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      SUBSCRIPTION DRIVE 2017   01/09/2017

      As you may have noticed, many of you are receiving renewal notices for subscriptions.  Over the past year we have upgraded our board software and one of our dedicated servers to help speed things up.  Plans for this year are to upgrade further to make everything even faster and more reliable. If we meet our goal of $10,000 in subscription sales this winter, all members with a Super ($50) subscription or higher will receive a free American Weather T-shirt.  Additional details will follow if we make our goal!

Mid to Long Term Discussion 2017

2,433 posts in this topic

1 hour ago, griteater said:

So the Euro trended less amplified with the ridge and farther east with the trough...that's a losing combination...and the 18z GFS joined it.  That has to reverse in order for us to have a shot here

Wrap it up! Glad we got our " wintry" event over with!! We had 4 days of below normal days, sandwiched between 90-120 days of toast! This winter will be +10, DJF! Winning!

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23 minutes ago, cbmclean said:

My understanding is that the westward phase is hostile to the formation of high-level blocking so that certainly doesn't help with the NAO/AO.

There have been a number of +QBO winters with -AO/-NAO...2010-2011 for one.  Strongest QBO correlation I've seen for -AO/-NAO is when the QBO is on the front end of the negative cycle in concert with a minimum in the solar cycle....otherwise, the QBO to AO/NAO correlations aren't very strong.

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