BxEngine Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 General disclaimer: This is not a personal blog. If you cant post something science related, stick to the banter thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Going to be very depressing next week. We will miss both storms, and per the SE forum, Euro absolutely torches the whole eastern CONUS with zonal, Pacific air at Day 7+. Today is our final storm most likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Going to be very depressing next week. We will miss both storms, and per the SE forum, Euro absolutely torches the whole eastern CONUS with zonal, Pacific air at Day 7+. Today is our final storm most likely. Ehhh, not too sure about that. Ensembles have been improving in the longer range as of late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwcMan Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 15z SREF is more west with the 2nd storm Not to jinx but isn't this how it has typically started this year? SREF slowly bumps west and west..we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 I thought this was the banter thread ? Also seems to be a few wishcasters and other banter in the main storm thread today....... I didnt say it wasnt? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Not to jinx but isn't this how it has typically started this year? SREF slowly bumps west and west..we'll see. Jan blizzard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LIsnowBubble Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 lol.. for real! Places that average 25-30" of snow have 7 times what Albany has by 2/5 in the warmest winter ever! Its actually quite comical. ...Think about that... If someone told me that before the winter started I would say they are nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Welcome back!! Thank you JM; thank you very much. I hope you are enjoying your time down in the Sunbelt...though I somehow sense the absence of snow & cold can be a rather unsettling aspect of ordinary winter down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 After today even if NYC sees no snow the rest of the way everyone can officially toss the we would have broken the 72-73 record. I think they are at 2.9 now without the blizzard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 with 29.7" so far NYC needs 0.3" by 2/15 to make the 30" in 30 days list...it's only been done ten times...last year we got 28" from 1/24 to 2/22...2006 was close also... 30" in 30 days...The short list...02/24-03/24, 1896.....32.0"02/06-03/07, 1914.....35.2"12/26-01/24, 1948.....43.4"01/15-02/13, 1961.....34.1"01/16-02/14, 1978.....37.2"02/02-03/03, 1994.....30.8"12/14-01/12, 1996.....35.2"01/28-02/26, 2010.....38.2"01/07-02/05, 2011.....37.6" 01/21-02/19, 2014.....42.1" 01/17-02/15, 2016.....29.7" as of 2/5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 So much for the warmth being transient...temps overperforming again today and mt holly has bumped me to highs of 45 and 48 for the weekend...that would make 7 days above normal not including the 31th Lol. 6-12 of snow later on LI and 2-4/3-6 in the metro a few days after this post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Seasonal Snowfall 2015-16 Winter Through February 3rd, 2016 JFK: 31.4" Newark: 29.6" LGA: 28.8" Central Park: 27.2" Islip: 24.8" NWS Upton: 18.8" Bridgeport: 11.0" Glad to see this again.. Perhaps up and down the east coast when you have time? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 What's everyone's this on NY having it's own weather service? I'd love to be able to host sensors,though maybe the state park I work at night be a place them put one! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 What's everyone's this on NY having it's own weather service? I'd love to be able to host sensors,though maybe the state park I work at night be a place them put one! PWI? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CiBill Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Lol. 6-12 of snow later on LI and 2-4/3-6 in the metro a few days after this post Didn't know snow accumulations have anything to do with whether warmth is transient or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Lol. 6-12 of snow later on LI and 2-4/3-6 in the metro a few days after this post And this has nothing to do with the warm being considered transient Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Today was +4 in NYC with 2.5 inches of snow. Not exactly a torch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 And this has nothing to do with the warm being considered transientIf it lasts a week and then we go below on Monday is it trasient? