WeatherNC Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 2 minutes ago, packfan98 said: Snow mean looks pitiful on the 12z GEFS. Signal for a low off the Carolina's have increased on the 12z mean, I would expect a simple majority of members to have a low off the SE Coast around day 6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 12z GFS was interesting...it was almost virtually identical to the 12z run from thursday, except slightly less digging/weaker energy...it wouldn't have taken much for that run to be a huge hit for the SE. We still need the west coast ridge to trend slightly more west and/or get the energy to dig a little sooner/more south at this frame...but man that run was close considering the 00z runt his morning, the GFS has no clue. 12z Thursday run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mrdaddyman Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 Need to get more of these Ensemble members on board with this storm: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 I'll take the control run of the GFS Ensembels and call it a winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 Not a bad look on those ensembles. 7/20 members show SOMETHING for central NC and the mean is not bad... Better than nothing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 3 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: Not a bad look on those ensembles. 7/20 members show SOMETHING for central NC and the mean is not bad... Better than nothing! Agreed, mean went down but the # of hits went up. Hopefully Euro shows some kind of low anywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 Is this a good sign...cold is every else but North America.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwolf1972 Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 Wow euro showing an LP now? How are temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thor Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 Same low 6 hours later on gfs, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwolf1972 Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 Euro starts the low in texas it's on the last pic I posted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mrdaddyman Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 Euro shows some light rain breaking out across central Mississippi, Alabama, and Georgia this run which is a step in the right direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 Clearly a better run by the euro...HP not as progressive. Will be funny if tomorrow we are worried about this being to far NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 Game on! Welcome to the party, Euro! What's the Brazillian showing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 pack, looks like a stronger HP run-to-run as well. Not good placement though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwolf1972 Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 If the cold front comes through and lays the foundation of cold air, the high is a reenforcement. Its position would be fine. We just need to make sure the cold comes in after the big storm winds up over the lakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 12 minutes ago, CaryWx said: pack, looks like a stronger HP run-to-run as well. Not good placement though That's always a problem without stout atlantic block, either HP is to far west or to progressive. If this were to work we would need really good timing. Day 9 op euro looks fun, big cutter, trailing cut off in the SW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 The day 10 models have been really bad, as expected, but that sure is a good look on the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 Brad Panovich seems to think the pattern fits for a storm next weekend. Doesn't mean it will happen but the pattern is there. Hey guys, to me, having these warm ups then the cold air I think will do us better for a winter storm, rather than sustained cold! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 If, and that's a big IF, we got any sort of snow around the Friday time frame, it would come as an absolute shock to a lot of non weather geeks! Highs in the 60s through Thursday on TWC and my local news stations and 50s Friday and back to 70 by Sunday ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 Per the other place, EPS is off the chain! ( good) for you old people! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 4 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Per the other place, EPS is off the chain! ( good) for you old people! Meaning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 5 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Per the other place, EPS is off the chain! ( good) for you old people! Old people like warm so assume you mean bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 3 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Meaning? Moving torwards the GFS , with a possible storm Friday . Yesterday Euro and EPS basically had no storm! Today 12z run, had a storm and that's a good step! Long ways to go, but things are interesting at this point ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 Just now, mackerel_sky said: Moving torwards the GFS , with a possible storm Friday . Yesterday Euro and EPS basically had no storm! Today 12z run, had a storm and that's a good step! Long ways to go, but things are interesting at this point ! Awaiting the 18z!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 2 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Moving torwards the GFS , with a possible storm Friday . Yesterday Euro and EPS basically had no storm! Today 12z run, had a storm and that's a good step! Long ways to go, but things are interesting at this point ! That's cool. Good news has been in short supply. I hope we all can get in on something I feel like we deserve it at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 Impressive slp mean location just off the coast. EPS 850's are pressing further south at day 5 too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 This is a nice signal day 10...would suspect days 11-12 would look good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 25 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Old people like warm so assume you mean bad Not sure what "old" is (sort of a relative term - and I'm not talking about that uncle that shows up for Thanksgiving) - but speak for yourself LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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