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January 2019 Discussion II


Typhoon Tip
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6 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

I’m talking boundary level temps on Friday day for SNE. Away from elevations and central New England .  Not 850’s of -1/-2 

I see slushy coatings much more likely as of now for pike /95 area if it’s snow

I would say type of track combined with time of year supports mostly snow verses liquid now.  The BL levels are very meso dependent meaning yes, elevation, but precip intensity also where elevation is is not a primary factor.  925's will change more quickly than the 850's at this time of year.  I doubt that much warm air with that track gets that far north out side Cape and Islands maybe far Southshore.

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12 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Dude, it’s ok. We will figure this out.

Lol...no issues.  Just wanted to clarify my point from yesterday.  Lots to sort out here obviously.   Im not thinking this is some 18-24 inch deal either.....those clown maps are insane.  3-6, 4-8 if we're lucky and then a good amount of Sleet/freezing rain seems where this is at currently.  Things will change, but that's my thinking currently.

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3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Lol...no issues.  Just wanted to clarify my point from yesterday.  Lots to sort out here obviously.   Im not thinking this is some 18-24 inch deal either.....those clown maps are insane.  3-6, 4-8 if we're lucky and then a good amount of Sleet/freezing rain seems where this is at currently.  Things will change, but that's my thinking currently.

Hopefully the trends start to keep the storm more off shore where I think you can potentially get more than 3-6" or 4-8". But you are correct to play the conservative cards right now until we get closer in from now.

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