CoastalWx Posted September 19, 2015 Share Posted September 19, 2015 no I was just pointing out the GFS does. Clown range Yeah...I just meant that I'm sure it's hit gonna change his opinion. FWIW I thought the euro ensemble was frosty in a lot of spots too nest weekend...esp more classic cooler rad spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 19, 2015 Author Share Posted September 19, 2015 No way that verifies. Then again it is a wxbell map and those are produced to sell internet clicks. Putting it in perspective, based on averages, BDL's first 32F or lower reading has a 10% chance of occurring on Oct 1st or earlier. In the 1981-2010 period, BDL has reached 32 or lower before Oct 1st just two times on 9/29/1991 and 9/29/2000.it's the signal not the verbatim output to key on. Fyi accu pro is similar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted September 19, 2015 Share Posted September 19, 2015 lol...I was one of the cool spots up here and still had 82.3F.78.7 high here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted September 19, 2015 Share Posted September 19, 2015 KFIT hit 86 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 19, 2015 Share Posted September 19, 2015 since we're talking models GFS disagrees with youthat GFS 2m T product has been weenieish since last cold season. I'll take the over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 19, 2015 Share Posted September 19, 2015 Well I'm sure he's not scared of a day 10 op run.Why no numbers for next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted September 19, 2015 Share Posted September 19, 2015 Why no numbers for next week? Wow, you're still awake. Night owl tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted September 19, 2015 Share Posted September 19, 2015 MPM has been running equal with temperatures around the 2,500ft up here. He was only 5-degrees warmer than 4,000ft at MMNV1, lol. I want that micro-climate. He definitely doesn't have those differences in winter. He might not hit 65 next week. Most places in SNE should be low to perhaps mid 70's, even Moosup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted September 19, 2015 Share Posted September 19, 2015 Would be great to see mid 30s down here in September. Usually get a few nights in the 40s, but 30s are rare. That would definitely be an early first frost for many locales on the South Coast of SNE, Hudson Valley, interior NJ, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted September 19, 2015 Share Posted September 19, 2015 Not buying those 2m Temps on the Gfs. How many times have we seen that model go overboard with cold shots in the fall?. Scattered frost in the sheltered interior radiators, especially north of the Pike is about as far as I would go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 19, 2015 Author Share Posted September 19, 2015 Lol at anyone buying the gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted September 19, 2015 Share Posted September 19, 2015 Not buying those 2m Temps on the Gfs. How many times have we seen that model go overboard with cold shots in the fall?. Scattered frost in the sheltered interior radiators, especially north of the Pike is about as far as I would go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 19, 2015 Share Posted September 19, 2015 That verified, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 19, 2015 Share Posted September 19, 2015 Hey-yo first mention of 30s in the zone forecast just showed up on Sunday night. Must be trending colder or something. Sunday Night...Clear. Patchy dense fog. Lows in the upper 30s. Northwest winds around 10 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted September 19, 2015 Share Posted September 19, 2015 lol...I was one of the cool spots up here and still had 82.3F. 78.7 high here Thanks for the ball-park verification, Dave. There were many stations in GC yesterday (and you ) reporting similar +/- of what I was. Meanwhile, it's 57.7/55 now. Foggy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted September 19, 2015 Share Posted September 19, 2015 Hey-yo first mention of 30s in the zone forecast just showed up on Sunday night. Must be trending colder or something. Sunday Night...Clear. Patchy dense fog. Lows in the upper 30s. Northwest winds around 10 mph. Congrats. Footsies will be coming out soon. My ZFP is saying 'near 40'. For a Pit overnight low, that will translate to 49.