STORM MODE THREAD- January 22-23 Mid Atlantic Storm Thread #4 - No Banter

[clskinsfan]

Wow. Philly smoked on this run.

[Deck Pic]

Wow. Philly smoked on this run.

 

They never miss a big storm...

[ThePhotoGuy]

Nam 4KM looks Good

 

Hour 21 & 24

[AlaskaETC]

4k looks great...20-27" for the whole area

[Superstorm]

Dry slot stays offshore

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[DCAlexandria]

what am i missing? 4k doesn't look like a dry slot for dc at all

[WeSuck]

what am i missing? 4k doesn't look like a dry slot for dc at all

It isn't. They were talking about the regular NAM

[DCAlexandria]

It isn't. They were talking about the regular NAM

 

isn't a higher resolution more useful this far out?

[Deck Pic]

4k looks great...20-27" for the whole area

 

yes..me and you get quasi - dryslotted from like 10am - 1pm, and then we'll start getting banded...

[stormtracker]

what am i missing? 4k doesn't look like a dry slot for dc at all

Because there isn't one....on the 4k.  And the one on the regular NAM gets close, but I don't see it over DC?  I'm using NCEP though, so people with finer maps may show it, but Idon't see it.  It gets close.

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

what am i missing? 4k doesn't look like a dry slot for dc at all

4K has the deform extending further south.

[PhineasC]

4k is a thing of beauty. 

[nj2va]

4K NAM has like 18" of snow on the ground in DC by 7am.  

[Deck Pic]

Because there isn't one....on the 4k.  And the one on the regular NAM gets close, but I don't see it over DC?  I'm using NCEP though, so people with finer maps may show it, but Idon't see it.  It gets close.

 

There is a dryslot on the 4KNAM....we will probably have some sort of dryslot...we'll have to see how it sets up

[EHoffman]

Because there isn't one....on the 4k.  And the one on the regular NAM gets close, but I don't see it over DC?  I'm using NCEP though, so people with finer maps may show it, but Idon't see it.  It gets close.

DC is getting light snow for basically 6 hours on Saturday afternoon, according to NAM.  Picks up a bit before it heads out Saturday night. 

[wawarriors4]

There is a dryslot on the 4KNAM....we will probably have some sort of dryslot...we'll have to see how it sets up

Straight now casting for the dry slot and its evolution, tricky to pick up exactly where is get to and doesn't, just watch trends. You are probably right with Light Snow still falling however in the "dry" slot

[Deck Pic]

DC is getting light snow for basically 6 hours on Saturday afternoon, according to NAM.  Picks up a bit before it heads out Saturday night. 

 

I'm hoping as we get closer to tomorrow morning the hi-res short term models start to fill this in, but we have to prepare for it...west of IAD should be fine

[Scarlet Pimpernel]

Because there isn't one....on the 4k.  And the one on the regular NAM gets close, but I don't see it over DC?  I'm using NCEP though, so people with finer maps may show it, but Idon't see it.  It gets close.

 

I checked instant wx maps, and yeah, it gets close but we stay in the precip it appears.  Better looking than last night, at least.

[Deck Pic]

late afternoon on 4k is pretty good rakeage for DC

[DCAlexandria]

Intersting WD and Stormtracker can have such different interpretations.  I just don't see the dry slot hitting dc on the 4k at all.

[stormtracker]

There is a dryslot on the 4KNAM....we will probably have some sort of dryslot...we'll have to see how it sets up

 

 

DC is getting light snow for basically 6 hours on Saturday afternoon, according to NAM.  Picks up a bit before it heads out Saturday night. 

Hmmm, ok

[EHoffman]

I'm hoping as we get closer to tomorrow morning the hi-res short term models start to fill this in, but we have to prepare for it...west of IAD should be fine

It's going to be a sweat for sure.  NAM looks like it wants to set up the pivot point just north of the city.

[stormtracker]

Intersting WD and Stormtracker can have such different interpretations.  I just don't see the dry slot hitting dc on the 4k at all.

I'd go with Matt on this one..Im using ****ty maps

[nj2va]

late afternoon on 4k is pretty good rakeage for DC

 

We'd get over 2' on this run even with the SN-/dry slot.  

[Deck Pic]

Intersting WD and Stormtracker can have such different interpretations.  I just don't see the dry slot hitting dc on the 4k at all.

 

why do I bother posting here?  DO you think I am making it up?  That I don't know how to read a model?  

[AlaskaETC]

By 36 hrs, 4k gives DC like 24-28"

[Deck Pic]

We'd get over 2' on this run even with the SN-/dry slot.  

 

yes...we get crushed....

[Deck Pic]

By 36 hrs, 4k gives DC like 24-28"

 

more coming

[EHoffman]

We'd get over 2' on this run even with the SN-/dry slot.  

Yeah we're just nitpicking we still get hammered dry slot or no.

[Deck Pic]