Ginx snewx Posted February 23, 2016 Author Share Posted February 23, 2016 Stick a fork in her for SNE. 1 inch or so tops you mean Tolland CT lets forget the Sheltons, The Chris in Greenfields, the ORH counties Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 23, 2016 Author Share Posted February 23, 2016 Or totally as temps/dews tomorrow night hit 60 Better to have had than to never have had is a quote you posted the other day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 you mean Tolland CT lets forget the Sheltons, The Chris in Greenfields, the ORH counties I mean most of us. 1-3 SW Ct and 1 inch HFD north as dry air eats it. This is 100% a meh event today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Are we looking at the same rGEM? wasn't it always 2-3? Will have to wait for accumulation maps, I think it's less than that south of CT/MA border. It definitely cut back for BOS as well, maybe bumped up for extreme NMA/SVT/SNH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 23, 2016 Author Share Posted February 23, 2016 I mean most of us. 1-3 SW Ct and 1 inch HFD north as dry air eats it. This is 100% a meh event today better to have had than never had, lol you turn more than a free skater going for the gold, its a funny psychosis. it has been a front end to ice to eventually heavy rain with maybe a flip back to snow for some for days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 HRRR says 4-5pm so 3-5pm in WMA seems reasonable Should be fun, think I'll take wife's Subaru... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 23, 2016 Author Share Posted February 23, 2016 Will have to wait for accumulation maps, I think it's less than that south of CT/MA border. It definitely cut back for BOS as well, maybe bumped up for extreme NMA/SVT/SNH. Accumulation also includes ice so when you see those maps on Tropical Tidbits don't be fooled. if you could see Bufkit for rGEM that would be more telling. rGEM is good a low levels for this. I am interested in how much ice it puts out for our friends as this is not just strictly a snow thread rather an event from start to finish. I know some don't care about anything but snow but this multifaceted system has it all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Well well well ... we got ourselves a humdinger of a multi-faceted menace, don't we? I've used the FRH (FOUS) numbers for many years; so long that I've got a pretty clear impression of what sensible impacts will be just from glancing over grid values. This is a smoking gun 'close to warning ice storm for interior favored climos. In fact, there could even be accretion still occurring out around Orange Mass, while Provindence, RI is nearing 60 F. But, the warm air will win in these affairs ... even in said tough interior zones that will be the case. There is simply too much s mechanical wind velocity, in the key sigma levels not too, and with that much mlv forcing going west of New England, it will obliterate the critical depths that provide the mass for any ageostrophic flow. But, we will still have to contend with that until the big warm push takes place. So, we.. got a bit of duration to the totality of the event as we translate through a microcosm of seasonal variance. Winter, with snow to ice in solid advisory/bordering ice-warn, to fog and drizzle and mad dripping of glazing, to sudden cloud streets and dramatically milder air, to possibly ending it all as a squall with embedded wind issues. I'm noticing that LIs are actually down beneath 0 late Thursday.. Again, this all strikes me quite similarly to the event last week, where we awoke to heavy glazing setting the landscape aglow, only to have it erode out with extreme rapidity and temps soared to 55 by sundown. Although, this may actually be more extreme on either side just because the whole of thing is stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 better to have had than never had, lol you turn more than a free skater going for the gold, its a funny psychosis. it has been a front end to ice to eventually heavy rain with maybe a flip back to snow for some for days. GGW wild over this? Enjoy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Accumulation also includes ice so when you see those maps on Tropical Tidbits don't be fooled. if you could see Bufkit for rGEM that would be more telling. rGEM is good a low levels for this. I am interested in how much ice it puts out for our friends as this is not just strictly a snow thread rather an event from start to finish. I know some don't care about anything but snow but this multifaceted system has it all. It cut back on total qpf from 6z, not just snow, and I did say SNE didn't I? I suppose it could be interesting in the Berks for ice, but outside of that it looks like a CNE/NNE event to me outside of an inch or two of snow/pellets and then rain. better to have had than never had, lol you turn more than a free skater going for the gold, its a funny psychosis. it has been a front end to ice to eventually heavy rain with maybe a flip back to snow for some for days. yup for some days now, he can DREAM ON...oh wait Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 I thought RGEM actually looked pretty good for N of pike...esp Rt 2 regions in ORH county to W MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 23, 2016 Author Share Posted February 23, 2016 GGW wild over this? Enjoy I actually started a thread to discuss multi facted weather for all the members here and I have gone wild. WTF is up with you? Stop being such a snow weenie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 23, 2016 Author Share Posted February 23, 2016 Well well well ... we got ourselves a humdinger of a multi-faceted menace, don't we? I've used the FRH (FOUS) numbers for many years; so long that I've got a pretty clear impression of what sensible impacts will be just from glancing over grid values. This is a smoking gun 'close to warning ice storm for interior favored climos. In fact, there could even be accretion still occurring out around Orange Mass, while Provindence, RI is nearing 60 F. But, the warm air will win in these affairs ... even in said tough interior zones that will be the case. There is