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oldlogin

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Everything posted by oldlogin

  1. oldlogin

    Goes 16

    Thanks--I need all the help I can get-------
  2. oldlogin

    Goes 16

    Goes 16 is up and running on the COD site--- http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/expe
  3. oldlogin

    August 21, 2017 Solar Eclipse

    from Goes 16 --Click the play button and watch the Elclipse move across the Midwest http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=midwest-02-48-0
  4. oldlogin

    May 26-28 Severe Threat

  5. oldlogin

    April 5 Severe Potential

    ILN survey team reports An EF0 in Enon Oh
  6. oldlogin

    March 30 Severe Weather Potential

    URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 104 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 305 PM EDT Thu Mar 30 2017 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Central and southern Indiana Western Ohio * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 305 PM until 1000 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...The air mass will continue to gradually destabilize along and south of a northward-moving warm front across Indiana and western Ohio. Aside from a damaging wind/some hail risk, moderately strong low-level shear will support the possibility of tornadoes, particularly near the warm front. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles north and south of a line from 10 miles west northwest of Terre Haute IN to 35 miles north of Dayton OH. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings.
  7. oldlogin

    GFDL/HMON

    Public Information Statement 17-07 National Weather Service Headquarters Silver Spring MD 1200 PM EST Mon Feb 13 2017 To: Subscribers: -NOAA Weather Wire Service -Emergency Managers Weather Information Network -NOAAPORT Other NWS Partners, Users and Employees From: John Derber Acting Mesoscale Modeling Branch Chief NCEP/Environmental Modeling Center Subject: Soliciting Public Comments on the Removal of GFDL Hurricane Model Products and Addition of New HMON Hurricane Model Products through March 17, 2017 The National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) is proposing to retire the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) Hurricane Model (GHM) and replace it with a new NOAA Environmental Modeling System (NEMS)-based hurricane model called HMON (Hurricanes in a Multi-scale Ocean-coupled Non-hydrostatic) in NCEP operations. The NWS is seeking comments on these proposed changes through March 17, 2017. The primary reasons for retiring the legacy GFDL Hurricane Model are based on: 1. The Environmental Modeling Center's (EMC) efforts towards unification of operational models within the NEMS framework. 2. NHC's evaluation and endorsement of the new hurricane model (HMON) through evaluation of three-year (2014-2016) retrospective experiments run by EMC. HMON model consistently showed improved performance for track and intensity skill for the North Atlantic and Northeast Pacific Basins as compared to the legacy GFDL hurricane model. 3. Retirement of key personnel at GFDL leading to a loss of support for maintaining the GFDL Hurricane model in operations. The timing of the proposed changes will be as follows: 1. The GHM will be discontinued on the date of the GFS2017 upgrade sometime in May 2017. Please reference the GFS SCN once it is disseminated for the exact date. At that time, all GHM products found on: - NCEP servers under hur.YYYYMMDD will be discontinued: http://nomads.ncep.noaa.gov/pub/data/nccf/com/hur/prod ftp://ftp.ncep.noaa.gov/pub/data/nccf/com/hur/prod www.ftp.ncep.noaa.gov/data/nccf/com/hur/prod Where YYYYMMDD is year, month and day - Model Analyses and Guidance will be discontinued: mag.ncep.noaa.gov 2. With the hurricane model upgrades slated for early June 2017, NCEP will start delivering the new operational model, HMON, on the NCEP servers. Please reference that SCN once it is disseminated for product details and the exact date. NWS will evaluate all comments to determine whether to proceed with this change. Send comments on this proposal to: Avichal Mehra Lead, Physical Scientist NCEP/Environmental Modeling Center College Park, MD [email protected] Or Carissa Klemmer NWS/NCEP Central Operations Dataflow Team Lead College Park, MD [email protected] National Public Information Statements are online at: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/om/notif.htm NNNN
  8. oldlogin

    Mar. 6-7 Severe Risk

    BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS 531 PM CST MON MAR 6 2017 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... EAST CENTRAL GEARY COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS... SOUTHEASTERN RILEY COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN KANSAS... NORTHWESTERN WABAUNSEE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS... SOUTHEASTERN POTTAWATOMIE COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN KANSAS... * UNTIL 600 PM CST * AT 531 PM CST, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF OGDEN, MOVING EAST- NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. * THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR... ALMA AROUND 545 PM CST. WAMEGO AND MCFARLAND AROUND 550 PM CST. PAXICO AROUND 555 PM CST. BELVUE AROUND 600 PM CST. THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 70 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 308 AND 337.
  9. oldlogin

