Winter Man Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 Inb4 Alek is banned again. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 Well the last hurrah of this system sure went to crap. For such a pretty system on water vapor, it definitely isn't living up to how it looks. Lol. Lack of cold air ftw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 7 minutes ago, ChiTownStorm11 said: Inb4 Alek is banned again. Wasnt banned, just ghosted the forum. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 Alek trolling aside, something like this is a reasonable concern imo. Somebody is probably going to get screwed with how this pivots, just a matter of where. On the 18z RAP, it has the better band settling south with minimal time spent over Chicago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter Man Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 4 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Alek trolling aside, something like this is a reasonable concern imo. Somebody is probably going to get screwed with how this pivots, just a matter of where. On the 18z RAP, it has the better band settling south with minimal time spent over Chicago. Probably Alek. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 nailing calls has 'em lathered 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 7 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Alek trolling aside, something like this is a reasonable concern imo. Somebody is probably going to get screwed with how this pivots, just a matter of where. On the 18z RAP, it has the better band settling south with minimal time spent over Chicago. Loop compared to past runs. It is consistently stepping back to reality. HRRR is doing so as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 2 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: Loop compared to past runs. It is consistently stepping back to reality. HRRR is doing so as well. it better, the last thing i'm trying to do is bust high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 11 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Alek trolling aside, something like this is a reasonable concern imo. Somebody is probably going to get screwed with how this pivots, just a matter of where. On the 18z RAP, it has the better band settling south with minimal time spent over Chicago. It is also the RAP which is pretty low grade these days compared to other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter Man Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 Just now, Stebo said: It is also the RAP which is pretty low grade these days compared to other models. It's biggest achievement was nailing the NW tick during GHD I. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 plume mean down to 1.3......@ UGN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 17 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Alek trolling aside, something like this is a reasonable concern imo. Somebody is probably going to get screwed with how this pivots, just a matter of where. On the 18z RAP, it has the better band settling south with minimal time spent over Chicago. It'll be me. I've come to terms with it. Enjoying my cold rain today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 The only thing worth following on models is next week's storm. This has been a nothingburger from the start. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 1 hour ago, Stebo said: We get it, rain for downtown. You dont need to beat that horse so badly that you are making low quality posts like this. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 6 minutes ago, Jonger said: The only thing worth following on models is next week's storm. This has been a nothingburger from the start. even this guy gets it 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 42 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said: Well the last hurrah of this system sure went to crap. For such a pretty system on water vapor, it definitely isn't living up to how it looks. Lol. Lack of cold air ftw That image actually looks pretty stout. Too bad its lipstick on a pig. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter Man Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 18z NAM with a NW burbs special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 31 minutes ago, sbnwx85 said: It'll be me. I've come to terms with it. Enjoying my cold rain today. We already know that though. I'm talking about somebody coming in on the low end or less than forecast/modeled. On the 18z NAM it is more like Milwaukee instead of Chicago on the RAP. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 7 minutes ago, Hoosier said: We already know that though. I'm talking about somebody coming in on the low end or less than forecast/modeled. On the 18z NAM it is more like Milwaukee instead of Chicago on the RAP. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 55 minutes ago, Hoosier said: We already know that though. I'm talking about somebody coming in on the low end or less than forecast/modeled. On the 18z NAM it is more like Milwaukee instead of Chicago on the RAP. I've prepped for this exact situation. I'm old and have seen how this can kind of event more than likely plays out. Nice steady rain cleaning up the driveway nicely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 HRRR and RAP continue to bump back south. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 3 hours ago, Snowstorms said: EC just issued a rainfall warning for us. Gonna be a soaker tonight. As for snow, it all comes down to sfc temps. I think areas near the lake will get next to nothing. Both 12z NAM 3km and HRDPS have ~2.0" for YYZ. HRRR has nothing. What do you think? I'm not particular hopefully with the primary ul divergence/llj surge of precip to yield any snow. We might have a better shot tomorrow night with the wrapround. That being said, you up in Vaughan have a better shot than those of us closer to L Ontario. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoalCityWxMan Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 Still liking the Dekalb area for max totals based on where the band will likely pivot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 24 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: HRRR and RAP continue to bump back south. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaveNay Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 21 minutes ago, CoalCityWxMan said: Still liking the Dekalb area for max totals based on where the band will likely pivot Rockford-Dubuque-Madison driftless area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 Good pm write up out of Chicago nws Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 3 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: u just gotta take a quick glance at the radar to know the euro placement is lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 Just now, ILSNOW said: Good pm write up out of Chicago nws my favorite part was where they project ALEK may bust high..." immediate downtown may stay a rain/snow mix".... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 2 minutes ago, Baum said: my favorite part was where they project ALEK may bust high..." immediate downtown may stay a rain/snow mix".... Best in the game Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 12 minutes ago, Baum said: my favorite part was where they project ALEK may bust high..." immediate downtown may stay a rain/snow mix".... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now