RJSnowLover Posted February 29, 2016 Share Posted February 29, 2016 Winds beginning to blow harder. Down to 48 after being at 51 7 minutes ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 29, 2016 Share Posted February 29, 2016 18z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowcaine Posted February 29, 2016 Share Posted February 29, 2016 Liking the GFS trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 29, 2016 Author Share Posted February 29, 2016 It's 4th down and 10 for Detroit, per the 18z runs. Will the hail marry be successful? We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 29, 2016 Share Posted February 29, 2016 18z runs were good across the board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 29, 2016 Share Posted February 29, 2016 Toronto still riding high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 29, 2016 Share Posted February 29, 2016 Getting some flakes on north side Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 29, 2016 Share Posted February 29, 2016 It's 4th down and 10 for Detroit, per the 18z runs. Will the hail marry be successful? We'll see. What are you talking about, literally every model improved for us and has through the day, except for the Euro and we don't know if the parallel even agrees with it, the EPS control didn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 29, 2016 Share Posted February 29, 2016 I don't really understand how the numbers get inserted in the PW maps. My area is in pretty much the same color as Madison and Mt. Pleasant, but yet the number is only 6.9 inches compared to over 9 inches in those places. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 29, 2016 Author Share Posted February 29, 2016 What are you talking about, literally every model improved for us and has through the day, except for the Euro and we don't know if the parallel even agrees with it, the EPS control didn't. I don't care about a 3-6" snowstorm. I'm talking about the prospects of reeling in something big. Until the 18z runs, that was probably out of the question entirely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 29, 2016 Share Posted February 29, 2016 Getting some larger flakes temp down to 33 already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 29, 2016 Share Posted February 29, 2016 Getting some larger flakes temp down to 33 already. Enjoy. It's the only snow you'll get.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 29, 2016 Share Posted February 29, 2016 Haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowcaine Posted February 29, 2016 Share Posted February 29, 2016 The fact that both the NAM and GFS went wetter with 18Z is a great sign for Toronto given they were the drier models for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 29, 2016 Share Posted February 29, 2016 Haha It's still high 40's here about 10 miles south of you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 29, 2016 Share Posted February 29, 2016 Getting some larger flakes temp down to 33 already. Still mid 50s here. Wunderground obs map is good for capturing highly variable conditions on a day like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted February 29, 2016 Share Posted February 29, 2016 About 35 degrees here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted February 29, 2016 Share Posted February 29, 2016 Still mid 50s here. Wunderground obs map is good for capturing highly variable conditions on a day like this. Untitled.png south and west sides of the city need some more obs sites. never understood why observations are so damn hard to come by in such a densely populated city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 29, 2016 Share Posted February 29, 2016 Massive flakes, gonna be a shame when this band lifts north in an hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 29, 2016 Share Posted February 29, 2016 I don't care about a 3-6" snowstorm. I'm talking about the prospects of reeling in something big. Until the 18z runs, that was probably out of the question entirely. Hell 6" is something big in March. Also would be the biggest storm of the year if we did hit 6" or better. The super storm amounts from last week were smoke and mirrors. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 29, 2016 Share Posted February 29, 2016 Massive flakes, gonna be a shame when this band lifts north in an hour There it is. For a moment I thought optimism was going to overtake you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 29, 2016 Share Posted February 29, 2016 Front is visible on LOT base reflectivity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted February 29, 2016 Share Posted February 29, 2016 Big wind shift to the N/NE out here in Oak Brook, gusty now too and really chilly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 29, 2016 Author Share Posted February 29, 2016 Hell 6" is something big in March. Also would be the biggest storm of the year if we did hit 6" or better. The super storm amounts from last week were smoke and mirrors. The widespread 2 feet amounts probably weren't going to happen, but there is a possibility that the models are still playing catch up with the strength of this system. Right now, the system does seem to be on the deeper end of expectations out to the west. If that's the case and we do see another baby step or two similar to the 18z runs, we could certainly be in the running for 12"+ amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IllinoisWedges Posted February 29, 2016 Share Posted February 29, 2016 Went from 52° to 41° since 4 pm. Gusty winds making it feel like 36° Edit: Temp now down to 40° Another Edit: Now 38° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 29, 2016 Share Posted February 29, 2016 Wow, 41 degrees, IP/RN- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 29, 2016 Share Posted February 29, 2016 The fact that both the NAM and GFS went wetter with 18Z is a great sign for Toronto given they were the drier models for us. Indeed. I'll bump by range to 7-10" and I'll probably lock that in after the 0z suite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 29, 2016 Share Posted February 29, 2016 Wow, 41 degrees, IP/RN- Nice Looks like the front is moving onto the Indiana shore now so next GYY ob should reflect it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowcaine Posted February 29, 2016 Share Posted February 29, 2016 Indeed. I'll bump by range to 7-10" and I'll probably lock that in after the 0z suite. I'm thinking 9" sort of call so sounds like we have come to similar conclusions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 29, 2016 Share Posted February 29, 2016 Nice Looks like the front is moving onto the Indiana shore now so next GYY ob should reflect it. Looks to be on a galena to Gary line based on temps/wind direction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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