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stormtracker

Major Hurricane Florence: STORM MODE THREAD

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43 minutes ago, Jtm12180 said:

It was mostly 0.5-1.0” the whole day. It was more of a steady rain than torrential downpours for the most part 

Sort of surprising.  That yellow glob looked punishing.  I guess the biggest returns are on the feeder bands pouring off the ocean.  Thanks for the information.

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Flash Flood Warning
NCC061-133-151300-
/O.NEW.KMHX.FF.W.0018.180915T0713Z-180915T1300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
313 AM EDT SAT SEP 15 2018

...FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR DUPLIN AND ONSLOW COUNTIES...

The National Weather Service in Newport has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Southwestern Onslow County in eastern North Carolina...
  Duplin County in eastern North Carolina...

* Until 900 AM EDT.

* At 305 AM EDT, emergency management reported heavy rain from
  Tropical Storm Florence causing flash flooding across the warned
  area. Rainfall amounts of 6 to 12 inches have fallen since
  Thursday, with an additional 4 to 8 inches possible through early
  this morning. This is a life threatening situation, as numerous
  roads are already impassable, and additional heavy rains will
  threaten homes and businesses across the warned area. It is
  imperative that residents remain at home unless threatened by
  rising waters.

  This is a FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY for Duplin and Onslow counties.
This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK HIGHER GROUND NOW!

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Jacksonville, North Topsail Beach, Wallace, Warsaw, New River
  Station, Mount Olive, Rose Hill, Beulaville, Catherine Lake,
  Folkstone, Bowdens, Cypress Creek, Verona, Dixon, Beautancus,
  Kenansville, Chinquapin, Potters Hill, Harrells and Onslow Beach.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Move to higher ground now. This is an extremely dangerous and
life-threatening situation. Do not attempt to travel unless you are
fleeing an area subject to flooding or under an evacuation order.

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Move to higher ground now. Act quickly to protect your life.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

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Flash Flood Warning
NCC061-103-107-133-151300-
/O.EXT.KMHX.FF.W.0016.000000T0000Z-180915T1300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
357 AM EDT SAT SEP 15 2018

...FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF LENOIR, JONES,
ONSLOW, AND DUPLIN COUNTIES...

The National Weather Service in Newport has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Jones County in eastern North Carolina...
  Southwestern Lenoir County in eastern North Carolina...
  Northeastern Onslow County in eastern North Carolina...
  Northeastern Duplin County in eastern North Carolina...

* Until 900 AM EDT.

* At 349 AM EDT, Flash flooding is ongoing according to local
  emergency management, with heavy rain still falling across the
  warned area. Anywhere from 10 to 25 inches of rain have fallen
  across the area, with an additional 3 to 6 inches possible through
  the morning hours. This remains an extremely dangerous situation,
  and we urge all residents to remain off roadways. Only venture out
  if forced to by rising floodwaters.

  This is a FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY for portions of Jones, Lenoir,
Onslow, and Duplin counties. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS
SITUATION. SEEK HIGHER GROUND NOW!

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Jacksonville, Kinston, Pumpkin Center, Piney Green, Half Moon, Camp
  Lejeune Center, New River Station, Mount Olive, Swansboro, Phillips
  Crossroads, Hubert, Kornegay, Richlands, Deep Run, Maysville,
  Silverdale, Kellum, Midway Park, Comfort and Belgrade.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Move to higher ground now. This is an extremely dangerous and
life-threatening situation. Do not attempt to travel unless you are
fleeing an area subject to flooding or under an evacuation order.

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

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Surge taking forever to get back out with the east flow, Belhaven is a good example....before Flo I would bet the record surge in Belhaven was around 4 ft, this part of NC is a lot of low flat coastal marshes which help with surges because there is so much room for the water to spread out, the shear volume of water just to get it to 3-4 ft is crazy....well this storm pushed it to almost 7 ft and its still riding at or just above the previous highest ever recorded surge.....normally the surge would be out much faster as the typical path takes the storm north and lets winds go west which reverses the surge....hopefully the next low tide will get it under major flood stage....

blhn7_hg.png.97b424533367cb26703cbff071fceff1.png

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It will be interesting to see if the NWS can confirm for a new North Carolina state record.

 
 
41705226_2358535984163396_33743446939396
William Schmitz
2 hrs · 

Impressive CoCoRaHS North Carolina #Rain total in Swansboro, North Carolina:
Stations:
Swansboro 1.4 N 
Lat: 34.710851 
Lon: -77.129041 
Station: NC-ON-86
Date Precip in.
09/13/2018 0.01
09/14/2018 14.25
09/15/2018 16.33
Totals : 30.59 in.
Southeast Regional Climate Center(SERCC) US National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC #ncwx #Florence

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9 minutes ago, bluewave said:

It will be interesting to see if the NWS can confirm for a new North Carolina state record.

 
 
41705226_2358535984163396_33743446939396
William Schmitz
2 hrs · 

Impressive CoCoRaHS North Carolina #Rain total in Swansboro, North Carolina:
Stations:
Swansboro 1.4 N 
Lat: 34.710851 
Lon: -77.129041 
Station: NC-ON-86
Date Precip in.
09/13/2018 0.01
09/14/2018 14.25
09/15/2018 16.33
Totals : 30.59 in.
Southeast Regional Climate Center(SERCC) US National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC #ncwx #Florence

Washington Post just sent out a breaking news about this report -

Quote

/snip

11:35 a.m.: Florence breaks record in North Carolina for most rain in a single storm — 30 inches and counting

More than 30 inches of rain have fallen in North Carolina, according to preliminary reports submitted to the National Weather Service, which would shatter the statewide storm rainfall record of 24.06 inches set during Hurricane Floyd in 1999.

