Logan11 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 4 minutes ago, Stash said: Starting as light snow even here in the lower elevations. Still not expecting much for me. You on the other hand...enjoy! Thanks... storm of the winter no doubt. 51" on the season here to date, but the biggest event has been 6.5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Its amazing how even just some wobbles in the lobes of vorticity slinging around the ULL really have a huge impact on the firehose. That's going to be hard to predict....because like 4-6 hours difference could be pretty big sensible wx changes.AgreePosted as much earlier: small changes in handling of these vorticity lobes will have a disproportionately significant impact on outcome for eastern SNESucks that we can't rely on larger synoptic guarantee of big snowsWill be back later tonight to look at stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 7 minutes ago, CT Rain said: 45/37 here. Not what you want before a snowstorm I remember thinking that one day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 11 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: I mean brutal for ITH. Easterly LLJ downsloping off the Catskills. But they already cancelled class for tomorrow so quick check on the met departmen = Late night model checking up in bradfield Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: I remember thinking that one day It is cool though watching the temp drop from 60F to 44F now and the Td has dropped as well. Could be worse! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Just now, CT Rain said: It is cool though watching the temp drop from 60F to 44F now and the Td has dropped as well. Could be worse! 42/35 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LikesNaturesFury Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Northeast RI here, a few miles from MA border. Wind already howling here. I don't have a wind meter. But I know this house and the sounds it makes when wind is high. It has to be at least 30mph right now for me to hear what I hear now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 33 and wet snow (Temp dropped 7f in 2hrs) when it began as a sprinkle 1760' Hunter, NY Light precip Up scribner hollow road ( a weenie drive after a weenie trip) its steady light snow w a coating on grass and 32 above 1950-2000' Went as high as 2300' near east Jewett and things got dicey w snow on trees and roads A fn plastering is on the way Rooting for folks out east/home Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 The HRRR definitely erodes the warmth aloft a bit faster than other modeling, but it's in clown range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: 33 and wet snow (Temp dropped 7f in 2hrs) when it began as a sprinkle 1760' Hunter, NY Light precip Up scribner hollow road ( a weenie drive after a weenie trip) its steady light snow w a coating on grass and 32 above 1950-2000' Went as high as 2300' near east Jewett and things got dicey w snow on trees and roads A fn plastering is on the way Rooting for folks out east/home Yeah, Dendrite always says that too when he's about to rip +SN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 3 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Yeah, Dendrite always says that too when he's about to rip +SN Ya who am i kidding lol No seriously , i am so my fb Forecast verify ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 7 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: 33 and wet snow (Temp dropped 7f in 2hrs) when it began as a sprinkle 1760' Hunter, NY Light precip Up scribner hollow road ( a weenie drive after a weenie trip) its steady light snow w a coating on grass and 32 above 1950-2000' Went as high as 2300' near east Jewett and things got dicey w snow on trees and roads A fn plastering is on the way Rooting for folks out east/home Hopefully your 1997 flip phone has a camera. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LikesNaturesFury Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Wind calmer here now. Not a meteorologist. I have nothing to offer but observations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 8 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: 33 and wet snow (Temp dropped 7f in 2hrs) when it began as a sprinkle 1760' Hunter, NY Light precip Up scribner hollow road ( a weenie drive after a weenie trip) its steady light snow w a coating on grass and 32 above 1950-2000' Went as high as 2300' near east Jewett and things got dicey w snow on trees and roads A fn plastering is on the way Rooting for folks out east/home Traditionally the deepest around Hunter there will be further northeast toward the escarpment with the upslope. I'd recommend Elka Park and just north in East Jewett....if you are looking to find the deepest. I grew up at the base of the mountain in Saugertes/Catskill and as an example on 4/1/97 East Jewett got 37". