yoda Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 1 minute ago, yoda said: Hmmm IWM at 81 has SLP in NC... 84 near or right over ORF at 1002mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Gfs much more souther vsV’s 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 4 hours ago, psuhoffman said: not by enough... it needs to track no further north than about the VA/NC border and stay southeast of Norfolk as it crosses that position for DC to have a chance. 18z GFS is damn close to doing just that. It still doesn’t get it done though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Better. Still not quite there yeah. But a nice shift Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Just now, stormtracker said: Better. Still not quite there yeah. But a nice shift it's wrong...trends 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Just now, stormtracker said: Better. Still not quite there yeah. But a nice shift Will be interesting to see if some decent solutions show up in the ensembles. 12z GEFS was pretty much unanimously rainers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Gfs much more souther vsV’s 12z and you take GFS bias of it not able to handle the cold........... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Gfs much more souther vsV’s 12z #southerFTW 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Just now, jaydreb said: Will be interesting to see if some decent solutions show up in the ensembles. 12z GEFS was pretty much unanimously rainers. who cares about the GEFS....them being unanimous has meant nothing to us this year that far out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Icon sniffing it out and GFS following it...interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 GFS is stronger with the coastal that develops out of tomorrow’s system. If I understand correctly that’s good news for this threat. Bingo. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Just now, Ji said: who cares about the GEFS....them being unanimous has meant nothing to us this year that far out Well the OP showing cold rain at 78 hrs has been foolproof so far as well so just lookin for some hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 If this happens then my grade for this winter goes down a full letter grade. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Just now, jaydreb said: If this happens then my grade for this winter goes down a full letter grade. mid 30's and rain while there's legit snow just north of mby would suck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 2 minutes ago, Deer Whisperer said: mid 30's and rain while there's legit snow just north of mby would suck That low is in a great spot but needs to be stronger to yank the cold air down. It tragic as is but still time as this story has not yet finished. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 2 minutes ago, BristowWx said: That low is in a great spot but needs to be stronger to yank the cold air down. It tragic as is but still time as this story has not yet finished. definitely not. i won't put too much stock in any model until Saturday evening probably Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 We do 34 degree rain better than anyone. 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Just now, Deer Whisperer said: definitely not. i won't put too much stock in any model until Saturday evening probably Right the FV3 shows what happens if it’s too far north and the Friday low is too east... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Just now, nj2va said: We do 34 degree rain better than anyone. Sounds like a good weekend to be in Garrett county. Should be a shallacking out there this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 8 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Right the FV3 shows what happens if it’s too far north and the Friday low is too east... FV3 is always too amplified. Thats why its given us 400 inches of snow this year 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 13 minutes ago, nj2va said: We do 34 degree rain better than anyone. Don't forget wind...we absolutely excel at strong winds around here! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 20 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Sounds like a good weekend to be in Garrett county. Should be a shallacking out there this weekend. Driving up tonight since we’re hosting a handful of friends for the weekend for skiing/etc. If Sunday/Monday is legit there, I’ll probably stay til Monday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Just now, nj2va said: Driving up tonight since we’re hosting a handful of friends for the weekend for skiing/etc. If Sunday/Monday is legit there, I’ll probably stay til Monday. You live a life others dream about. East track? No problem? West track? No problem. #awesomesnowsituation 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 29 minutes ago, nj2va said: We do 34 degree rain better than anyone. Unless it trends colder and we get 33 and rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 58 minutes ago, nj2va said: Driving up tonight since we’re hosting a handful of friends for the weekend for skiing/etc. If Sunday/Monday is legit there, I’ll probably stay til Monday. Stop by my house. I’ll send you on your merry way with a 6 pack. Or case. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 6 minutes ago, Scraff said: Stop by my house. I’ll send you on your merry way with a 6 pack. Or case. I’m starting to think you live at a liquor store! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 GEFS?, disappointed in this group. Guess I’ll have to stop being lazy and check for myself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 1 minute ago, BaltimoreWxGuy said: GEFS?, disappointed in this group. Guess I’ll have to stop being lazy and check for myself Pretty much unanimously shows rain for almost everyone. A few members have snow up near m/d line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Pullin for everyone to get several inches of snow and sleet! As soon as it falls, PILE IT UP! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 1 hour ago, osfan24 said: I’m starting to think you live at a liquor store! Nope. Just a beer store! Lol. Helps working for a several breweries. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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