CoachLB Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 Nice little storm just pushed through. Good thunder. Went from 90 to 74 in just a few minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 12, 2015 Author Share Posted June 12, 2015 Nice little storm just pushed through. Good thunder. Went from 90 to 74 in just a few minutes. nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 The boundary looks to remain in the area for the next week with not only bouts of severe, but the flooding threat also increases. Decided to start a new thread for the entire period since singling out a specific timeframe would be fruitless. HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOKNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA206 PM EDT FRI JUN 12 2015...PERIODS OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN TO INCREASE FLOODPOTENTIAL THROUGH NEXT WEEK...OPTIMAL CONDITIONS FOR THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN WILL PERSISTTHROUGH NEXT WEEK. AN AIRMASS WITH A HIGH WATER CONTENT WILLREMAIN OVER THE REGION AS A FRONT UNDULATES ACROSS THE AREA.PERIODS OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGHTHIS WEEKEND AND INTO NEARLY ALL OF NEXT WEEK. THE HEAVY RAINFALLWILL LIKELY CAUSE FLOODING OF LOCAL AREAS...BUT ALSO MAY LEAD TOMORE WIDESPREAD FLOODING. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT WATCHES ANDWARNINGS WILL EVENTUALLY BE NEEDED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 lol @ that bullseye over Lake Erie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oldlogin Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL 236 PM CDT FRI JUN 12 2015 INC073-111-122000- /O.CON.KLOT.TO.W.0015.000000T0000Z-150612T2000Z/ NEWTON IN-JASPER IN- 236 PM CDT FRI JUN 12 2015 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT FOR EAST CENTRAL NEWTON AND SOUTHWESTERN JASPER COUNTIES... AT 236 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR COLLEGEVILLE...OR NEAR FORESMAN...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR... RENSSELAER AND COLLEGEVILLE AROUND 245 PM CDT. PLEASANT RIDGE AROUND 255 PM CDT. OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE MOUNT AYR. INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING INTERSTATE... INDIANA I-65 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 208 AND 217. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 87/73 here with storms lining up to the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oldlogin Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 Funnel cloud sighted in White co near 250 and SR 39 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 12, 2015 Author Share Posted June 12, 2015 87/73 here with storms lining up to the west. get pics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 get pics Don't know if I will have a chance...will try Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 For tomorrow ...LOWER MO/MID MS VALLEY...A BAND OF SLIGHTLY ENHANCED MID-LEVEL SWLYS SHOULD BE MAINTAINEDACROSS THIS REGION IN THE AFTERNOON WITHIN A SERIES OF WEAKMID-LEVEL IMPULSES DRIFTING ACROSS THE CNTRL STATES. MID-LEVEL LAPSERATES SHOULD BE POOR AND ROBUST DIABATIC HEATING WILL BE NECESSARYFOR A WEAK TO MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS. THE HAIL RISK APPEARSQUITE MARGINAL...BUT LOCALIZED DAMAGING WINDS AND EVEN A BRIEF/WEAKTORNADO COULD ACCOMPANY A FEW NEWD-MOVING CLUSTERS INTO EARLYEVENING. Think the above bolded will be the case the rest of the summer. Luckily robust diabatic heating isn't usually a problem outside of ongoing precip/clouds this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bwfan40 Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 Hi guys I am new to the forum. Anyone able to shed some light on these warm front fails lately? Is it due to lake temps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 Dumping rain, as we're getting mini-trained here. This June is going to put up a big number in IKK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 12, 2015 Author Share Posted June 12, 2015 Hell yeah^ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 Several storm reports south and east of Akron/Canton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 Had a severe t-storm warning earlier today with some wind damage on the north side of town. Also, a few Tornado warnings between Rochester and Albany, not sure if any touched ground though. Had a EF0 a few days ago south of Rochester. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex Posted June 13, 2015 Share Posted June 13, 2015 I may be wrong but I think the first tornado warning for this was issued until 5:32 p.m. PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL 1205 PM CDT FRI JUN 12 2015 ..NWS DAMAGE SURVEY FOR 06/11/15 TORNADO EVENT MATHERVILLE AREA TORNADO RATING: EF-1 ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 100 MPH PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/: 6 MILES PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: 50 YARDS FATALITIES: 0 INJURIES: 0 START DATE: JUN 11 2015 START TIME: 525 PM CDT START LOCATION: 5.3 W MATHERVILLE / MERCER / IL START LAT/LON: 41.26597 / -90.70827 END DATE: JUN 11 2015 END TIME: 537 PM CDT END LOCATION: 3.5 N MATHERVILLE / MERCER / IL END LAT/LON: 41.31372 / -90.60304 SURVEY SUMMARY: DAMAGE ALONG THE PATH WAS PRIMARILY TO TREES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted June 13, 2015 Share Posted June 13, 2015 I was spotting in extreme southwest Huntington County this evening watching a storm that had an SPS