USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 After reviewing the 00z and 6z HIRES model data, there is the potential for the Cape and Islands to receive hurricane force winds tomorrow afternoon into the evening. A powerful sub 985mb surface low will pass to the west of the region, allowing a warm front to penetrate northward into at least central new England and then allow most of SNE to warm sector. A line of potentially strong to severe storms will impact the region within the next 48 hours. These storms could produce damaging to hurricane force wind gusts as the precipitation drag occurs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 We shall dub thee, "The Pack Eater!" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
S&P Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Just another windy day here, seems like we have 40+ about 3-4 times a month without looking at data to verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 ...Sounds like the kind of weather that would make for a great novel. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 80-90kt winds at 925 over the Cape. Mix down some of that and James could end up in Canada with Frankie MacDonald. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Inverted. Yawn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Inverted. Yawn. Probably...waters are getting toward climo mins even if TAN pulls a 57/57. Over 80kt at 950 though. Date: 33 hour NAM valid 21Z THU 24 JAN 19 Station: KCQX Latitude: 41.69 Longitude: -69.99 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- LEV PRES HGHT TEMP DEWP RH DD WETB DIR SPD THETA THE-V THE-W THE-E W mb m C C % C C deg knt K K K K g/kg ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SFC 1000 -54 11.0 172 38 284.1 1 950 376 14.6 14.4 99 0.2 14.5 183 82 292.0 294.0 289.7 323.0 10.93 2 900 834 13.6 13.4 99 0.2 13.5 195 95 295.6 297.5 290.7 326.7 10.81 3 850 1315 11.5 11.3 99 0.1 11.4 207 97 298.2 300.0 290.9 327.3 9.97 4 800 1820 8.6 8.4 99 0.2 8.5 215 91 300.3 301.9 290.6 325.9 8.69 5 750 2352 5.5 5.1 97 0.4 5.2 213 79 302.5 303.9 290.1 324.5 7.34 6 700 2913 1.6 1.0 96 0.6 1.3 211 76 304.2 305.3 289.4 322.1 5.89 7 650 3507 -1.0 -1.4 97 0.4 -1.2 209 74 307.8 308.8 290.0 324.3 5.33 8 600 4143 -4.3 -5.0 95 0.6 -4.7 208 74 311.1 311.9 290.2 324.9 4.40 9 550 4824 -8.5 -9.5 92 1.0 -8.9 210 75 314.1 314.7 290.3 324.9 3.39 10 500 5557 -12.7 -14.2 89 1.5 -13.2 214 75 317.6 318.1 290.6 326.0 2.55 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 FOUS shows 32 knots in Boston. I suppose we can bump that some for the Cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 2 hours ago, dendrite said: Probably...waters are getting toward climo mins even if TAN pulls a 57/57. Over 80kt at 950 though. Date: 33 hour NAM valid 21Z THU 24 JAN 19 Station: KCQX Latitude: 41.69 Longitude: -69.99 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- LEV PRES HGHT TEMP DEWP RH DD WETB DIR SPD THETA THE-V THE-W THE-E W mb m C C % C C deg knt K K K K g/kg ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SFC 1000 -54 11.0 172 38 284.1 1 950 376 14.6 14.4 99 0.2 14.5 183 82 292.0 294.0 289.7 323.0 10.93 2 900 834 13.6 13.4 99 0.2 13.5 195 95 295.6 297.5 290.7 326.7 10.81 3 850 1315 11.5 11.3 99 0.1 11.4 207 97 298.2 300.0 290.9 327.3 9.97 4 800 1820 8.6 8.4 99 0.2 8.5 215 91 300.3 301.9 290.6 325.9 8.69 5 750 2352 5.5 5.1 97 0.4 5.2 213 79 302.5 303.9 290.1 324.5 7.34 6 700 2913 1.6 1.0 96 0.6 1.3 211 76 304.2 305.3 289.4 322.1 5.89 7 650 3507 -1.0 -1.4 97 0.4 -1.2 209 74 307.8 308.8 290.0 324.3 5.33 8 600 4143 -4.3 -5.0 95 0.6 -4.7 208 74 311.1 311.9 290.2 324.9 4.40 9 550 4824 -8.5 -9.5 92 1.0 -8.9 210 75 314.1 314.7 290.3 324.9 3.39 10 500 5557 -12.7 -14.2 89 1.5 -13.2 214 75 317.6 318.1 290.6 326.0 2.55 If we can get near 60 interior SE MA as usual has the best shot. It's tough on CC with those waters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Lets rip down some siding/shingles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 45F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 39 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: 45F Wow, still 35F downtown Greenfield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 27.8° -ZR It’s pretty slick out there. Weenies up here, please use caution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 20 minutes ago, dendrite said: 27.8° -ZR It’s pretty slick out there. Weenies up here, please use caution. Ditto that. 25.2F light freezing rain too. After a couple of below zero days the ground is super cold. My driveway is absolutely unwalkable right now. Waiting on the warm air, so close (look upwards) yet so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 48F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 “Snowbanks” are all that are left now. And I use that term generously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 34F and misty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 36 here. Deluge #11 enroute Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 30.3F -ZR continues Just went out to get gas so I don't have to do it in the morning....roads are a mess. Get those temps near 40F CON-south up here please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 35.4F here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 Rain in the winter sucks 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 I wouldn't be surprised to get some lightning strikes with this. Forecasts are underestimating the winds with this too. Places that get into the 50s will get very gusty winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 Approaching 50...off a low of 12 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 6 hours ago, Snow88 said: Rain in the winter sucks especially before and after Arctic cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 24, 2019 Author Share Posted January 24, 2019 50F here in Harwich, MA, winds today could top 70mph especially if we get any convection in a line to develop later this afternoon into the evening hours. Weakest GFS shows 85 knots at 925mb, while most other guidance shows 95mph winds sustained at 925mb and 100 knots at 850mb. GFS shows -30C temps at 800mb next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 2hr delay up here. 34° and rain now...roads still a mess in spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 Salt truck just went by. Hopefully I don’t slide downmy hill like last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 We 57F. Snow is but a distant memory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 Had a 38mph gust already. Sustained winds in the low 20s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 51 here. Snow is mostly gone already. Just patches in yards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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