dryslot Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Well it all depends on the UVVs. If you have like 80 microbars per second you can prob wash out 2C pretty easy...lol. But easier said than done to get that lift. This storm should be able to produce it though...esp up that way as it goes nuts. Well that was where i was going with that, I know when it gets up here its dropping mb like prom dresses................... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Well it all depends on the UVVs. If you have like 80 microbars per second you can prob wash out 2C pretty easy...lol. But easier said than done to get that lift. This storm should be able to produce it though...esp up that way as it goes nuts. Is that why Mesos are turning it back to a few hour thump of 2-4 for areas south of Pike too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 to beat the band from Litchfield North... just drove from winsted to newington, all rain, until i hit Litchfield on 8.. sloppy roads, paste Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 I'm also not sure how much of a typical late March deck destroying blue bomb this really is - at least out this way. It won't be fluffy but it's not like we're isothermal through much of the column. It's pretty cold until it gets close to the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 Looks like the 12z Euro develops the low a little late but has a couple ticks east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Looks like the 12z Euro develops the low a little late but has a couple ticks east Yeah...I may miss the extreme heavies this far west. The consolation may be less slop and better ratios. I did want my QPF bomb though. We'll see how it plays out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: Yeah...I may miss the extreme heavies this far west. The consolation may be less slop and better ratios. I did want my QPF bomb though. We'll see how it plays out. That would up the game here considerably on that track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 1 minute ago, dryslot said: I'm despondent at that image. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WthrJunkyME Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: You can lock that one in for me, please! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adk Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 1 minute ago, mreaves said: I'm despondent at that image. It isn't ideal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 1 minute ago, mreaves said: I'm despondent at that image. Yeah and the meso models are much less generous than that for us WNE folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 The surface low is now developing east of Norfolk, VA and moving NNEward. Down to 1006mb on the SPC mesoanalysis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 8 minutes ago, mreaves said: I'm despondent at that image. Ha, for days I've been thinking its going east as they almost always do. Or like 8 out of 10 do. Now its almost like western NH up into northern NH that was looking like an absolute lock for like 18" might end up 6-12". Our pain is Dryslots gain, lol. Happy for those guys in Maine though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 3 minutes ago, WthrJunkyME said: You can lock that one in for me, please! yessah! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 2 minutes ago, adk said: It isn't ideal. Its hard to see from that as its 10:1 ratios but the EURO has a very nice upslope signature tomorrow with 0.2-0.4" QPF from like 7am-2pm. If we get that going we can quickly tack on 4-8" at the ski resorts with that look during the day tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kmcfarland99 Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 Looks like there may have to be some headline changes for coastal maine, especially PWM if the latest maps/trends come to fruition. Until now, we've been mostly expecting a big rain event but now we may have the possibility of a real winter event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 Euro mid level low forecasts are a good deal east of where they were yesterday. If true, that's likely very good news for those west of the turnpike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 half way to my 4"...kinda in a lull right now, but looks like everything is collapsing eastward, hoping to get in on some of that banding thats developing to my west...also holding steady at 30* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 Just now, kmcfarland99 said: Looks like there may have to be some headline changes for coastal maine, especially PWM if the latest maps/trends come to fruition. Until now, we've been mostly expecting a big rain event but now we may have the possibility of a real winter event. At the very least an advisory is headed out the door. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 13 minutes ago, adk said: It isn't ideal. 13 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Yeah and the meso models are much less generous than that for us WNE folks. 12 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Ha, for days I've been thinking its going east as they almost always do. Or like 8 out of 10 do. Now its almost like western NH up into northern NH that was looking like an absolute lock for like 18" might end up 6-12". Our pain is Dryslots gain, lol. Happy for those guys in Maine though. Its going to have to end quick then. There is already almost 3" here in downtown MPV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 4 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Euro mid level low forecasts are a good deal east of where they were yesterday. If true, that's likely very good news for those west of the turnpike. Models have ticked this east all morning, Looking at SPC meso analysis page, Slp does not look like its going over SE Mass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 6 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: At the very least an advisory is headed out the door. My guess is the goal post of qpf will have to be moved east as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 5 minutes ago, dryslot said: Models have ticked this east all morning, Looking at SPC meso analysis page, Slp does not look like its going over SE Mass Yeah the east tick started yesterday at 18z, IMO. But this is all very expected for Miller B's. RIP Messenger...he's the one that would've been all over that the past few days. Its just how these work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 17z HRRR still develops the stinger over WCT and rips it to the coast http:// Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 3 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Yeah the east tick started yesterday at 18z, IMO. I think i have to take my hat off to the EURO on this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WthrJunkyME Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 Just now, dryslot said: I think i have to take my hat off to the EURO on this one You hung your hat on the EURO the whole time. Kudos to you too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 3 minutes ago, WthrJunkyME said: You hung your hat on the EURO the whole time. Kudos to you too! Its hard to not to when it had been locked in and was the first to show this threat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 absolutely ripping right now...under 1/4 mi visibility..at this rate, I will bust high, as long as I can fend off the RA/SN line which is about 15 miles to my south. now that I am on my laptop, I will try and post pics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 22 minutes ago, dryslot said: I think i have to take my hat off to the EURO on this one I don't gamble much, but my bet was on the euro based on the consistency. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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