BTRWx Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: So soon? There's going to be a lot of happy media campers if Irma verifies at this range. Ensemble support is impressive so far, but we've played that game many times... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 19 minutes ago, 87storms said: yea i was mostly referring to winds. i could honestly envision a cat 3 off of OC with 20-40mph gusts here. i'm being serious. history is key...how many times has dc ever had a 80+ mph gust. pretty uncommon. generally speaking (unless we're talking about a freak tornado), we don't do big wind here very well. The only one I can think of (and NYC got it too) was Hazel. Would be interesting if this took a similar track and similar intensity. Toronto got hurricane force wind gusts from it too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 kinda reminds me of fran. somewhat similar trajectory as well as the date. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 If nothing else, gfs is lasered in through 102. Lw pattern is nearly identical. Would guess another LF in a similar area to previous runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Pressure down to 115mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Just now, Philadelphia Snow said: Pressure down to 115mb I meant 915 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 2 minutes ago, Philadelphia Snow said: Pressure down to 115mb That would probably be the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 2 minutes ago, Subtropics said: That would probably be the end of the world. there would be a massive core collapse and the planet would be sucked in through the resulting event horizon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 1 minute ago, LibertyBell said: there would be a massive core collapse and the planet would be sucked in through the resulting event horizon. Placentas everywhere! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Looks a little further south through 144 on the GFS. Also a little further south on the CMC through 66, tho who cares... Eta- beginning its turn at 150. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 12Z almost spot on with the 06Z through 144. Only thing noticeable is a slight shifting south of the major features. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 2 minutes ago, eurojosh said: Placentas everywhere! Ha you do need a sense of humor to make it through trying times like these. When things aren't in your control, it's all we have to get through it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Just now, WxWatcher007 said: Back on topic...there's been quite a shift SW with the GFS near the Bahamas region. 12z yesterday was NE of the Bahamas. This run is smack in the middle of my benchmark in the Central Bahamas. Someone posted a graphic of the last 16 GFS runs and the one consistency was a consistent shift to the SW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Looks to be headed to Florida maybe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 1 minute ago, NovaTarHeel said: Looks to be headed to Florida maybe? Doubt it. It's already gaining a bunch of lat at 156. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 1 minute ago, NovaTarHeel said: Looks to be headed to Florida maybe? NC again, I think... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 1 minute ago, BTRWx said: Oh well, it doesn't make it any less true unfortunately. Volunteering also helps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Clearly heading NNW/N at 168. Will miss florida. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Little sharper bagginess extending to the southwest of the main trough/closed low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Yeah, I see now, it turned almost due north between 150 and 168 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Monster storm if you believe GFS. Stays sub-900 for 36+hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Still moving N at 180 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 GFS is going to be a meh... a meh geddon! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 883 at 186 Hilarious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 HUGE block and heading north into. Wow this storm is going to be long duration. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 At this range. That is no difference at all, apart from maybe the south shift into the Bahamas. Just makes it that much less likely to escape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Even I'm impressed. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Don't see how this won't be another NC/SC border landfall. Getting some consistency now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 CMC is Matthew repeat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
batmanbrad Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 I can here someone saying "why couldn't this setup happen in winter?". But it's "weakening"... all the way up to 885mb at 192, heading for SC/NC border? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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