McDowell_Weather Posted November 19, 2016 Share Posted November 19, 2016 2 hours ago, NWNC2015 said: Wiener of the year recipient has it perks. I'm allowed to drive out of the circle for a few hundred yards in the legal gray area as long as I pull the race car back in. Unfortunately in your case it doesn't.... Word of advise nobody cares or wants too know about your poop!!! Some of your post are a little extreme. How you haven't been banned or had your posts limited is beyond me. Do us all a solid and don't post unless you can actually contribute something worthy/meaningful not 384hr fantasy maps and descriptions of your sh*t. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted November 19, 2016 Share Posted November 19, 2016 And more important than chicken *˙ˆ† posts (which I sincerely suggest is out of bounds and should be deleted by the Mods) ... We're on our way to Atlanta~~~~~~~!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Who'da belivedit. But first - FSU :~( Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted November 20, 2016 Author Share Posted November 20, 2016 5 hours ago, McDowell_Weather said: Unfortunately in your case it doesn't.... Word of advise nobody cares or wants too know about your poop!!! Some of your post are a little extreme. How you haven't been banned or had your posts limited is beyond me. Do us all a solid and don't post unless you can actually contribute something worthy/meaningful not 384hr fantasy maps and descriptions of your sh*t. 4 He has been and is getting close to a final banning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted November 20, 2016 Share Posted November 20, 2016 20 hours ago, pcbjr said: Freeze warning here tonight and 80º for Turkey Day -- go figure! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted November 20, 2016 Share Posted November 20, 2016 On 11/17/2016 at 11:48 AM, GaStorm said: I would like to add Larry (GaWx) to the mix on that list as well. He brings a lot of great stats and insight to the board. Larry and I went over to talkweather along with several other posters because we were tired of some things that were going on here at the time. Those of you that were here then know what I am talking about. Folks were getting into outlandish conflicts and there was just too much drama. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted November 21, 2016 Share Posted November 21, 2016 Come mid Dec if the cold still isn't here.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted November 21, 2016 Share Posted November 21, 2016 Apple 2016 Christmas Commercial Published on Nov 21, 2016 An unexpected holiday visitor finally receives the warm welcome he’s always yearned for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted November 21, 2016 Share Posted November 21, 2016 Got our 1st official freeze down here this AM - 31º. Wondering if it'll be the only one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted November 21, 2016 Share Posted November 21, 2016 3 minutes ago, pcbjr said: Got our 1st official freeze down here this AM - 31º. Wondering if it'll be the only one It might be for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 21, 2016 Share Posted November 21, 2016 18 hours ago, packbacker said: Come mid Dec if the cold still isn't here.... It will be funny with all the busted December forecasts. Then January and February come and we freeze when most are going warm in that time period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted November 21, 2016 Share Posted November 21, 2016 5 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: It might be for a while. Yup. I have this theory. If everyone on this Board paraded and blissfully exuded hopes for a warm winter - no snow, no days below 60º - no nights below 32º - and lauded the pattern and the set up as "what we want all winter" - and just rooted the situation we're in as ideal - in 2 weeks it would be so damn cold that Miami would look like Charlotte and .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted November 21, 2016 Share Posted November 21, 2016 Watching the cams in Japan...seeing water go back into the ocean...not good. Freaky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted November 21, 2016 Share Posted November 21, 2016 5 minutes ago, NWNC2015 said: Watching the cams in Japan...seeing water go back into the ocean...not good. Freaky. What's going on? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted November 21, 2016 Share Posted November 21, 2016 11 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said: What's going on? 7.3, tsunami warning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted November 21, 2016 Share Posted November 21, 2016 My son is there. Tokyo we hope. He was in Mito working until just a short while ago. Freaky - yes. Makes weather a bit sideboard to say the least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 It will be funny with all the busted December forecasts. Then January and February come and we freeze when most are going warm in that time period.Most are going warm in Jan and Feb?? News to me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 31 minutes ago, Jon said: Most are going warm in Jan and Feb?? News to me! All I've heard all fall , wrt upcoming winter was: early start to winter, cold Dec/Jan and spring starts in Feb! Pretty sure I've seen about 90-95 % of winter forecasts saying that. "Front loaded" winter is the new "Strat Warming"!! Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 1 hour ago, Jon said: Most are going warm in Jan and Feb?? News to me! Yeah for the most part. Most call for colder December then it warms up January and spring starts in February pretty much. I don't care if we are cold in December , January , or February. As long as we can get some winter weather for most I don't care which month is the coldest lol. Ideally I think January or February are the best climo months for snow in the SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 The good news is that the weeklies keep the cold pattern coming with a pattern change. That's good news and maybe we can get some consistency in the models. A big thank you to Bob Chill for posing then in the mid to LR thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 I wish models were reprogrammed such that instead of always showing great patterns and cold in the LR, they would show warmth, dry, and utter hostility and despair. 1, they'd be more accurate, 2, we'd tend to remain in an emotionally more even keel state, and 3, they'd be more accurate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 Yeah for the most part. Most call for colder December then it warms up January and spring starts in February pretty much. I don't care if we are cold in December , January , or February. As long as we can get some winter weather for most I don't care which month is the coldest lol. Ideally I think January or February are the best climo months for snow in the SE.Oh I thought you meant warm Jan-Feb. Front loaded doesn't necessarily mean warm last half of winter, it just means winter gets going early and doesn't linger into March. So Jan-Feb could still be below normal as a whole. I'm calling for a warm march/early spring but not necessarily a warm February. Although I didn't make a forecast I've mentioned analogs for this year and weak ninas in general torch in March, so it's an easy call. You're right about Jan-Feb for snow, that's for sure. December snows are pretty rare in the SE so people need to temper expectations. It will take a while, as usual, to get the white stuff in the SE and 9 times out of 10 it doesn't happen until January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 15 minutes ago, Jon said: Oh I thought you meant warm Jan-Feb. Front loaded doesn't necessarily mean warm last half of winter, it just means winter gets going early and doesn't linger into March. So Jan-Feb could still be below normal as a whole. I'm calling for a warm march/early spring but not necessarily a warm February. Although I didn't make a forecast I've mentioned analogs for this year and weak ninas in general torch in March, so it's an easy call. You're right about Jan-Feb for snow, that's for sure. December snows are pretty rare in the SE so people need to temper expectations. It will take a while, as usual, to get the white stuff in the SE and 9 times out of 10 it doesn't happen until January. I completely agree Jon. Patience is a must lol. Did you see the weeklies today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 Anyone else receive a check in the mail from the Facebook lawsuit back in 2011? Fraley v. Facebook Inc. Only $15 but cool lol. I had already forgot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 37 minutes ago, NWNC2015 said: Anyone else receive a check in the mail from the Facebook lawsuit back in 2011? Fraley v. Facebook Inc. Only $15 but cool lol. I had already forgot. I received a $175 check. An early Christmas present ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 I completely agree Jon. Patience is a must lol. Did you see the weeklies today?Yeah Bob beat me to it, good weeklies but not wildly amazing. More or less like Thursday's. I'm still pumped for December and this winter in general, it will take some horrid model runs to make me not so! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 1 hour ago, Jon said: Yeah Bob beat me to it, good weeklies but not wildly amazing. More or less like Thursday's. I'm still pumped for December and this winter in general, it will take some horrid model runs to make me not so! Haven't the weeklies been failing hard since summer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 Haven't the weeklies been failing hard since summer? Yeah but I essentially explained that a model such as the EPS can only fail for so long. Also, the 10 day EPS score is something like 50% verif at 500mb, so you can imagine what a verification score for the same model run out to 46 days twice weekly would be - bad. That's why it's best to use it as guidance and don't dive head first into the weeklies. Look at other seasonal and daily ensembles, conclude your own opinions, etc. Right now there's no reason not to believe what it's showing as it's not overly cold and it's not like it flipped from last week either - it's steady, for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 28 minutes ago, Jon said: Yeah but I essentially explained that a model such as the EPS can only fail for so long. Also, the 10 day EPS score is something like 50% verif at 500mb, so you can imagine what a verification score for the same model run out to 46 days twice weekly would be - bad. That's why it's best to use it as guidance and don't dive head first into the weeklies. Look at other seasonal and daily ensembles, conclude your own opinions, etc. Right now there's no reason not to believe what it's showing as it's not overly cold and it's not like it flipped from last week either - it's steady, for now. Good explanation, thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 About to do this survey on the back of my taco bell receipt it says I can win $500 cash. I'm going to give them a wild story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 Can someone please explain to me why Atlanta has such a hard time getting a freeze. Even much of Florida has had a freeze, including Gainesville and areas just north of Tampa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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