dryslot Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 Looks like its going to LF eaither SE MA or the Cape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 WOW @ 195, that would be devastating for Coastal regions. I'd probably road trip if something like this came to fruition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 6 minutes ago, dryslot said: Stronger vortmax rounding the midwest trough, Looks like its going to capture Matthew That is what I was saying earlier. Matthew was slower, but the vortmax was stronger and you see the result down the line, it blew the bleep up. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 From Porltand, ME to off the Delmarva in one run...jesus. #slow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 goes right up the canal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 Wow impressive! ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 cape would take heavy damage in this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 LF over CC...less impactful run, unless it retrogrades... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 ema is flooded 10-12" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 Just now, Highzenberg said: That is what I was saying earlier. Matthew was slower, but the vortmax was stronger and you see the result down the line, it blew the bleep up. Wow. Yeah, You could see Matthew staying a little more east and slower and then it got captured further north and pin wheeled back west over the cape then PWM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: LF over CC...less impactful run, unless it retrogrades... less impactful for who? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 NBD for many, aside from flooding rains. Trend is east and slower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 Just now, Bostonseminole said: less impactful for who? From a wind stand point....most of eastern MA outside of the CC canal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 I think you want to be in that NW quadrant of Matthew Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 benchmark, I don't know if I'd call it a trend one way or the other since it is so far out. We're just seeing normal adjustments for model forecasting for a system 7+ days out. IMO, and you & others might disagree, if there was any trend today, it was a trend towards a phasing scenario with the incoming shortwave. The 00z EURO last night was not even close to anything like that & the 12z EURO came close. The GGEM does but too late. NAVGEM does. GFS continues to show it run after run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 it's like a 20 miles shift east.. noise really.. but could be 20 miles every run from now till next week.. will be in Bermuda Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 I don't care how much it phases....if the track goes east of your longitude....then while the flooding maybe devastating, the wind will not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 2 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: it's like a 20 miles shift east.. noise really.. but could be 20 miles every run from now till next week.. will be in Bermuda I'm just stating the trend from one run to the next.....I understand how little it means at this advanced lead. But it is what it is.....sorry.......to see a track start over CC at day 8, I know which way I lean... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I don't care how much it phases....if the track goes east of your longitude....then while the flooding maybe devastating, the wind will not. It'll be ET so windfield will be massive and deep hundreds of miles Nw and W Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 I'm not going to argue over a day 8 run...worth watching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 I lived here for the perfect storm....wind was not much of an issue here (MBY) I'll leave it at that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: You must have a stroke reading John's prose He's the most irritable poster in our forum. Very small things set him off. Still think best idea is a complete miss east .. we need that ULL to move Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 15 minutes ago, dryslot said: I think you want to be in that NW quadrant of Matthew Why? If its moving ne, i'll take the se quadrant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 16 minutes ago, Highzenberg said: benchmark, I don't know if I'd call it a trend one way or the other since it is so far out. We're just seeing normal adjustments for model forecasting for a system 7+ days out. IMO, and you & others might disagree, if there was any trend today, it was a trend towards a phasing scenario with the incoming shortwave. The 00z EURO last night was not even close to anything like that & the 12z EURO came close. The GGEM does but too late. NAVGEM does. GFS continues to show it run after run. I agree the trend amongst guidance if for a phase...but that doesn't necessarily mean a huge impactor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Why? If its moving ne, i'll take the se quadrant. ET Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 As depicted on the GFS.... that's a devastating storm for much of SE New England Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: ET So wasn't the blizzard of '78, how many trees did that knock down in central MA? How about the perfect storm? This may devastate the region, but this particular runs spares many that caliber of a blow is all I mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 1 hour ago, dryslot said: How is that eps guidance? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 Ray one of these days I'll take you shore side to experience some good winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: So wasn't the buzzard of '78, how many trees did that knock down in central MA? How about the perfect storm? This may devastate the region, but this particular runs spares many that caliber of a blow is all I mean. Thing called leaves which neither had but despite what Kev said that high wind field is confined to the immediate coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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