snowcaine

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About snowcaine

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    CYYZ
  • Location:
    Toronto, ON

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  1. A similar situation... about 3 times in the last 35 years
  2. Looks like Toronto is on track to finish the first 6 months of 2019 without ever hitting 80 degrees
  3. Yep ratios are very high with this one. I figured we'd be on the cold side of the prime denditic growth zone and get pixie dust as seems to be the case with clippers in these situations but not the case at all. 6-8" seems reasonable at this stage for most folks. Seems to be 3-5" across the GTA already.
  4. I may be eating crow with this one. Impressive enhancement today
  5. I'm just not seeing it for this system. Too much shear to really get good lake enhancement in my opinion. Should move through the area relatively quickly. I'd go with 3-5" for Toronto personally.
  6. About 4-5 " fell here in midtown Toronto. We've got about 0.15" of ice accretion and it's really gusting.
  7. I'd be shocked if we got less than 6". I'd go more for 7-11" come Wednesday morning
  8. I have no idea what to expect here in Toronto. There are so many possible outcomes
  9. 5" being reported at YYZ in Toronto. Looks like we could make a run for 9"
  10. Already at 2" here in midtown Toronto from this lake enhancement. Incredible snow right now
  11. Nice lake effect streamer just south of the GTA. Should drift north as winds veer from NE to E at the surface. At least we know the ingredients are there for lake effect.
  12. Luckily for us nearly every model has a nice lake effect signature which guarantees some good ratios. But it should be offset by the pixie dust that I feared would be coming. Probably estimating 12:1 ratios on average should yield accurate totals. I'd go with 6-7" with locally higher amounts (8-9") for North parts of the GTA and Scarborough where I suspect that band will orient itself
  13. Yeah I am not seeing any substantial movement on the NAM.