CTWeatherFreak Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 14 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Sure does Just saw your 11 PM lead in.. Very nice ! Had a feeling you'd be reacting to the new runs. Cant wait to see the new numbers later in the broadcast! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 The 18Z/06z Euro hasn’t been around long enough for us to really know if it does dumb stuff like the 06 and 18Z American models do. The off hour RGEM often goes full donk mode Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Harv brought all the demarcation lines about 10 miles south. Says he feels Boston is good for about a foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 3 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Sounds like some great analysis. The only thing I understood was the poker analogy... Maybe Tip could assist here....................... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, weathafella said: Harv brought all the demarcation lines about 10 miles south. Says he feels Boston is good for about a foot. He's embracing the Jan '94 comp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 6 minutes ago, CT Rain said: The mid level change at h85 especially was remarkable on both the NAM and GFS. That's the issue really. Big difference when the 850 WF is more near the south coast vs rt 2. It was also a litttle cooler aloft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: He's embracing the Jan '94 comp. Should I tweet him that YouTube clip? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: Harv brought all the demarcation lines about 10 miles south. Says he feels Boston is good for about a foot. I mean a confident Harvey is ....tuff to beat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: He's embracing the Jan '94 comp I remember that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajisai Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 What was Jan 94 like? I was a wee lad down in Texas at the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 8 minutes ago, CT Rain said: The mid level change at h85 especially was remarkable on both the NAM and GFS. That's the issue really. Can you post your new map here.. my son is sleeping and don't want to wake him up by turning on the TV lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 If BOS gets a foot, I’ll defintely be surprised. It’s not the surface temps either. I just thought they may sleet quite a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 If these cold trends are real, it may be possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: Can you post your new map here.. my son is sleeping and don't want to wake him up by turning on the TV lol I kept the old polygons and just upped the ranges to 2-4/4-8/8-12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, CT Rain said: I kept the old polygons and just upped the ranges to 2-4/4-8/8-12 Thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, CT Rain said: I kept the old polygons and just upped the ranges to 2-4/4-8/8-12 NAM won your heart? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, MarkO said: NAM won your heart? GFs too. Those were huge jumps at mid levels. Totally different kind of storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 1 minute ago, ajisai said: What was Jan 94 like? I was a wee lad down in Texas at the time. It was mostly snow and sleet in SNE. Down here it was all sleet and major FZRA. System was more organized and longer duration like February 07. This is more just a strong southwest flow event. I don’t think there will be a big corridor with major sleet in this. I’m thinking there is an area that gets mostly snow, another that gets snow to brief sleet then relatively significant freezing rain and an area south of that which just goes snow-rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: If BOS gets a foot, I’ll defintely be surprised. It’s not the surface temps either. I just thought they may sleet quite a bit. CoastalWx vs Harvey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Harvey’s on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 UKMET will probably end up over Albany or Bermuda because that’s about what it does now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, DavisStraight said: CoatsalWx vs Harvey This was really before the 00z runs. came out. Today I wasn’t thinking 12”. That’s not easy even with these shifts, but it’s not something unattainble either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 “Sleet accumulates too just not as readily” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Harvey does seem to hedge a bit with regards to sleet near Boston. Still a lot of time left before showtime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Some of the GEFS members were way south at 18z wonder if that was a red flag Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 At least now some of you have room for those NW tics when we get to 24 hrs out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Harv still talking a change to rain down here. Still sounds like a sloppy mess for extreme SE Mass . We can hope things improve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 6 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: UKMET will probably end up over Albany or Bermuda because that’s about what it does now Uncle came south and east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Uncle looks way south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: Uncle looks way south Navgem 18z south? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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