NJwx85 Posted June 14, 2016 Share Posted June 14, 2016 Saturday looks a bit dicey along the coast but Sunday it's fine At 21z Sunday the Euro has lower 70's in NYC while Trenton is in the lower 80's. Most of Long Island is in the 60's with a gusty Northeasterly wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 14, 2016 Share Posted June 14, 2016 You can see the heat ridge trying to push East on Euro but it just hits a brick wall because of the ULL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mriceyman Posted June 14, 2016 Share Posted June 14, 2016 Whats the deal for thursday in queens. Mumford and sons opens forest hills for the season.. Hopefully trending drier as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 14, 2016 Share Posted June 14, 2016 Now that the OP is moving toward the EPS, it really brings the heat next Monday and Tuesday as the massive heat dome over the SW and Central states builds east. Looks seasonable to me. The real heat stays well Southwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted June 14, 2016 Share Posted June 14, 2016 Now that the OP is moving toward the EPS, it really brings the heat next Monday and Tuesday as the massive heat dome over the SW and Central states builds east. Slightly above average only Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 14, 2016 Share Posted June 14, 2016 Slightly above average only I think I will go with Bluewave's analysis here.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 14, 2016 Share Posted June 14, 2016 I think I will go with Bluewave's analysis here.... Based on his analysis you would think that 90's or 100's were coming. That's not the case because of the blocking due to the ULL. Now if that ULL ends up further East it could be a different story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 14, 2016 Share Posted June 14, 2016 Based on his analysis you would think that 90's or 100's were coming. That's not the case because of the blocking due to the ULL. Now if that ULL ends up further East it could be a different story. with the record ridge out in the SW and temps of 120-130, I'm betting on at least some heat here as it bubbles east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted June 14, 2016 Share Posted June 14, 2016 Average temps are 82/83 for highs now, I think a plus 10 on the high side is likely as depicted, but not much more. As impressive as the heat dome is, the polar jet is a bit strong. It's snowing in the Cascades currently; its possible the heat dome is kept in check. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted June 14, 2016 Share Posted June 14, 2016 Could change, but right now it looks like maybe a day of hot weather Monday before AOB normal temps move back in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted June 14, 2016 Share Posted June 14, 2016 with the record ridge out in the SW and temps of 120-130, I'm betting on at least some heat here as it bubbles east I agree fully. That's how the park set its all time heat record. Dust bowl in the SW spread east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 14, 2016 Share Posted June 14, 2016 GFS has .25+ from NYC south Thursday morning. Looks and feels like a underachieving rain event lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 14, 2016 Share Posted June 14, 2016 GFS has .25+ from NYC south Thursday morning. Looks and feels like a underachieving rain event lol Euro is wetter for central and southern nj but about the same for the immediate NYC area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted June 14, 2016 Share Posted June 14, 2016 Lawns getting dry imby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 14, 2016 Share Posted June 14, 2016 Lawns getting dry imby a couple spots on mine starting to burn out a bit. Not much relief next 7-10 days with a high sun angle and low humidity plus lack of rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michael05192016 Posted June 14, 2016 Share Posted June 14, 2016 Heat cancel after the one day warm up Monday. Back to 78 with upper 40's dews the rest of next week. I wonder if we dodge the heat most of this summer. Think we can??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 Heat cancel after the one day warm up Monday. Back to 78 with upper 40's dews the rest of next week. I wonder if we dodge the heat most of this summer. Think we can??? Nope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 Heat cancel after the one day warm up Monday. Back to 78 with upper 40's dews the rest of next week. I wonder if we dodge the heat most of this summer. Think we can???This guy. The blocking is not going to hold up forever. We will get hot. Hell I think we'll see 100 degrees in July Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 This guy. The blocking is not going to hold up forever. We will get hot. Hell I think we'll see 100 degrees in July He has an outrageous bias lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 Heat cancel after the one day warm up Monday. Back to 78 with upper 40's dews the rest of next week. I wonder if we dodge the heat most of this summer. Think we can??? how's your call for June 2009 working out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 00z GFS trending wetter. Brought some rains back in for Thursday and overall 2-4" over the next 10 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderbolt Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 Your my boy blue keep up the good work Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 The EPS brings in 16C-18C 850's on Monday. Last time we hit this range back in late May Newark reached 96. So while we'll have to wait for the exact temperatures, 90's for the usual warmer areas look like a good bet with a chance the warmest spots see the second 95 or warmer of the season. Meh. I've hit 90's 4 or 5 times already this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michael05192016 Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 Do we heat up a bit in July?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 15, 2016 Author Share Posted June 15, 2016 Do we heat up a bit in July?? The amount of July heat at Newark will depend on how strongly the ridge north of Hawaii can build. The hottest July's at Newark since 2005 featured a strong ridge locking in north of Hawaii. 2013...+3.5 2012...+3.4 2011...+5.5 2010...+5.1 The middle group at Newark for warmth had intermittent weaker ridges north of Hawaii. 2015...+1.6 2008...+1.5 2006...+2.3 2005...+1.1 Only a small minority of years since 2005 featured below normal July temperatures. 2014....-0.4 2009....-2.9 2007....-1.3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 the airmass is definitely warmer and muggier today-already 72 here after struggling to get there the last few days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderbolt Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 it looks like the Southwest will be breaking some records with this heat out there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 the airmass is definitely warmer and muggier today-already 72 here after struggling to get there the last few days Have my a.c on. Really muggy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 Things could get interesting around sunrise tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 15, 2016 Share Posted June 15, 2016 NAM likes Central Jersey S and W for tomorrow-several inches towards DC - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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