Typhoon Tip Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 19 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Its going over the cape on that run....not over my head. Anyway, Bob was a non-event here, so I think you're wrong. Well it certainly wouldn't be the first time . But this thing is different than Bob it's got a bigger size by the time it gets to our general latitude( in that depiction ) and it's moving north - it's not curling ENE from the position of Cape Cod so it makes a closer pass to you there than Bob ever did. See you're right apples and oranges trying to use Bob as your comparison Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Well it certainly wouldn't be the first time . But this thing is different than Bob it's got a bigger size by the time it gets to our general latitude( in that depiction ) and it's moving north - it's not curling ENE from the position of Cape Cod so it makes a closer pass to you there than Bob ever did. See you're right apples and oranges trying to use Bob as your comparison Its moving east of north. Yes, apples-oranges. If it goes over the cape or se MA, I'll take pics of the carnage for you. No offense intended.....you always add value to the DISCO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 12 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Well it certainly wouldn't be the first time . But this thing is different than Bob it's got a bigger size by the time it gets to our general latitude( in that depiction ) and it's moving north - it's not curling ENE from the position of Cape Cod so it makes a closer pass to you there than Bob ever did. See you're right apples and oranges trying to use Bob as your comparison Also deeper than Bob. Take with grain of salt of course, but verbatim on high res it's 930ish near OBX and 950s up here. Pressure dropping as it comes ashore too thanks to the trough interaction, whereas Bob fizzled quickly upon landfall. Apples to oranges. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 Bob was 964mb Bob crossed se MA as a two...check your facts...and apples and oranges. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 22 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Its moving east of north. Yes, apples-oranges. If it goes over the cape or se MA, I'll take pics of the carnage for you. No offense intended.....you always add value to the DISCO. I'm not offended but I don't know what you're talking about "east of North". It goes straight north from there and actually curls northwestern Ontario and gets absorbed in that cyclone least that's what I saw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 Meh let's let it go guys Its stupid even talk about any details. For what it's worth three days now NCEP isn't even using any of the ECM WF products in their extended range forecast discussions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 7 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: I'm not offended but I don't know what you're talking about "east of North". It goes straight north from there and actually curls northwestern Ontario and gets absorbed in that cyclone least that's what I saw It goes from CC to Bangor....sorry, thats NNE. We'll see what happens if it verifies, but i'd rather it go west of here. It actually starts filling once beyond the cape... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 Goes East is out yikes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 Long duration lashing for the Bahamas it seems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 Just got back home after a busy afternoon and evening. 18Z GEFS and 00z hurricane models are not very inspiring overall. GFS OP stills looks like it is well on the western side of most guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 26 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Goes East is out yikes Somebody forgot to pay the cable bill Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 It's weird to see that feeder band convection be like three or four times the size of the hurricane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 20 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: It's weird to see that feeder band convection be like three or four times the size of the hurricane That blob has been there in some form since Matthew first started RI, IIRC. Seems like there must be some kind of topographic/orographic influence? Looks funky, in any event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 I'm almost wondering if that persistent gnarly convection out there east of Matthew might be gravity wave related Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 I think that kicker may influence more this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 Kicker stronger....ridge weaker...meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 Hey, at least we get an inv trough..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 Nice chill snap next weekend post Matthew. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 That is about as perfectly dead-center of the goal posts as you can get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: That is about as perfectly dead-center of the goal posts as you can get. Way OTS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 Looks like CMC and EURO...congrats NS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 Well, about that SAI..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 Are you all fukking crazy? Writing on or off d7 solutions is insane imho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 Just now, weathafella said: Are you all fukking crazy? Writing on or off d7 solutions is insane imho. I'm not writing on or off any single solution, but am strongly hedging on going east of SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 The Ukie is also well east if it's 12z run at hr 144. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm not writing on or off any single solution, but am strongly hedging on going east of SNE. Don't they always? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 Just now, weathafella said: Don't they always? Exactly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 34 minutes ago, Rjay said: The Ukie is also well east if it's 12z run at hr 144. Looks like the GFS maybe slightly east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 Navgem slams the storm into New England Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 GEFS looks west of op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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