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stormtracker

March 20-21 Potential - STORM MODE THREAD

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6 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

maybe we'll go with your 4-6 vice my 1-3 for our back yards.  Might, just might be too conservative after seeing the Euro.  I am thinking the Euro should be in its deadly range right now. 

My backyard is now Haymarket where it's always 2 degrees colder than Gainesville;)

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Just now, Maestrobjwa said:

And it's like 50 of those right?

51 - 50 members and a control

Around 14 or so give 10" or more for DCA

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There is still sig spread on the EPS with the CCB on Wed. That's a big wildcard and won't be fully understood until probably late tomorrow and even then. EPS across the board looks great but the real winners with be the ones under the comma on Wed. Don't expect to know exactly how that's going to break for a full 24-36 hours. 

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1 minute ago, Scraff said:

Looks like I picked the wrong week to quit drinking. LOLz. It’s finally on! Let the good times roll....

Not so fast. Just an Advisory for Montgomery County (so far).....please correct me if I’m wrong.

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Just now, MD Mad Man said:

Not so fast. Just an Advisory for Montgomery County (so far).....please correct me if I’m wrong.

Advisory for tomorrow; watch for tomorrow night Wednesday.

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1 minute ago, MD Mad Man said:

Not so fast. Just an Advisory for Montgomery County (so far).....please correct me if I’m wrong.

You have a watch as well... its inside the advisory statement -- when you read the WWA, it stated in there about teh WSW :)

 

 

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Just now, supernovasky said:

NAM rolling in. 20h the precip shield is notably bigger and in some places heavier. Sleetstorm underway.

850s slightly colder 

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52 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Watches unlikely before 12z tomorrow.

Good Call

21 minutes ago, weathercoins said:
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
342 PM EDT Mon Mar 19 2018

DCZ001-MDZ011-013-014-504-506-VAZ025>027-029-030-040-052>054-501-
506>508-200345-
/O.EXB.KLWX.WS.A.0004.180321T0400Z-180322T0000Z/
District of Columbia-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-
Anne Arundel-Central and Southeast Montgomery-
Central and Southeast Howard-Augusta-Rockingham-Shenandoah-Page-
Warren-Rappahannock-Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Fairfax-
Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Northern Fauquier-
Eastern Loudoun-Northern Virginia Blue Ridge-
Central Virginia Blue Ridge-
342 PM EDT Mon Mar 19 2018

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Heavy wet snow possible, with a total wet snow
  accumulation of 5 inches or more.

* WHERE...Metropolitan Baltimore and Washington areas, as well as
  the northern and central Shenandoah Valley.

* WHEN...From late Tuesday night through Wednesday evening.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on difficult travel conditions.
  Significant reductions in visibility are possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Watch means there is potential for significant
snow, sleet or ice accumulations that may impact travel. Continue
to monitor the latest forecasts.

 

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NAm is one hell of a sleet storm. Toss the snowmaps immediately. Surface near or below freezing and pounding sleet. That part of the storm in itself may be impressive. 

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Just now, Bob Chill said:

NAm is one hell of a sleet storm. Toss the snowmaps immediately. Surface near or below freezing and pounding sleet. That part of the storm in itself may be impressive. 

Reminds me of March last year. Seeing 7-8 hours of straight sleet.

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1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Good Call

Maybe he meant for those of us down here in Fredericksburg, haha....seriously though, hoops we can squeeze 2-4” down EZF way

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Just now, Bob Chill said:

NAm is one hell of a sleet storm. Toss the snowmaps immediately. Surface near or below freezing and pounding sleet. That part of the storm in itself may be impressive. 

Snow depth map for the sleet speaks for itself (I wonder if this is wonky itself too)

namconus_asnowd_neus_9.thumb.png.1ab4cc9d36841e6bea66ce63636e0c02.png

 

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2 minutes ago, Cobalt said:

Snow depth map for the sleet speaks for itself (I wonder if this is wonky itself too)

namconus_asnowd_neus_9.thumb.png.1ab4cc9d36841e6bea66ce63636e0c02.png

 

2-3 inches of sleet would be approximately 1" qpf.  and Northwest would be more snow. So this actually makes some sense.  That would make for interesting road conditions lol

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7 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

NAm is one hell of a sleet storm. Toss the snowmaps immediately. Surface near or below freezing and pounding sleet. That part of the storm in itself may be impressive. 

12K or 3K?

NVMD, I see the charts now.  Who cares about the 12K?

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NAM is definitely more icy out here than other guidance. But it still flips me to snow mid morning tomorrow. Then a MASSIVE dryslot through most of our area. 

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