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 19, 2015 Share Posted September 19, 2015 Looks like a few days at least in the 60s here next week, followed by a cool weekend. Much welcomed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 19, 2015 Share Posted September 19, 2015 Thanks for the ball-park verification, Dave. There were many stations in GC yesterday (and you ) reporting similar +/- of what I was. Meanwhile, it's 57.7/55 now. Foggy. Wasn't Dave still 2-3F warmer than you... 79 vs 76?Dendrite is en-route with a calibration Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 19, 2015 Share Posted September 19, 2015 Wasn't Dave still 2-3F warmer than you... 79 vs 76? Dendrite is en-route with a calibration F the haters Mike. I'm on your side. Go cold or go home. We'll prove'em wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted September 19, 2015 Share Posted September 19, 2015 Looks like a few days at least in the 60s here next week, followed by a cool weekend. Much welcomed. Where ? Inside 495 ? http://lmgcorporate.com/wshm/weather_graphics/7-day_forecast.jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 19, 2015 Share Posted September 19, 2015 Where ? Inside 495 ? http://lmgcorporate.com/wshm/weather_graphics/7-day_forecast.jpg Yeah best chance east...but 70 even where you are is pretty nice. Monday or Tuesday has a chance of holding near 69 or so even there perhaps. Then we'll see about next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 19, 2015 Share Posted September 19, 2015 So why were 2 people giving me trouble yesterday when i said 70's and AN overall next week? Maybe an east facing beach stays in the upper 60's. I don't get why people were doing that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 19, 2015 Author Share Posted September 19, 2015 Yeah best chance east...but 70 even where you are is pretty nice. Monday or Tuesday has a chance of holding near 69 or so even there perhaps. Then we'll see about next weekend. Lots of east and ne winds at all levels for an extended period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 19, 2015 Share Posted September 19, 2015 So why were 2 people giving me trouble yesterday when i said 70's and AN overall next week? Maybe an east facing beach stays in the upper 60's. I don't get why people were doing that? Oh I don't know..,maybe because you had days of 75-80? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 19, 2015 Share Posted September 19, 2015 Oh I don't know..,maybe because you had days of 75-80? Wed-Fri are 75-80 in the normal spots. It's not always about beaches in E ma you know. There's more to SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 19, 2015 Share Posted September 19, 2015 Wed-Fri are 75-80 in the normal spots. It's not always about beaches in E ma you know. There's more to SNE Good luck. Maybe in the valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 19, 2015 Share Posted September 19, 2015 GFSX MOS (MEX) KORH GFSX MOS GUIDANCE 9/19/2015 0000 UTC FHR 24| 36 48| 60 72| 84 96|108 120|132 144|156 168|180 192 SAT 19| SUN 20| MON 21| TUE 22| WED 23| THU 24| FRI 25| SAT 26 CLIMO X/N 78| 60 68| 48 67| 51 68| 51 68| 53 69| 54 63| 52 66 48 67 TMP 72| 61 58| 52 59| 55 60| 54 60| 57 61| 56 57| 54 58 DPT 64| 53 45| 42 43| 45 49| 49 49| 50 54| 53 55| 48 52 CLD CL| PC CL| CL CL| CL OV| OV CL| CL CL| OV OV| OV OV WND 9| 13 13| 10 9| 7 8| 7 8| 10 10| 8 13| 13 13 P12 4| 23 11| 11 12| 14 19| 25 11| 15 17| 24 29| 42 21999999 P24 | 30| 13| 19| 25| 23| 51| 54 999 Q12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 | Q24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| | T12 1| 11 1| 0 1| 0 3| 0 0| 0 2| 1 2| 3 2 T24 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 PZP 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 1 1| 2 0| 0 0 PSN 0| 0 0| 0 1| 2 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 4 0 PRS 0| 0 0| 1 0| 1 0| 0 1| 0 0| 2 1| 1 1 TYP R| R R| R R| R R| R R| R R| R R| R R SNW | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| | Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 19, 2015 Share Posted September 19, 2015 GFSX MOS (MEX) KORH GFSX MOS GUIDANCE 9/19/2015 0000 UTC FHR 24| 36 48| 60 72| 84 96|108 120|132 144|156 168|180 192 SAT 19| SUN 20| MON 21| TUE 22| WED 23| THU 24| FRI 25| SAT 26 CLIMO X/N 78| 60 68| 48 67| 51 68| 51 68| 53 69| 54 63| 52 66 48 67 TMP 72| 61 58| 52 59| 55 60| 54 60| 57 61| 56 57| 54 58 DPT 64| 53 45| 42 43| 45 49| 49 49| 50 54| 53 55| 48 52 CLD CL| PC CL| CL CL| CL OV| OV CL| CL CL| OV OV| OV OV WND 9| 13 13| 10 9| 7 8| 7 8| 10 10| 8 13| 13 13 P12 4| 23 11| 11 12| 14 19| 25 11| 15 17| 24 29| 42 21999999 P24 | 30| 13| 19| 25| 23| 51| 54 999 Q12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 | Q24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| | T12 1| 11 1| 0 1| 0 3| 0 0| 0 2| 1 2| 3 2 T24 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 PZP 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 1 1| 2 0| 0 0 PSN 0| 0 0| 0 1| 2 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 4 0 PRS 0| 0 0| 1 0| 1 0| 0 1| 0 0| 2 1| 1 1 TYP R| R R| R R| R R| R R| R R| R R| R R SNW | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| | Shhh...don't tell Kevin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted September 19, 2015 Share Posted September 19, 2015 Yeah best chance east...but 70 even where you are is pretty nice. Monday or Tuesday has a chance of holding near 69 or so even there perhaps. Then we'll see about next weekend. Thanks. Looks to be a bit iffy next weekend for Brett Eldredge and Kansas at the BIG E. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 19, 2015 Author Share Posted September 19, 2015 Lots of east and ne winds at all levels for an extended period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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