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Been getting ts force gust in the rainbands since about 2pm. Irma is loaded with water. Little over 4 inches of rain. The peak is not near for at least several more hours.

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My forecast is now 30-40mph sustained with gusts to 55.  Isolated 70mph gusts just to the east of the center. 5" of rain with isolated 8".   It hopefully doesn't disappoint.  This could be a good show for a weather nerd around here.

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1 hour ago, LithiaWx said:

My forecast is now 30-40mph sustained with gusts to 55.  Isolated 70mph gusts just to the east of the center. 5" of rain with isolated 8".   It hopefully doesn't disappoint.  This could be a good show for a weather nerd around here.

Did Brick move to Lithia? :)

I think the winds will underperform, but I guess we will see. Out and about this evening at dusk, winds were zero , but have been fairly gusty most of the day. Rain is almost on me , according to radar

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25 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

Did Brick move to Lithia? :)

I think the winds will underperform, but I guess we will see. Out and about this evening at dusk, winds were zero , but have been fairly gusty most of the day. Rain is almost on me , according to radar

She's spending a long time over land.  Makes me think those 60+ mph gusts will be hard to come by tomorrow evening.

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Things really starting to ramp of west of Orlando. Tree branches falling. Gust 50-70 range. Strong enough to push against your body. 6.6" of rain today. Several more hours till the center passes pretty close. Power still on but don't know for how long.

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Very gusty at Carolina Beach.  Gusts into the 30s easy.  You have to really compensate for variable winds when playing cornhole in these conditions! :)

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In the old Eye. Gust have been 90 plus easily. Doppler radar estimates 10 inches. Rain gauge got destroyed. Numberous branches down. Power been out for about an hour. Looks to be drawling near a close with the rain.

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9 hours ago, LithiaWx said:

She's spending a long time over land.  Makes me think those 60+ mph gusts will be hard to come by tomorrow evening.

Its tough to say the 850's are still up so you weenies have a chance.....keep a eye downstream. they getting gust to 60 close to the core, you should see least 40-50 if she keeps this heading longer.

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41 minutes ago, downeastnc said:

Its tough to say the 850's are still up so you weenies have a chance.....keep a eye downstream. they getting gust to 60 close to the core, you should see least 40-50 if she keeps this heading longer.

NWS bumped my wind speeds back up a bit.  The core is going to pass just to my SW this evening.  If only the radar looked like this during a winter storm!

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23 minutes ago, LithiaWx said:

NWS bumped my wind speeds back up a bit.  The core is going to pass just to my SW this evening.  If only the radar looked like this during a winter storm!

Radar is ridiculous. Rain from Mobile to Wilmington 

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Just had a gust to 37mph. My problem is i have a large field to my north, northeast, and east so there is nothing to slow easterly winds and they are already gusting high. About as expected though as the models showed winds really starting to pick up by 9 to 10am. 

.  Euro still showing silly high gusts which i think are over done somewhat..and current observations support that. So i'd go with the gfs.  Gfs and nam soundings showing 55 to 60 knot winds at 925 to 950mb...so widespread and frequent gusts of 55 to 65mph seem likely....possibly as high as  70 somewhere if strong enough convection occurs. 

So to show how little it really matters where the actual center goes, the gfs shows the highest gusts over south carolina. In fact the nam and gfs both are showing the highest 925mb to 950mb winds over sc the past few runs. Considering there will be stronger convection in south carolina that could bring those winds to the surface, wouldn't be shocked if some of the top gusts occur in sc. 

 

 NAM_221_2017091106_F12_WSPD_925_MB.png

 

GFS_3_2017091106_F12_WSPD_925_MB.png

us_model-en-087-0_modusa_2017091106_14_508_377.png

us_model-en-087-0_modusa_2017091106_15_508_377.png

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Rain at an inch an hour, gusts 50-60ish and these spin ups are no joke   :lol:     The sound of a jet engine has been steady since about 5ish and the clouds are whipping by. High tide is in a couple of hrs and will be higher than it was during Matthew. Hunting Island lighthouse/north/south beach has been under water since yesterday :(  

 

Under a flash flood warning, tornado watch(periodic warnings) and my power just came back on :wub: 

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Moderate rain, winds in the mid-20s gusting into the 40s. Sitting around 75 right now. Over the last couple of hours we've gone up about 10 degrees when the tropical airmass hit.

 

Otherwise, nothing intersting. I've been looking at a few trees across the street that I'd say would be the most likely culprits to lose limbs but they're just moving around. Will go check out the storm surge in another hour or two.

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just rain and a little breezy here so far - even though we are under a high wind warning.  I see some of the forecasted winds here, but since the storm kept shifting to the west I will be surprised if they reach that high here.  as a side note, the northeast wind has been noticeable - so where is the wind with a good cad and moisture moving in when we need it in the winter lol

 

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26 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

Steady rainfall with temp of 51 degrees. No wind.

Steady rain here since early this morning.  It's starting to get a little breezy and it's 48 here at 3500ft where I'm at.  More like a November day.

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