    2017 Short/Medium Range Severe Thread

    WSI is on it also---Experimental Outlook
  10. oldlogin

    Feb 24-25th Severe Weather

    I understand your concern, this is not an ordinary Feb-----
  11. oldlogin

    Severe Weather Risk This Weekend

    BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 1031 AM CST SAT JAN 21 2017 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... WESTERN HOLMES COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA... NORTH CENTRAL WASHINGTON COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA... NORTH CENTRAL WALTON COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA... * UNTIL 1100 AM CST * AT 1030 AM CST, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR DE FUNIAK SPRINGS, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO. SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED FUNNEL CLOUD.
  12. oldlogin

    la Niña Watch

    From Philip Klotzbach 1/16/2017 Approximately 70% of ensemble members from latest ECMWF model run calling for #ElNino by July.
  13. oldlogin

    Dec. 17 severe prospects

    BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Paducah KY 241 PM CST SAT DEC 17 2016 The National Weather Service in Paducah has issued a * Tornado Warning for... East central Hopkins County in northwestern Kentucky... Southeastern McLean County in northwestern Kentucky... Northern Muhlenberg County in south central Kentucky... * Until 315 PM CST * At 241 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Mortons Gap, or near Madisonville, moving northeast at 50 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Graham around 250 PM CST. Central City around 305 PM CST. Livermore around 310 PM CST. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Bremen, Sacramento, Island and South Carrollton.
  14. oldlogin

    Super Typhoon Nepartak

    Outstanding Sat this AM http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis/online/loop.asp?data_folder=himawari-8/himawari-8_band_03_sector_04&width=1020&height=720&number_of_images_to_display=48&loop_speed_ms=100
  15. oldlogin

    Severe Threats Apr. 24-May 1

    3 Tornado warnings on Western KY--2 radar detected---1 storm spotter reported funnel cloud
  16. oldlogin

    Severe Potential Feb 23-24

    LAC063-231845- /O.CON.KLIX.TO.W.0022.000000T0000Z-160223T1845Z/ LIVINGSTON LA- 1224 PM CST TUE FEB 23 2016 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1245 PM CST FOR NORTHWESTERN LIVINGSTON PARISH... AT 1223 PM CST...A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR PORT VINCENT... OR 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF DENHAM SPRINGS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. SOURCE...MULTIPLE WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO.
  17. oldlogin

    2016 Severe Weather Thread

    Streaming Video http://www.wapt.com/news/16-wapt-weather-team-tracks-storms/38002084
  18. oldlogin

    2016 Severe Weather Thread

    MSC029-077-127-151900- /O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0027.000000T0000Z-160215T1900Z/ COPIAH MS-LAWRENCE MS-SIMPSON MS- 1224 PM CST MON FEB 15 2016 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CST FOR SOUTHEASTERN COPIAH...NORTHWESTERN LAWRENCE AND WESTERN SIMPSON COUNTIES... AT 1224 PM CST...A CONFIRMED LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR ROCKPORT...OR 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HAZLEHURST... MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH. THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
  19. oldlogin

    2016 Severe Weather Thread

    BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 1210 PM CST MON FEB 15 2016 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHWESTERN CONECUH COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA... NORTHEASTERN MONROE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA... WEST CENTRAL BUTLER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA... * UNTIL 1245 PM CST * AT 1210 PM CST...A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR REPTON...OR 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MONROEVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.
  20. oldlogin

    2016 Severe Weather Thread

    BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 1117 AM CST MON FEB 15 2016 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... CENTRAL GREENE COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI... * UNTIL 1145 AM CST * AT 1116 AM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR MCLAIN...OR 13 MILES SOUTHEAST OF RICHTON... MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. A FUNNEL CLOUD WAS REPORTED WITH THIS STORM AS IT PASSED NEAR NEW AUGUSTA.
  21. BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA 1028 AM CST MON FEB 15 2016 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN AVOYELLES PARISH IN CENTRAL LOUISIANA... * UNTIL 1115 AM CST * AT 1027 AM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR SIMMESPORT...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. * THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR... SIMMESPORT AROUND 1045 AM CST.
  22. oldlogin

    2016 Severe Weather Thread

    BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA 1028 AM CST MON FEB 15 2016 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN AVOYELLES PARISH IN CENTRAL LOUISIANA... * UNTIL 1115 AM CST * AT 1027 AM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR SIMMESPORT...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. * THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR... SIMMESPORT AROUND 1045 AM CST.
  23. oldlogin

    2016 Severe Weather Thread

    The Carrollton tornado
  24. oldlogin

    2016 Severe Weather Thread

    EVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 453 PM CST TUE FEB 2 2016 ALC107-022330- /O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160202T2330Z/ PICKENS AL- 453 PM CST TUE FEB 2 2016 ...TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR CARROLLTON ALABAMA... ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM CST FOR CENTRAL PICKENS COUNTY... AT 452 PM CST...A CONFIRMED LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR GARDEN...OR NEAR PICKENSVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR CARROLLTON. TAKE COVER NOW. THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. HAZARD...DEADLY TORNADO. SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO.
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