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Rjay

January 19-20th Winter Storm Threat

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3 minutes ago, snywx said:

There is an insane temp gradient just south of you. Areas near Suffern are AOA 32° while areas near Tuxedo are in the low 20s. Impressive

I’m right on the gradient. 31 here.

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Light freezing rain here now. 31 degrees. Can see hanging off everywhere. Friend of mine in Hewitt lost power an hour ago.

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Ended with a half inch of snow and sleet on the uws... now it’s a cold cold rain. The only thing that excits me besides being on overtime right now is seeing some of the large ponds that are going to form on the main lawn freeze solid tomorrow. 1’ thick ice should have some staying power

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Switched to freezing rain about 10:45.  Had 2.5" snow before changeover.

Currently moderate freezing rain and 30.2 degrees.  Just on the edge of

stark temperature gradient.  Just 15-20 miles to my northwest temperatures are in

the low 20's with freezing rain.  Starting to think ZR potential might of been underestimated by some

over NW NJ, especially Sussex county.  Tree and power line issues could big problem come daybreak.

See no obvious reason at the moment for temperatures to spike north of 80 and west of 287.

Temperatures here have been very steady last few hours.  I hope the worst of the ZR stays to my NW.

Don't want to be w/o heat with the coming cold.  Already some decent icicles forming on deck railing.

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https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=continental-conus-09-96-1-25-1&checked=map-mslp-glm_flash&colorbar=lst

 

LP moving into E PA and HP retreating NE. Looks as if my ship has in fact sunk.

 

I will eat my crow, and lots of it

@Ericjcrash as I said I would: Nice call on rain for nyc and LI.

 

 

 

 

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UPDATE: Back to the heaviest snow of the night
Located?

Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk

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3 hours ago, tdp146 said:

Started as all rain here in Seaford. 37. What happened to the rain observation/whine thread? I was all excited to post there. 

Had a little snow/sleet mix coat the ground briefly but been rain since.

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19 minutes ago, USCG RS said:

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=continental-conus-09-96-1-25-1&checked=map-mslp-glm_flash&colorbar=lst

 

LP moving into E PA and HP retreating NE. Looks as if my ship has in fact sunk.

 

I will eat my crow, and lots of it

@Ericjcrash as I said I would: Nice call on rain for nyc and LI.

 

 

 

 

It was pretty obvious for a few days now down here. The fact Liberty is already mixing just goes to show the immense warming aloft despite the low level cold which far NW has been impressive. 

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Moderate sleet in New Windsor. Lowest temperature of the event... 20.1 and still slowly dropping. Odd storm to say the least.

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It was pretty obvious for a few days now down here. The fact Liberty is already mixing just goes to show the immense warming aloft despite the low level cold which far NW has been impressive. 
Yeah. I just believed that the cold air would be strong enough to lead a non phasing storm to want to follow the temp gradient across the Cumberland gap towards the delmarva. As I noted on another board, in the loop I posted, you can see the attempt to bend toward the VA area and then close up and shoot NE.

That being said, the warmth is most definitely impressive. I will go over this storm and learn from it and hopefully be better prepared for others like it.

Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk

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5 minutes ago, sferic said:

Sleet has vanished here in Liberty, back to mod/heavy snow with 6.5 inches OTG and impressive echoes headed this way.

Strange Storm !

lib.JPG

Per dual pol that's probably sleet incoming. At least that should cement the snowpack for the foreseeable future.

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35 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said:

RJ , wish I had " whiter news " = it started to mix around an hour ago and now it looks like only rain--33 degrees and my direct TV is down due to ice and mush on my satellite dish.

how much snow?

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1 hour ago, MANDA said:

Switched to freezing rain about 10:45.  Had 2.5" snow before changeover.

Currently moderate freezing rain and 30.2 degrees.  Just on the edge of

stark temperature gradient.  Just 15-20 miles to my northwest temperatures are in

the low 20's with freezing rain.  Starting to think ZR potential might of been underestimated by some

over NW NJ, especially Sussex county.  Tree and power line issues could big problem come daybreak.

See no obvious reason at the moment for temperatures to spike north of 80 and west of 287.

Temperatures here have been very steady last few hours.  I hope the worst of the ZR stays to my NW.

Don't want to be w/o heat with the coming cold.  Already some decent icicles forming on deck railing.

20 degree something temps holding strong over northern Sussex County at this hour. We always knew this was going to be the battleline...

temperature720 (3).png

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Incredible how that triangular axis up there  in  northernmost Sussex County of Sussex/Sandyson/High Point continues to hold on to low 20's temps with this system at this hour. 

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