franklin NCwx Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 13 minutes ago, packfan98 said: The UKMET ends up by hr 144 stronger than the CMC, but weaker than the GFS and faster with the cold air at this point...hmm.. Do you mean stronger than the gfs and weaker than the cmc? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 Just now, franklin NCwx said: Do you mean stronger than the gfs and weaker than the cmc? I was referring to the High pressure coming down from the Dakotas. I'll go back and edit. I had the map inserted, but it was showing something weird, so I tried to describe it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 Canadian has a low off the VA Capes at day 7, too warm though. The big 3 global ops have the Vort in question, its the tail end of the low that goes up through SE Canada day 5 and ejects out of the PAC NW around day 5 also. The handling of the day 5 system in SE Canada differs, GFS takes a more classic 50/50 whereas the GEM / EC retrograde it back over the Hudson Bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 Oy vey #ph8? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thor Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 Was looking at the same thing, if we dont see anything the next few weeks that may be it for this "winter" . It looks warm in canada too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 It's like the North Pole has shifted a thousand miles over toward eastern Siberia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 10 minutes ago, packbacker said: Oy vey #ph8? Models are lagging behind ! They can't handle phase 8! 1960 redux incoming! JB said so! I don't know who, but in the MA thread yesterday, somebody posted" JB saw his shadow, 6 more weeks of hype" !! perfect!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 Differences between day 7 GEFS/GEPS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 What should we be rooting for the big cutter to do for us to get a storm? Stronger, weaker, south, north, faster, slower, etc...? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwolf1972 Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 no storm on euro think we are gonna strike out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 20 minutes ago, packfan98 said: What should we be rooting for the big cutter to do for us to get a storm? Stronger, weaker, south, north, faster, slower, etc...? Next winter! It's all we have to root for Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 The GEPS is a pretty good model, right? Unless something's way wrong with all the modeling, the D7 "storm" maybe be our last shot for a while. Last night's 0z GFS was starting to look pretty decent in the LR, but nothing is following that look this afternoon. Oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 1 hour ago, mackerel_sky said: Next winter! It's all we have to root for Two batches of analogs for next winter (+enso/+qbo). Of course if we don't develop a Nino it will be a repeat of this winter. Which analog set we going with... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 3 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: The GEPS is a pretty good model, right? Unless something's way wrong with all the modeling, the D7 "storm" maybe be our last shot for a while. Last night's 0z GFS was starting to look pretty decent in the LR, but nothing is following that look this afternoon. Oh well. What I was thinking...this could be our last chance. Ph8 may deliver a PAC low but doesn't look promising for cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 6 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: The GEPS is a pretty good model, right? Unless something's way wrong with all the modeling, the D7 "storm" maybe be our last shot for a while. Last night's 0z GFS was starting to look pretty decent in the LR, but nothing is following that look this afternoon. Oh well. With a look like that we shouldn't feel bad. We are all equally screwed top to bottom north south east west. Time to pour a drink and just laugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 16 minutes ago, BristowWx said: With a look like that we shouldn't feel bad. We are all equally screwed top to bottom north south east west. Time to pour a drink and just laugh. Ha very true! Just bad in every direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rowjimmy73 Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 On 1/29/2017 at 11:14 AM, pcbjr said: Both are correct - mine had more to do with model watching LOL as long as it doesnt get as hot as Gommorah i think we are ok lol.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 As if those pretty red maps don't say winter cancel, my daffodil blooms do! Winter suck 16/17 continues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northern Foothills Snowman Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 49 minutes ago, BristowWx said: With a look like that we shouldn't feel bad. We are all equally screwed top to bottom north south east west. Time to pour a drink and just laugh. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northern Foothills Snowman Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 50 minutes ago, BristowWx said: With a look like that we shouldn't feel bad. We are all equally screwed top to bottom north south east west. Time to pour a drink and just laugh. All are frying except for Southern Mexico ,Key West and Bahama's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 4 minutes ago, Northern Foothills Snowman said: . I never dreamed this winter would be worse than last winter, I would have bet money, I would have lost badly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathertree4u Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 12 minutes ago, fritschy said: I never dreamed this winter would be worse than last winter, I would have bet money, I would have lost badly. I never thought I would live to see a Winter worse than 2011/2012 but here we are lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 15 minutes ago, Northern Foothills Snowman said: All are frying except for Southern Mexico ,Key West and Bahama's. I was in Key West for work this week. It's was a chilly 82. Sometimes I think life would be easier if there was no expectation of snow or anything frozen except a margarita. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 3 minutes ago, weathertree4u said: I never thought I would live to see a Winter worse than 2011/2012 but here we are lol! Just now, BristowWx said: I was in Key West for work this week. It's was a chilly 82. Sometimes I think life would be easier if there was no expectation of snow or anything frozen except a margarita. I agree, if it isn't going to snow guys I'm ready for spring big time, today has been a bone chilling 41 but feels like 21, come on spring if it isn't going to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whamby Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 I like my chilly days even if it isn't snowy... we get enough heat/humidity the other 6 months of the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 2 minutes ago, BristowWx said: I was in Key West for work this week. It's was a chilly 82. Sometimes I think life would be easier if there was no expectation of snow or anything frozen except a margarita. I think it would suck to live anywhere where there is no chance of snow, like Florida! I may as well live in Florida as sucktastic as winters can and are here! But atleast there's a chance! Not sure it would be fun to live in a slam dunk snow place like Maine, but I'd be willing to give the latter a chance, if given the opportunity! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 3 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: I think it would suck to live anywhere where there is no chance of snow, like Florida! I may as well live in Florida as sucktastic as winters can and are here! But atleast there's a chance! Not sure it would be fun to live in a slam dunk snow place like Maine, but I'd be willing to give the latter a chance, if given the opportunity! Yeah I agree. People in Caribou don't often have to check 850s unless it's April. They get more snow in November than most of us get all winter. They probably hope for rain in January just to shake things up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 3 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: I think it would suck to live anywhere where there is no chance of snow, like Florida! I may as well live in Florida as sucktastic as winters can and are here! But atleast there's a chance! Not sure it would be fun to live in a slam dunk snow place like Maine, but I'd be willing to give the latter a chance, if given the opportunity! no if I lived in Maine I wouldn't enjoy the snow like I do now, that would be oh no not another snowstorm but where we live a snowstorm or two is usually welcome but hell we can't get some decent chances hardly anymore, use to at least get two or three anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 11 minutes ago, BristowWx said: I was in Key West for work this week. It's was a chilly 82. Sometimes I think life would be easier if there was no expectation of snow or anything frozen except a margarita. 5 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: I think it would suck to live anywhere where there is no chance of snow, like Florida! I may as well live in Florida as sucktastic as winters can and are here! But atleast there's a chance! Not sure it would be fun to live in a slam dunk snow place like Maine, but I'd be willing to give the latter a chance, if given the opportunity! I was just thinking to myself life would be better in the winter if we lived in a locale that had minimal chance of snow...well do I really have to say it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 no I don't want the heat all I want is spring if it isn't going to snow, 70 -75 degrees not 85-90 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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