than we had early last March. I have to believe this is transient with no -NAO or -AO blocks setting up to trap everything. How long the PAC stays ok is the other question. The PAC jet always seems to rage back and blast any transient EPO/PNA to pieces. Plus the SPV is still strong as hell.... Agreed. Probably just a short window. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 51 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Assuming we don’t loose it again, the first week of March is the “best” look we’ve seen since the beginning of December, which isn’t saying much at all. We are going to have to settle for a weaker -EPO than we had early last March. I have to believe this is transient with no -NAO or -AO blocks setting up to trap everything. How long the PAC stays ok is the other question. The PAC jet always seems to rage back and blast any transient EPO/PNA to pieces. Plus the SPV is still strong as hell.... March is a lot more fickle with regard to teleconnections. The rapidly shifting wavelengths can alter their signals particularly if they're very weak. And right now they're looking pretty weak to start March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 6 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: March is a lot more fickle with regard to teleconnections. The rapidly shifting wavelengths can alter their signals particularly if they're very weak. And right now they're looking pretty weak to start March. It does not change the fact that there is no high latitude blocking, a strong PAC jet, and a very strong SPV. The first week of March is very likely only transient. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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