Flash-flood emergencies — the most critical category of flood warning — have been in effect for several counties since Friday night. Up to 50 inches of rain could fall through Sunday in southeast North Carolina, which is coming into focus as ground zero for Florence’s most devastating effects.

A citizen weather observer posted a total of 30.58 inches of rain in Swansboro, which is in Onslow County. If verified, the amount would be a state record for a tropical storm or hurricane and would shatter the old record of 24 inches — set near Wilmington during Floyd. Many locations in southeast North Carolina are likely to smash this old record by the time the rain ends.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-nation/wp/2018/09/15/hurricane-florence-storm-continues-to-pummel-carolinas/?utm_term=.b2551a2f98bf

 

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20" down and another 30" to go according to the HRRR. The only thing keeping this from being Harvey is the lower population of the area it's hitting.

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20 minutes ago, Amped said:

i37s7Qn.png

Anyone catch that storm SE of Bermuda day 10 on the Euro?   It's Florence.

Any precedent for that?  Storm hits makes a big circle and redevelops to hit again...would it still be called Florence? 

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29 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

Any precedent for that?  Storm hits makes a big circle and redevelops to hit again...would it still be called Florence? 

Hurricane Ivan did it in 2004, although the path was a bit different (and they do usually keep the same name as long as it didn't completely dissipate) -

 

hurricane-ivan-2004-at200409.gif

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25 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

Any precedent for that?  Storm hits makes a big circle and redevelops to hit again...would it still be called Florence? 

Ivan in 2004 did the same thing.

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32 minutes ago, downeastnc said:

As of noon today...some of these have to be wrong though.....New Bern was under that insane band all day yesterday they have had way more than 8.4"....

2130146808_raintotals.thumb.jpg.3c0d2e3fa69f1288444c972a9eb784d2.jpg

I've been thinking totals seem  too low too considering how long that band has been there. (or at least there has to be totals higher than those between stations)  Wonder how accurate this station is? It shows around 48 inches since thursday. 

https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?sid=RDKN7&num=72&banner=gmap&raw=0&w=325

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53 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said:

Hurricane Ivan did it in 2004, although the path was a bit different (and they do usually keep the same name as long as it didn't completely dissipate) -

 

hurricane-ivan-2004-at200409.gif

The million dollar question though... do we keep the same thread here :o

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3 minutes ago, Tibet said:

The million dollar question though... do we keep the same thread here :o

If this thread gets past 50 pages then there might be a Part Deux thread and this thread becomes obsolete. ;):P

As an update, the heavy bands have been slowly creeping southward and Wilmington looks to get under one some time this afternoon.  Definitely bad news.

 

155pm-snapshot-09152018.png

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Anyone see this? Suprised there were this many aircraft present... assuming they were airworthy, to begin with.

 

737 
NWUS52 KILM 151807
LSRILM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
207 PM EDT SAT SEP 15 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1000 AM     TROPICAL STORM   4 E MARION              34.18N  79.33W
09/15/2018                   MARION             SC   MEDIA           

            MARION COUNTY AIRPORT - 3 TO 4 HANGARS COMPLETELY 
            DESTROYED. AT LEAST 4 ROBINSON HELICOPTERS, A FIXED-WING 
            AIRPLANE, AND AN ULTRALIGHT AIRCRAFT SUSTAINED 
            SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE. DAMAGE OCCURRED BETWEEN LAST NIGHT 
            AND THIS MORNING. 


&&

CORRECTED REMARKS

EVENT NUMBER ILM1800213

$$

OLIVA

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2 hours ago, Tibet said:

Anyone see this? Suprised there were this many aircraft present... assuming they were airworthy, to begin with.

 

737 
NWUS52 KILM 151807
LSRILM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
207 PM EDT SAT SEP 15 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1000 AM     TROPICAL STORM   4 E MARION              34.18N  79.33W
09/15/2018                   MARION             SC   MEDIA           

            MARION COUNTY AIRPORT - 3 TO 4 HANGARS COMPLETELY 
            DESTROYED. AT LEAST 4 ROBINSON HELICOPTERS, A FIXED-WING 
            AIRPLANE, AND AN ULTRALIGHT AIRCRAFT SUSTAINED 
            SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE. DAMAGE OCCURRED BETWEEN LAST NIGHT 
            AND THIS MORNING. 


&&

CORRECTED REMARKS

EVENT NUMBER ILM1800213

$$

OLIVA

If it's a private airport then folks might not have the money to just move them elsewhere. 

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2 hours ago, Tibet said:

Anyone see this? Suprised there were this many aircraft present... assuming they were airworthy, to begin with.

 

737 
NWUS52 KILM 151807
LSRILM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
207 PM EDT SAT SEP 15 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1000 AM     TROPICAL STORM   4 E MARION              34.18N  79.33W
09/15/2018                   MARION             SC   MEDIA           

            MARION COUNTY AIRPORT - 3 TO 4 HANGARS COMPLETELY 
            DESTROYED. AT LEAST 4 ROBINSON HELICOPTERS, A FIXED-WING 
            AIRPLANE, AND AN ULTRALIGHT AIRCRAFT SUSTAINED 
            SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE. DAMAGE OCCURRED BETWEEN LAST NIGHT 
            AND THIS MORNING. 


&&

CORRECTED REMARKS

EVENT NUMBER ILM1800213

$$

OLIVA

That airport is the hub of McLeod Hospital's helicopter fleet. It's the only trauma center still open in this part of the state

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