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Everything posted by McDowell_Weather
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2020/2021 Fall/Winter Mountain thread
McDowell_Weather replied to Met1985's topic in Southeastern States
Cheers My Friend!!!!!!! -
2020/2021 Fall/Winter Mountain thread
McDowell_Weather replied to Met1985's topic in Southeastern States
Looking good fellas! Lets bring it home!!!!! -
2020/2021 Fall/Winter Mountain thread
McDowell_Weather replied to Met1985's topic in Southeastern States
Howdy howdy fellas looking good for a paste bomb classic some of yall may do better with NWF events but this one has legs for the valleys and foothills plus the monday system.....I've only waited a decade for another pattern like this to even track materialize or not. -
2020/2021 Fall/Winter Mountain thread
McDowell_Weather replied to Met1985's topic in Southeastern States
I used to live on coxes creek I've seen some wild weather in the grassy creek area. I've seen it pour snow at the golf course pushing five inches get on up the road just a half mile to spruce pine barley anything. The escarpment plays a big role in that area imo. -
2020/2021 Fall/Winter Mountain thread
McDowell_Weather replied to Met1985's topic in Southeastern States
Hey fellas hope yall had a great thanksgiving!!! I took little man up to Roan the other day ill post pics later but it was white out conditions for sure had to kick 4h in a few times. -
I'm sure the nam is amped...but WRF and RGEM both has snow breaking out in all of WNC at the end of there runs 48hr. I remember a weak wave in March of 14 I think that produced 3in here in marion. NWS went with flurries the night before when all of short range guidence was all over it GSP even said when it was over that it met warning criteria but it was to late to issue point is systems like this are sneaky.
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Couldn't have said it better my friend one thing's for sure too it's been wet with no end in sight all we need is to get that cold air and we could be in bussiness I know it's wishful but definitely in the realm of possibilities. There a lot of truth in the ole saying we need the cold first not enough to suppress but in our neck of the woods to be tapped anyway having cold air like we have on our side of the hemisphere is a plus in my book.
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There's to much cold air up in Canada for me to throw in the towel just yet for anybody really. I do like to get a good snow before FEB bc it produces more of a mix (waa,more amped,ect) but it has produced for All of us too. I dont like analogs anymore there's to much change going on call it gw or whatever you like we're just in a whole other ballpark than even 10-15 years ago imho. So I'm generally a realist but to cliff dive for anyone at this point is funny yeah the decks stacked in your favor but if you enjoy that it's time for a new hobby or state.
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Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019
McDowell_Weather replied to Upstate Tiger's topic in Southeastern States
It's crazy watching the transition line during a storm how it litterly follows 85. Don't feel bad I've watched a many NW flow snow to my north by 15 miles on the out looking in. Sunny and 50 at my house while areas above 3000ft get slammed so damn close you can smell it. -
Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019
McDowell_Weather replied to Upstate Tiger's topic in Southeastern States
Depends on your area too this has NW of 85 written all over it as usual. Even the 850s on the cmc if that were the outcome are very marginal. -
Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019
McDowell_Weather replied to Upstate Tiger's topic in Southeastern States
It's cool to keep your expectations down but I wouldn't write this one off along and north of 85 NC/SC. It's going to bomb out along the coast more than likely question is where? I wouldn't be surprised to see a bigger precip field blossom further NW just need enough caa. A lot of typical thread the needle perfect timing ECT I know but ive seen worse produce and not just for my neck of the woods (mtns/foothills) I'm just glad to have something to track before Christmas even if it doesn't pan out. -
12/13 - Stop Collaborate and Listen Event
McDowell_Weather replied to rowjimmy73's topic in Southeastern States
34..8/19.7....mostly clear some high level clouds to my south -
12/13 - Stop Collaborate and Listen Event
McDowell_Weather replied to rowjimmy73's topic in Southeastern States
I live on the eastern slopes literly almost 1800 ft I get ice when 10 mins down the road doesn't but I agree with your statement. -
12/13 - Stop Collaborate and Listen Event
McDowell_Weather replied to rowjimmy73's topic in Southeastern States
36/24 along the escarpment mostly clear -
I don't take each run of the models at long range as the gospel. I look at trends and one thing is for certain there is a lot of energy flying around and with the winter solstice on our heels.There's somthing about season changes that gets things interesting my biggest snows here in marion was early to mid Dec and of course 93. Definitely has my attention anyway hope everyone had a great thanksgiving.