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 4 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah basically on Ashland line. Are you near Hunter/Green in Sherborn? That's a good weenie spot. There's actually several good weenie spots in Sherborn with the hills and also they seem to get good CAD there. I used to live on the medway/Holliston line, Winthrop street area. My friend lived in ashland. He always got more snow and I remember times when I was rain and he was snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 1 minute ago, Logan11 said: Traditionally the deepest around Hunter there will be further northeast toward the escarpment with the upslope. I'd recommend Elka Park and just north in East Jewett....if you are looking to find the deepest. I grew up at the base of the mountain in Saugertes/Catskill and as an example on 4/1/97 East Jewett got 37". I was looking at like captains lookout inn About 10 miles North Of here on NE ridgeline @1800' . Just Drove by couple nice inns in Jewett at 2k. Ill just have to deal w what falls here lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 9 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: 33 and wet snow (Temp dropped 7f in 2hrs) when it began as a sprinkle 1760' Hunter, NY Light precip Up scribner hollow road ( a weenie drive after a weenie trip) its steady light snow w a coating on grass and 32 above 1950-2000' Went as high as 2300' near east Jewett and things got dicey w snow on trees and roads A fn plastering is on the way Rooting for folks out east/home Good for you, chasin' a big one. Take pictures! Depending on how this plays, probably gonna' drive up to Savoy Saturday to see the thumpage. Hopefully skiing B'East Sun/Mon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 8 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Ya who am i kidding lol No seriously , i am so my fb Forecast verify ha Glad you chased. I hope you are in a good spot to get buried. Have fun and stay safe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Mitch is spending the first night in his VT house at 2230feet! I hope he does well! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 The Hi-res RGEM went from 8-12" in 2 consecutive cycles over SE MA to nada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Mitch just needs the QPF in weenieland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 5 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I was looking at like captains lookout inn About 10 miles North Of here on NE ridgeline @1800' . Just Drove by couple nice inns in Jewett at 2k. Ill just have to deal w what falls here lol For the absolute deepest snow you snow shoe to the top of Blackhead Mountain on northeast escarpment...can see CT, MA and VT from there. 3900' or so elevation. trail from Big Hollow Road near Maplecrest. I'm sure this will be good in Hunter, but it can never top the 72" in late February 2010. The downside to the Catskills is they torch terribly in cutters, but that's the way it goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 3 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: The Hi-res RGEM went from 8-12" in 2 consecutive cycles over SE MA to nada. At this point, who cares. If a model is that unstable 24 hours out, wipe your a$$ with it first and ask questions later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 4 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: The Hi-res RGEM went from 8-12" in 2 consecutive cycles over SE MA to nada. Pretty much the signature of this event. Some models improve and some get worse, and by the end of the cycle it’s basically a wash. Im done trying to figure out what is going to happen. Maybe as the flip ( if it happens) closes in.. things will become clearer. This storm has been brutal though. Feels like it was a waste of time regardless of the outcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Yea I'm done tracking this. At least the snow aspect..its really pointless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: At this point, who cares. If a model is that unstable 24 hours out, wipe your a$$ with it first and ask questions later. The problem is the model may have changed a layer by like 0.5c and the snow algorithm wipes out 6” of snow due to a very subtle shift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 5 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Pretty much the signature of this event. Some models improve and some get worse, and by the end of the cycle it’s basically a wash. Im done trying to figure out what is going to happen. Maybe as the flip ( if it happens) closes in.. things will become clearer. This storm has been brutal though. Feels like it was a waste of time regardless of the outcome. Yup.. really wanted the models to get an idea with this long before now, instead of watching it swing wildly from run to run or suite to suite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 3 minutes ago, CT Rain said: The problem is the model may have changed a layer by like 0.5c and the snow algorithm wipes out 6” of snow due to a very subtle shift. Regardless....who cares. We know its that marginal, so the changes lose significance because its within the realm of noise. Personally, I'd rather sit on an oozie and rotate, than scan the assortment of meso guidance for every .3* change that will reverse next hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 I'm just so done with this event....it went from 1997, to 1,997 ways to disappoint in a 36 hour span. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 I only want the 6-12" to verify my call, otherwise I'd just assume wash it all down the drain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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