Damage In Tolland Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Whenever it's time.. we fired off an obs thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Upton mentioning gravity wave potential in their disco. Good read. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 GYX goes Winter Storm Watch...BTV with an Advisory. I like the Legro wording of "significant amounts of wintry precipitation".... Tough call...for the BTV area it's probably the largest wintry precipitation event in a couple years but fear of meeting any one criteria brings an Advisory. Probably depends on the forecaster too...If a certainciuple take over the mid-shift I bet BTV goes to Warnings regardless of any one amount of p-type. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 2 hours ago, dryslot said: That is what i'm wondering as well, We typically see a halt then it tics back one or two the other way, Not the case yet, But with the ULL shifting more SE ea run, The SLP is now taking a more SE track as well once it reaches our lat We've actually been seeing that 'one step forward; two steps back' on this the last couple of days. But your point's well-taken as I think today's the first we've seen a stretch of more than two consecutive runs ticking colder. Meanwhile, north central Mass gets a nice little precurser inch or two on the NAM. I'm prepared for my sleet. 37.5 at the Pit, 38.1 at Pit2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 5 minutes ago, powderfreak said: GYX goes Winter Storm Watch...BTV with an Advisory. I like the Legro wording of "significant amounts of wintry precipitation".... Tough call...for the BTV area it's probably the largest wintry precipitation event in a couple years but fear of meeting any one criteria brings an Advisory. Probably depends on the forecaster too...If a certainciuple take over the mid-shift I bet BTV goes to Warnings regardless of any one amount of p-type. What a that guy is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 5 minutes ago, CT Rain said: What a that guy is. Just prepare for the kitchen sink and hope something hits criteria. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 22, 2017 Author Share Posted January 22, 2017 17 minutes ago, powderfreak said: GYX goes Winter Storm Watch...BTV with an Advisory. I like the Legro wording of "significant amounts of wintry precipitation".... Tough call...for the BTV area it's probably the largest wintry precipitation event in a couple years but fear of meeting any one criteria brings an Advisory. Probably depends on the forecaster too...If a certainciuple take over the mid-shift I bet BTV goes to Warnings regardless of any one amount of p-type. There is a disconnect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 1 hour ago, CT Rain said: This is a bit concerning. Where would one find those awesome vertical time cross sections on the interweb? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: There is a disconnect Might just be the time that product was updated? I see more snow for BTV than ALY now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 I think BOX will make their 4PM maps match Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 ALY went with an advisory for 2-6" of mixed. Higher ends to the west of the HV. I could see closer to 8" above 1000' to the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Just now, OceanStWx said: Might just be the time that product was updated? I see more snow for BTV than ALY now. Ha it does look odd with Winter Storm Watches on all sides sandwiched by Advisories in the BTV and ALB CWAs....especially when they all have a pretty similar forecast, its not drastically different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 That's what we're going with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I think BOX will make their 4PM maps match Ehhhhh I see 2.5" right at the NH border tapering to like 0.5" around ORH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Just now, powderfreak said: Ha it does look odd with Winter Storm Watches on all sides sandwiched by Advisories in the BTV and ALB CWAs....especially when they all have a pretty similar forecast, its not drastically different. I mean I could've done it too, but then again I'm not sold I don't see 6+ in parts of my CWA. So I went with a watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 2 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Ehhhhh I see 2.5" right at the NH border tapering to like 0.5" around ORH. Then there's that. So is Grey GW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: Then there's that. So is Grey GW? I really don't think my forecast is that wild, but I could certainly get hammered by 2:1 sleet and look silly. But I've been consistently on the colder side of guidance (and my office). There's plenty of time to panic tomorrow. Ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 22, 2017 Author Share Posted January 22, 2017 4 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Then there's that. So is Grey GW? Can you imagine living in a town with borders in BOX GYX,confused is the word of the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 12 minutes ago, CT Rain said: That's what we're going with. I like the NW-Se gradient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 25 minutes ago, snowgeek said: Where would one find those awesome vertical time cross sections on the interweb? Found them! Alb looks pretty cold at the surface....pesky 800mb warmth. It's all about the downsloping here determining precip amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 12 minutes ago, CT Rain said: That's what we're going with. There goes my hope for all rain in Enfield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 What a soaker the RGEM is around here and esp SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: What a soaker the RGEM is around here and esp SE MA. Was just going to comment. Coastal front enhancement? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 RGEM was the kitchen sink up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 BOX no wind advisories lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 22, 2017 Author Share Posted January 22, 2017 Stall capture ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 2 minutes ago, Hoth said: Was just going to comment. Coastal front enhancement? Low level forcing in the srfc to say 850 zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Why would BOX have nothing in NW Middlesex county with ORH county in advisory and WSW to north from GYX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Low level forcing in the srfc to say 850 zone. Rgem seems too warm to me in the BL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Why would BOX have nothing in NW Middlesex county with ORH county in advisory and WSW to north from GYX. We built a wall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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