on it. The cell decided to collapse right over my head. I got a 61 MPH gust on my handheld before I decided to get my hand back in the window. I was sitting in a cemetery, flowers were flying everywhere and my truck was rocking. The resulting damage path from the downburst was about 5 miles long and 5 miles wide. Lots of trees and limbs down, but surprisingly little structural damage. Pretty interesting that all of the downed trees on the north side of the path were laying to the northeast, to the southeast on the south side, and to the east in the middle. Pretty exciting. I live for this stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted June 13, 2015 Share Posted June 13, 2015 lol @ that bullseye over Lake Erie Cedar Point will become a water park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 13, 2015 Share Posted June 13, 2015 Hi guys I am new to the forum. Anyone able to shed some light on these warm front fails lately? Is it due to lake temps? Welcome! All that cold dense air over the region's lakes helps slow them down for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted June 13, 2015 Share Posted June 13, 2015 Cedar Point will become a water park.I'll bring my swimsuit Sunday do I need to buy a ferry ticket there in advance? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted June 13, 2015 Share Posted June 13, 2015 Such an annoying pattern. Have to be a meteorologist everyday if you have outside plans because of the constant storminess Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 13, 2015 Share Posted June 13, 2015 DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK CORR 1NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0105 AM CDT SAT JUN 13 2015 VALID 141200Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE NRN IL AREA EWD ACROSS THE MIDWEST INTO THE NY/PA/MD/WV/NRN VA VICINITIES... ...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE CENTRAL U.S. AND EWD ACROSS THE MIDWEST... CORRECTED MARGINAL OUTLOOK LINE OVER THE N CENTRAL CONUS ...SUMMARY... WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST ACROSS MUCH OF THE COUNTRY SUNDAY...INCLUDING A BROAD -- BUT RELATIVELY LOW-PROBABILITY -- SEVERE RISK LIKELY FROM THE PLAINS INTO THE GREAT LAKES AREA. A MORE FOCUSED CORRIDOR OF SEVERE RISK MAY EVOLVE DURING THE AFTERNOON FROM SOUTHEAST IOWA/NORTHERN MISSOURI EAST-NORTHEAST INTO SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN AND THE OHIO/NEW YORK/PENNSYLVANIA/MARYLAND VICINITY. ...SYNOPSIS... INCREASINGLY ZONAL/WLY FLOW WILL EVOLVE WITH TIME ACROSS THE NRN TIER OF THE CONUS...AS MORE AMPLIFIED FLOW REMAINS CONFINED TO CANADA. FARTHER S...A WEAK TROUGH WILL LINGER OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. WHILE RIDGING PREVAILS OVER THE SOUTHEAST. AT THE SURFACE...A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE PROGRESSING ACROSS CENTRAL CANADA AND THE ADJACENT N CENTRAL U.S. -- WHILE A LEE TROUGH RESIDES INVOF THE HIGH PLAINS. ...THE MIDWEST EWD TO THE MID-ATLANTIC AREA... SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO BE ONGOING ACROSS THE SLIGHT RISK AREA AT THE START OF THE PERIOD...WHICH WILL HINDER HEATING/DESTABILIZATION POTENTIAL TO SOME DEGREE ACROSS THIS REGION. STILL...AN UPTICK IN AFTERNOON CONVECTIVE COVERAGE/INTENSITY IS EXPECTED ACROSS THIS RELATIVELY BROAD ZONE...AIDED BY MODERATE WLY FLOW THROUGH A FAIRLY DEEP LAYER. AS SUCH...A FEW ORGANIZED BANDS OF STORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP PERIODICALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...POSING RISK FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND MARGINAL HAIL. THUS -- WILL MAINTAIN SLIGHT RISK ACROSS THE MIDWEST...AND EXPAND IT EWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 13, 2015 Share Posted June 13, 2015 Just took a look at the 0z GFS and it did something interesting for early/mid week. It has a Low moving NW in the west GOM and comes on shore around TX/LA monday night. From there it moves due north until it gets to SW MO and then turns NE and eventually due east along I-70 by Wed. There's a widespread 2"+ of rain with a band of 4-7". 18z GFS had something similar but it stayed on a more northeast track through IN into MI. http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2015061300&time=72&var=APCPI&hour=144 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 13, 2015 Share Posted June 13, 2015 Updated 7 day QPF raised amounts again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted June 13, 2015 Share Posted June 13, 2015 widespread 5 to locally 8 inches of rain the past 8-9 days or so... cant take much more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted June 13, 2015 Share Posted June 13, 2015 will someone post the 12z NAM 84 hr total rainfall for the archives Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted June 13, 2015 Share Posted June 13, 2015 will someone post the 12z NAM 84 hr total rainfall for the archives Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted June 13, 2015 Share Posted June 13, 2015 12z GFS through 72 hours is coming in with widespread 2"+ for much of IL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 13, 2015 Author Share Posted June 13, 2015 warm front is blasting north with full sun here...could be a big evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted June 13, 2015 Share Posted June 13, 2015 12z GFS total rainfall through 120 widespread 4-7" for much of MO/IL/IN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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