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 PWI? http://www.nysmesonet.org Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CiBill Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 If it lasts a week and then we go below on Monday is it trasient? Depends on how long the below temps last. The models have been flipping back and forth between cold and warm solutions past the 15-18th, so confidence in a locked in below normal pattern isn't exactly through the roof ATM. Likewise for a AN pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastalplainsnowman Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Based on my Upton forecast (and others) for SE Nassau, next week should be interesting. The word snow is quite prevalent, and the high temps drift downward over the period. Somehow seeing a forecast like this, however unlikely it may be, never gets old for some of us. Sunday Night: Slight chance of snow Monday: Snow Likely Monday Night: Snow Likely Tuesday: Snow Likely Tuesday Night: Snow Likely Wednesday: A chance of snow Wednesday Night: A chance of snow Thursday: A chance of snow Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy Friday: A chance of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick05 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Lee Goldberg thinking best chance for snow in the next 10 days. Storms may favor inland by middle of February. And he's calling for one more storm late February to March based on long-range signal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 we are in a period with numerous chances for snow...It reminds me of the two weeks starting Feb. 8th, 1964...when all was sad and done over 14" of snow fell from six events...7" in one storm...it never got that cold during the period but it was cold enough... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 http://bit.ly/1KvynZT A great video from Bernie this afternoon, explains that YES.. This can come up the coast.. And YES we CAN get hit with both systems back to back... everytime that guy says we get hit, we don't. Or vice versa. I'm sorry but he's not that great of a meteorologist. There's way better talent on here. I've been calling for a monster storm for a few days. I think this will eventually be a monster phase and the initial coastal doesn't get kicked out to sea like that, instead it phases with the Miller B and become a monster. nam and nam 4K really show that almost to the T. Watch those two storms merge in the future runs. The only models I'll be looking at from now on until I get proven wrong are the nam and nam4k. Euro and GFS are entertainment purposes, CMC is nice to look at for the long term, it usually losses the storms in the midrange. Rgem has been okay but did terrible with the blizzard. I wanna get nam'd again. By Sunday we should definitely get a crazy nam run especially with the monster coastal just offshore! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 I got snow in my forecast from Sunday - Friday lol http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?CityName=Brooklyn&state=NY&site=OKX&lat=40.6498&lon=-73.9488#.VrV7f0-gvlY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 I got snow in my forecast from Sunday - Friday lol http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?CityName=Brooklyn&state=NY&site=OKX&lat=40.6498&lon=-73.9488#.VrV7f0-gvlY Best I've seen in years. Hey Ant, you think we get these 2 systems to phase and we get a mega storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Best I've seen in years. Hey Ant, you think we get these 2 systems to phase and we get a mega stormWhat do the models you invented say? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Glad to see this again.. Perhaps up and down the east coast when you have time? Thanks Nice to see you Tim. As Bill Murray said regarding "the plan" in Stripes, "I'm workin' on it" Seasonal Snowfall 2015-16 Winter Through February 5th, 2016 JFK: 36.0" Islip: 34.6" Newark: 32.4" LGA: 31.2" Central Park: 29.7" NWS Upton: 26.7" Bridgeport: 19.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 everytime that guy says we get hit, we don't. Or vice versa. I'm sorry but he's not that great of a meteorologist. There's way better talent on here. I've been calling for a monster storm for a few days. I think this will eventually be a monster phase and the initial coastal doesn't get kicked out to sea like that, instead it phases with the Miller B and become a monster. nam and nam 4K really show that almost to the T. Watch those two storms merge in the future runs. The only models I'll be looking at from now on until I get proven wrong are the nam and nam4k. Euro and GFS are entertainment purposes, CMC is nice to look at for the long term, it usually losses the storms in the midrange. Rgem has been okay but did terrible with the blizzard. I wanna get nam'd again. By Sunday we should definitely get a crazy nam run especially with the monster coastal just offshore! Huh? He did great with the last few storms. You don't sound very credible putting others down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Seasonal Snowfall 2015-16 WinterThrough February 5th, 2016 Caribou: 46.3" NYC JFK: 36.0" Islip, NY: 34.6" Newark: 32.4" Allentown: 32.3" NYC LGA: 31.2" Baltimore: 30.0" Washington Dulles: 29.9" NYC Central Park: 29.7" Portland 29.3" Philadelphia: 24.1" Worcester: 23.6" Bridgeport: 19.0" Atlantic City: 18.8" Washington National: 18.8" Wilmington, DE: 18.4" Concord, NH: 17.2" Boston: 17.2" Binghamton: 13.5" Providence: 13.0" Richmond: 12.1" Hartford: 9.5" Albany: 5.5" Scranton: 5.3" Norfolk, VA: 2.8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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