wxsniss Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 returns will have to hit a wall pronto if HRRR/RAP will be at all close... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Yeah, I got 13" out of that. The mid 80s to early 90s were so dreadful on LI for the most part I think that one was a top 3 for me. the banding was fairly localized too. I remember drawing up a snowfall plot based on the co-op reports for that storm. I think I posted it on eastern a long time ago. Not much better in SNE, lol...esp after 1987. 1988-1989 through 1991-1992 was 4 consecutive winters without a 10" snowstorm in ORH. That is hard to do. Hard enough that it is the only time it ever it happened...of course, my first winter back in ORH from Texas was 1988-1989. I'd like to be on Block Island watching that wall come in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Yeah I'm kinda in a tough spot. Gradient should be pretty crazy. My forecast grids probably don't reflect what's really going to happen. I could see PWM getting shut out completely but someone up near Rockland ME getting something stupid like 9 or 10" It's going to be painful watching radar. So close but yet so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 I think NWS map looks spot on, maybe a bit low pym area and cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Steady light accumulating snow 13 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Not much better in SNE, lol...esp after 1987. 1988-1989 through 1991-1992 was 4 consecutive winters without a 10" snowstorm in ORH. That is hard to do. Hard enough that it is the only time it ever it happened...of course, my first winter back in ORH from Texas was 1988-1989. I'd like to be on Block Island watching that wall come in Sounds awful at first, and that is a horrific "steak" no matter how you cut it, I know that when I moved back after 11 years in Florida, I drove to ORH in Oct 2009 (about an HR to see a coating at ORH airport) and I would have been satisfied with a 30" winter. Thou not sure I could hold out for more than 2 years. Now I don't know how much snow can satisfy me, but ironically, I still get a bit excited for any light snow, when the event is actualy occurring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 I don't know if I can ever remember a storm like this for Nowcasting if it turns out the way the radar is saying. (Say the next sentences with me in a Lester Holt Dateline Voice) 8:30pm - 9:00pm = People saddened by bad trends and models showing not much of anything. 9:20pm = Will points out that the radar may be doing some fun things. Need to Watch closely. 10:30pm = Band of Snow is stronger and solidly more West than any model had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 I think you're good....I'm obscenely, cautiously optimistic....I may just squeak in unless it really cuts right I think you may just eek it out. Metro Boston looks pretty darn good at the moment, unless, as you said, it suddenly translates east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 It's going to be painful watching radar. So close but yet so far. That's generally been the case here in February...our longitude here in PWM to Gray has hurt us via the concave nature of the coast. It's been a BOS to Eastport snow train as a crow flies basically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 I wish I had a better camera, there are just some textbook perfect snowflakes, wish I could post from my phone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIcoastalWX Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 27.1/24 - Very Light Snow mixed with Graupel. Dusting so far… Light SSE wind. Temp and dew rising steadily. For those familiar with the area - Ginxy - Temp was 17 at the Bradford Post Office and 27 at Dunns Corners. Difference of about 5 miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 OT, but ssts are now 36* off of Boston...I think the coldest I can ever recall seeing is about 35*....anyone know of any lower? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 I wish I had a better camera, there are just some textbook perfect snowflakes, wish I could post from my phone. in Winsted? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 could we actually see some coastal front enhancement... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 27.1/24 - Very Light Snow mixed with Graupel. Dusting so far… Light SSE wind. Temp and dew rising steadily. For those familiar with the area - Ginxy - Temp was 17 at the Bradford Post Office and 27 at Dunns Corners. Difference of about 5 miles. you should do very well although just to your north say Rt 3 on the other side of that boundary will be the place to sit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Yea, clear air be-gone, baby.... Ironic that BOX seems to have had a clear air fetish during the winter of our lives... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 could we actually see some coastal front enhancement... coastal_front_enhancement.png yea just told Coastal RI, seen that set-up down there, squeeze play, rare event in SRI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 I wish I had a better camera, there are just some textbook perfect snowflakes, wish I could post from my phone.Photobucket app,free Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 25, 2015 Author Share Posted February 25, 2015 I don't know if I can ever remember a storm like this for Nowcasting if it turns out the way the radar is saying. (Say the next sentences with me in a Lester Holt Dateline Voice) 8:30pm - 9:00pm = People saddened by bad trends and models showing not much of anything. 9:20pm = Will points out that the radar may be doing some fun things. Need to Watch closely. 10:30pm = Band of Snow is stronger and solidly more West than any model had. You confuse observations with nowcasting. When someone says the HRRR looks like crap, and others including pros point out it's had it's moments this winter (while others say it blows)...it's just personal observation and commentary. I don't see anything happening that's ground breaking tonight. I also don't really think it's all that much further west. It's running along the edge of the precip shield on models which is what the banding often does.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Yea, clear air be-gone, baby.... Ironic that BOX seems to have had a clear air fetish during the winter of our lives... You spoke too soon...back to clear air mode, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 You confuse observations with nowcasting. When someone says the HRRR looks like crap, and others including pros point out it's had it's moments this winter (while others say it blows)...it's just personal observation and commentary. I don't see anything happening that's ground breaking tonight. I also don't really think it's all that much further west. It's running along the edge of the precip shield on models which is what the banding often does.... I think if that blob makes it up to Windham CO CT without fading east, then I'm good.....if it peels off earlier, I'll hit the sack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 This thing may hit a wall with those 90-100 kt upper level winds pushing it east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 You confuse observations with nowcasting. When someone says the HRRR looks like crap, and others including pros point out it's had it's moments this winter (while others say it blows)...it's just personal observation and commentary. I don't see anything happening that's ground breaking tonight. I also don't really think it's all that much further west. It's running along the edge of the precip shield on models which is what the banding often does.... The 00z GFS seems to have a decent handle on this. You cna probably tighten up the gradient on the west side, but the meaningful precip clips the Twin Forks and then up into RI and BOS...that's what the radar suggests right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 You spoke too soon...back to clear air mode, lol Man, I almost feel like we're steering at a cane trying to delude ourselves into thinking it won't recurve as sharply lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 I forgot I had precipitation depiction on my IPad radarscope (@steveginx) tweeted at 10:36 PM on Tue, Feb 24, 2015: Great snow bands incoming http://t.co/vPtYeEOGAt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 The 00z GFS seems to have a decent handle on this. You cna probably tighten up the gradient on the west side, but the meaningful precip clips the Twin Forks and then up into RI and BOS...that's what the radar suggests right now. I think I'll miss, but I'll stay up until it becomes apparent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HarveyLeonardFan Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Snow grains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIcoastalWX Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 27.3/24 - Moderate Snow - no grauple. Mixture of medium and small size flakes. Visibility coming down to about 1/2 mile. Temps continue to rise despite increase in snow intensity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Snow grains.convection Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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