simply too much s mechanical wind velocity, in the key sigma levels not too, and with that much mlv forcing going west of New England, it will obliterate the critical depths that provide the mass for any ageostrophic flow. But, we will still have to contend with that until the big warm push takes place. So, we.. got a bit of duration to the totality of the event as we translate through a microcosm of seasonal variance. Winter, with snow to ice in solid advisory/bordering ice-warn, to fog and drizzle and mad dripping of glazing, to sudden cloud streets and dramatically milder air, to possibly ending it all as a squall with embedded wind issues. I'm noticing that LIs are actually down beneath 0 late Thursday.. Again, this all strikes me quite similarly to the event last week, where we awoke to heavy glazing setting the landscape aglow, only to have it erode out with extreme rapidity and temps soared to 55 by sundown. Although, this may actually be more extreme on either side just because the whole of thing is stronger. Great synopsis of this, beginning to wonder what the backside brings for winds and possible snow from ORH north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 I actually started a thread to discuss multi facted weather for all the members here and I have gone wild. WTF is up with you? Stop being such a snow weenie.Just the reality SNE is facing . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 RGEM has a nice burst rt 2 north and especially in NH/western ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 23, 2016 Author Share Posted February 23, 2016 Euro has a backside LP of 994 skirting ENY through the Berks and ORH county perhaps laying down a quick couple inches, Also has CAA winds gusting over 40 MPH Thursday night.with temps dropping through the 20s Also a very good setup for Greens upslope. Busy couple of days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Maple syrup producers won't like the Nam suite FRZRN Looks a little less dire for Quebec's Eastern Townships where much of their syrup is produced, but still hammers northern Franklin and Somerset Counties in Maine. A late winter tree-breaker is the worst for a sugary, as its not just the damage to trees but all the falling branches destroying the tubing network, with insufficient time to make repairs.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 23, 2016 Author Share Posted February 23, 2016 Have to watch the backside in this setup, 850 and 500 open up and energy rotates into WMA ORH county, something to watch that is not just our usual LP cutting through the St Lawrence river valley. Could lead to squalls at minimum or an organized bout of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 I'm still thinking snow/ice still overdone (IMBY) - 1-2" of snow, 0.1" ice is my call, but it will make for a messing overnight into the morning near me... probable delays The rain will be such a pain in the butt again. I miss the damaging drought days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Euro has a backside LP of 994 skirting ENY through the Berks and ORH county perhaps laying down a quick couple inches, Also has CAA winds gusting over 40 MPH Thursday night.with temps dropping through the 20s Also a very good setup for Greens upslope. Busy couple of days GGW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Great synopsis of this, beginning to wonder what the backside brings for winds and possible snow from ORH north yeah, i've been noticing that too - tough to want to discuss much having to do with snow these days. Ha. but there's a pig punch of vorticity advection rocketing curvilinearly E then N off the Del Marve on the back side of the primary cyclone, and it does seem the models are hinting at an odd-ball kind of norlan response there. interesting either way - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 23, 2016 Author Share Posted February 23, 2016 Well Kevin take solace in the 3-4 the GFS prints out for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 23, 2016 Author Share Posted February 23, 2016 GGW Thanks, working hard trying to show all the options in one place. If you are working I imagine that is quite the difficult forecast but I am sure Brad is on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 23, 2016 Author Share Posted February 23, 2016 yeah, i've been noticing that too - tough to want to discuss much having to do with snow these days. Ha. but there's a pig punch of vorticity advection rocketing curvilinearly E then N off the Del Marve on the back side of the primary cyclone, and it does seem the models are hinting at an odd-ball kind of norlan response there. interesting either way - Basically a sub Arctic front shown now comes roaring through, excellent CAA setup, will be a night of roaring winds making it feel and sound like winter at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Well Kevin take solace in the 3-4 the GFS prints out for youGFSGGW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 23, 2016 Author Share Posted February 23, 2016 GFSGGW? Pitiful contributions in this thread, Brock level, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Basically a sub Arctic front shown now comes roaring through, excellent CAA setup, will be a night of roaring winds making it feel and sound like winter at least. ha, been a while since i've personally seen a good ole fashioned WINDEX whiteout - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 ha, been a while since i've personally seen a good ole fashioned WINDEX whiteout - When is the time frame of this? Thursday is still a deluge for most, correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 I will say that radar looks pretty impressive for that first band to roll up and through. The BTV WRF (remember though, it has an NMM core) really hits southern HV / CT / NRI hard around 4pm. It's been consistent with this band for a few runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 I haven't looked into this much but I see the same type of system we had a week or two ago. Boston might see a c-1" then flip. exhilarating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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