SnowGoose69 Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Actually I hadn't seen the 96h panel yet...it was a bit better than I thought..tack on another inch or two. Definitely an improvement over 12z. Its similar to the GFS at 84 north of the VA/W-VA region, but south of there it was hanging precip and energy further back, the UKMET at 72 is west of the GFS but cannot tell what it does at 84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Canadian is pretty cold on the front end for Tues night. Will, What areas look to do have best potential based on Lift and Temp profiles. Is it more Latitude oriented/ Does lift weaken as it moves across SNE....any BL issues E coast Perhaps just a brief over view that touches on these things. I know things are looking colder and we should have a decent "Front ender" but beyond that i'm curious and have about 5 mins before i'm nodding off, thank you for any response Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Will, What areas look to do have best potential based on Lift and Temp profiles. Is it more Latitude oriented/ Does lift weaken as it moves across SNE....any BL issues E coast Perhaps just a brief over view that touches on these things. I know things are looking colder and we should have a decent "Front ender" but beyond that i'm curious and have about 5 mins before i'm nodding off, thank you for any response It's kind of early to get too specific, but the best looks across NW MA down through C MA and perhaps E MA...I think it will be snow in BOS pretty much as long the mid-levels support it, but it could get pretty pasty for a time, so if it is too light, then it might not produce that well. But right now, it does look like there should be sufficient lift for moderate precip for several hours on the front. The lift does weaken as it heads NE...the whole system is getting deamplified as it moves east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 It's kind of early to get too specific, but the best looks across NW MA down through C MA and perhaps E MA...I think it will be snow in BOS pretty much as long the mid-levels support it, but it could get pretty pasty for a time, so if it is too light, then it might not produce that well. But right now, it does look like there should be sufficient lift for moderate precip for several hours on the front. The lift does weaken as it heads NE...the whole system is getting deamplified as it moves east. Which if timed right, could save us from an extended period of plain rain (and more substantial ponding on the roads). It will definitely be an interesting week of weather here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 2, 2015 Author Share Posted March 2, 2015 Isn't this as depicted not anafrontal but separate ss energy overriding an Arctic boundary Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Solid advisory event out here with current modeling. Going to bed but I like the colder solutions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Isn't this as depicted not anafrontal but separate ss energy overriding an Arctic boundary That wouldn't stop it from being an anafrontal system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikehobbyst Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Look like 33 and drizzle is the best warmth this brings on Wednesday to the south coast. Could be an all out ice storm if model trends get any colder. Thursday could be a 12-18 inch deal quite easily on the south coast and SE New England. Liking the trends. Another false warm up around the ides, which is probably 100% bull crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Look like 33 and drizzle is the best warmth this brings on Wednesday to the south coast. Could be an all out ice storm if model trends get any colder. Thursday could be a 12-18 inch deal quite easily on the south coast and SE New England. Liking the trends. Another false warm up around the ides, which is probably 100% bull crap. You sound like Roger Smith and No that "false warm up" looks real, not 60 but the Arctic air is literally pushed out of the southern 1/2 of Canada. Right now the timing on the gfs has bounced back and now forward a day, depending on when a low pushing from NW of Washington State plows into Canada and floods it with milder air. The EPO is going positive unlike on other past false warm ups. That is real. Its happening. What nobody knows yet is whether the -EPO re loads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Euro is going to come a tick NW. (For anafront) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Lol...12-18 inch deal "quite easily". I don't think so. Back to the front end portion...Euro continues to show a pretty strong thump. Probably a solid 3-5" for a good chunk of SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 As advertised, new Euro included, this is a daytime frontal wave with snow on Thursday in the 20s (or colder) for all of SNE. What a winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 As advertised, new Euro included, this is a daytime frontal wave with snow on Thursday in the 20s (or colder) for all of SNE. What a winter. How much qpf we looking at? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 How much qpf we looking at?Starting at 6z Thu and ending at 00z Fri, generally 0.25-0.50" falling as frozen from the Pike south and east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 6z GFS has nothing now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 6z GFS has nothing now. But other guidance that produce 6z products haven't backed off. To confirm that, I checked navgem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 6z nam still great 6z GFS has nothing now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 6z nam still great It's the NAM. It's always great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Oh boy..oh boy. Ice ice cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Nah we get mild Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Mid to upper 30's seems the upper limit interior before cold air rushes back in and the snow starts Wed evening/night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Imagine if our atmosphere were controlled by a broken computer mouse: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Wed morning looks damn icy before temps creep above freezing later on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 I think many spots will be above 40 Wednesday. Not bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 GEFS and EC both are kind of bullish for the anafrontal which is good to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 GEFS and EC both are kind of bullish for the anafrontal which is good to see. Yeah I was just going to post that ENS looked good. You think that has potential for 6+? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Yeah I was just going to post that ENS looked good. You think that has potential for 6+? You know how these go....I want to see if 12z still looks good. We've seen these look good 60-72 hrs out only to move SE. I'm not going to get my hopes up until the 12z guidance comes in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Waiting for Forky to poo poo the anafrontal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 If somehow Wednesday remains cloudy, could be one of those days where we rot at like 37-42 or something like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Waiting for Forky to poo poo the anafrontal Funny he hasn't been around since Jan 24th. Interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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