WinterWolf Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 22 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Not the same setup. Too early. Could be a fropa too. Lol, I love how he just glazed over and by your FROPA statement!!! Saw that coming a mile away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBinStoughton Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 19 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: As the current modeling stands, i don’t like the look. Too warm at ML for snow down this way. Lotta low level cold though so could be a crippling storm for some as shown. If there’s a major sleet storm, one could imagine a major ice storm on its fringes. Better rain than an inch of ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 maybe a little break on Saturday before the bigger snows on Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Wow what weenie runs last night. The eps looked beautiful. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 1 minute ago, Bostonseminole said: Euro is pretty long duration event starting Friday with very light snow till maybe deep into Monday. Days and days and days of snows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 3 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: KBED? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 1 minute ago, Bostonseminole said: Euro is pretty long duration event starting Friday with very light snow till maybe deep into Monday. I wouldn’t believe that long duration crap at this point...those almost never work out like that. What usually happens is you get a lil burst...then there’s a lull..and usually a big lull at that. Then you get the second part, and that is usually a let down from what we hope happens. Seen it many times, as I’m sure you have too. Just another of many more solutions to come though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 Scooter doing his thing lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 Just now, WinterWolf said: I wouldn’t believe that long duration crap at this point...those almost never work out like that. What usually happens is you get a lil burst...then there’s a lull..and usually a big lull at that. Then you get the second part, and that is usually a let down from what we hope happens. Seen it many times, as I’m sure you have too. Just another of many more solutions to come though. Lol wut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 1 hour ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Is there a website that produces point & click soundings a la College of DuPage & Tropical Tidbits, but for the FV3 GFS? I agree - it would be useful ... Considering the FV3' slated to come on line (now) once the Government appropriations thing ends ... during these testing phases, absolutely it would be nice to familiarize one with sigma level tendencies (notice I didn't say "biases" - heh). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Lol wut He’s lost Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: I agree - it would be useful ... Considering the FV3' slated to come on line (now) once the Government appropriations thing ends ... during these testing phases, absolutely it would be nice to familiarize one with sigma level tendencies (notice I didn't say "biases" - heh). You mean like this? Lol Pivotal Weather .com Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Lol wut ?? Cmon Ginx...we’ve seen this stuff a ton of times..I’m not buying 48 plus hours of precipitation wintry or not...it doesn’t usually happen like that. You get a chunk of it, it stops and does nothing for 12-24 hours, then the second batch comes through... but you can all think it’s gonna snow continually from Friday through Monday if you want. I’ll take the way under on that as of now. These solutions are gonna be all over the place as we go along. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 I wouldn’t believe that long duration crap at this point...those almost never work out like that. What usually happens is you get a lil burst...then there’s a lull..and usually a big lull at that. Then you get the second part, and that is usually a let down from what we hope happens. Seen it many times, as I’m sure you have too. Just another of many more solutions to come though. Of course 5 days out we dont believe anything, just stating what the superior model is showingSent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: He’s lost Dude your lost..you’ve been lost all winter so far.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBinStoughton Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 Just now, WinterWolf said: ?? Cmon Ginx...we’ve seen this stuff a ton of times..I’m not buying 48 plus hours of precipitation wintry or not...it doesn’t usually happen like that. You get a chunk of it, it stops and does nothing for 12-24 hours, then the second batch comes through... but you can all think it’s gonna snow continually from Friday through Monday if you want. I’ll take the way under on that as of now. These solutions are gonna be all over the place as we go along. And the second chunk either misses completely or is warmer than anticipated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 Lol sleet removed geezus how come nobody posts this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 29 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: good stuff overnight.. only 5 more days of. runs You might want to try eating some cheese. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: ?? Cmon Ginx...we’ve seen this stuff a ton of times..I’m not buying 48 plus hours of precipitation wintry or not...it doesn’t usually happen like that. You get a chunk of it, it stops and does nothing for 12-24 hours, then the second batch comes through... but you can all think it’s gonna snow continually from Friday through Monday if you want. I’ll take the way under on that as of now. These solutions are gonna be all over the place as we go along. Where were you in 1994? My lol wut was because you made zero sense with that post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 1 minute ago, Bostonseminole said: Of course 5 days out we dont believe anything, just stating what the superior model is showing Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk I know you were just stating what it showed and that’s cool. I was just saying I don’t believe the long nature continual snow/precipitation thing. I think you’ll see this evolve into more of a two part thing going forward imo. But we will see. Like scooter said..could be a FROPA too..that would throw the weenies off the Tobin for sure. The eye candy is fun..just don’t buy in to any of it st this point..good or not so good. But Just my opinion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 One lalala lock it up is balls cold is coming. Hopefully with a deep pack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 It looks like the Euro keeps all but the south coast below 0°C at 850° for the duration, while the EPS keeps everyone except ACK below. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 2 hours ago, moneypitmike said: lol at the 06z fv3 clown. I'm sure thousands have surmised similar to the following in their own imitable ways ... but, I've come to find those products to be vastly superior in art compared to their practicum in deterministic Meteorology... One thing I've noticed my self ... but don't believe I've mentioned, is that relative to all of them/sourcing, if I were to take whatever amounts indicated, and ~ halved them, that factor of 2 makes them more useful. Not in every case... as I just said, there's an element of relativity; one has to balance against in situ synoptics, along with local-studies ... In other words, an upslope/topographic boost 30" pounding on the eastern slopes of the NH Whites might show up as say 38" painted among that/those products. Though in error, that would still be in the 66 to 80 percentile, and thus acceptable and closer to useful. But, 27" on the coastal flats of Maryland? That stresses believability ... particularly relative to this particular blended synoptic evolution. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 Even 1994 had lulls in the Feb 8-11 event. Most it it fell in two pulses about 24-30 hours apart. I could see one weak pulse Friday and then the main show Sunday through early Monday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Lol wut Sometimes I just don’t know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Lol sleet removed geezus how come nobody posts this one What in the world is that? Some of these models have been going all Ron Washington on New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Lol sleet removed geezus how come nobody posts this one Beauty for CNE, NNE, and NNY. Bridge jumping for everyone in SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Even 1994 had lulls in the Feb 8-11 event. Most it it fell in two pulses about 24-30 hours apart. I could see one weak pulse Friday and then the main show Sunday through early Monday morning. Yeah those systems usually have a lull but I think they are arguing semantics. 3 days of snow to one person means "off and on snow for 3 days", while the next poster thinks it means 72 straight hours of snow one at the ASOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 1 minute ago, moneypitmike said: Beauty for CNE, NNE, and NNY. Bridge jumping for everyone in SNE. I actually think 3-5" of sleet would be pretty interesting. Doubt that's what actually happens though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Where were you in 1994? My lol wut was because you made zero sense with that post It made a ton of sense. Sure it can happen once in a great while..but that is the exception rather than the rule. But into it..maybe this time it really happens. We’ll see. Sure, I remember 94...but as I said..not the rule, and that was 25 years ago, hence my point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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