mappy Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 9 minutes ago, mdsnowlover said: i still cant read them, shoot!! shows the classic warm nose below 850. freezing rain sounding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 1 minute ago, mappy said: shows the classic warm nose below 850. freezing rain sounding. That's rain on that one, but yeah, it does show the warm nose pretty well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: That's rain on that one, but yeah, it does show the warm nose pretty well. shhh, was trying to help you guys out. 33/rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 12z GFS tries to get some precip into the area at 90-93 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 16 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: I know that the 12z is rolling, but this sounding from 06z is just great Cold, cold rain. Drops might actually feel a little toasty, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 GFS is faster than 6z with precip but a slight shift north with the main shield and quicker column destruction. Mostly noise but not a better trend either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 looks like sleet/snow at 96 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: GFS is faster than 6z with precip but a slight shift north with the main shield and quicker column destruction. Mostly noise but not a better trend either way. 15z Sat is heavy freezing rain at DCA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 Pretty big swath of .5 precip between 9-15z. That would be a lot of sleet/ice for areas west of 95. Especially if surface temps are too warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 3 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Pretty big swath of .5 precip between 9-15z. That would be a lot of sleet ice for areas west of 95. Especially if surface temps are too warm. So, what do we got next... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 At 102hrs, that Low in Texas looks promising. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 still 3" ish IMBY. not complaining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 Would be a nasty ice storm for Central MD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 1 minute ago, mappy said: still 3" ish IMBY. not complaining. TT has you at 6 DC at 3-4 Too bad its overdone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 2 minutes ago, mappy said: still 3" ish IMBY. not complaining. could be more, depends on flip. ~3" by 12z, flipped by 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 Just now, RidingTheModelWithMostSnow said: Would be a nasty ice storm for Central MD ..Followed by a nasty severe outbreak for parts of the TN valley... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 Just now, yoda said: TT has you at 6 DC at 3-4 Too bad its overdone wxbell is closer to 7" by 18z, but some of that would be sleet for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 2 minutes ago, mappy said: still 3" ish IMBY. not complaining. I'll use the TT maps and feel good with my 4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 13, 2016 Author Share Posted December 13, 2016 1 minute ago, yoda said: TT has you at 6 DC at 3-4 Too bad its overdone We don't know what this will be yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 2 minutes ago, mappy said: still 3" ish IMBY. not complaining. I was just going to say it looks decent for us. doesn't get above freezing til afternoon so could a fair amount of zr following snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 06z para GFS decent... 3-5 for many Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxdavis5784 Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 1 hour ago, WinterWxLuvr said: So it might not snow. It's not the end of the world. When did I ever say or act like it was the end of the world? Just stating facts.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 2 minutes ago, HighStakes said: I was just going to say it looks decent for us. doesn't get above freezing til afternoon so could a fair amount of zr following snow. Yeah, whenever that flips happens. All snow at 12z, freezing rain by 18z. can't complain about the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 4 minutes ago, mitchnick said: I'll use the TT maps and feel good with my 4". 4" of sleet is certainly doable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 4 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: We don't know what this will be yet. Just model discussion. I agree that it's overdone and has been every single run. The change to sleet is definitely happening sooner than the snowmaps show. They have been overdone for many runs in a row and I doubt that will change even 24 hours before we get whatever were going to get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 6 minutes ago, mappy said: Yeah, whenever that flips happens. All snow at 12z, freezing rain by 18z. can't complain about the run. I would take it in a minute. Looks like we flip by 9. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: More wintry precip at 174 (Tuesday). Very quick hit of freezing rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 4 minutes ago, yoda said: Very quick hit of freezing rain Maybe I'm being optimistic, but I could see that trending in our direction. If the trailing LP can hold together a bit more and the midwest HP can weaken a little, there's a decent shot there for the Tuesday timeframe. Yesterday's CMC showed this scenario. I know that's more than a bit optimistic, but I think the ingredients are there, and as we've seen, 4-5 day leads on the models are the most we can hope for in this pattern. --ETA - or rather, if the HP over NE can give better blocking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 Hmmm... hr 90 on 12z GGEM gets snow in here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 DC sounding for @ 12z. It's right on the edge. If it is snow it's not pretty flakes. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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