jamesnichols89 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 think BOX should have put a 4-6" amount somewhere between the Canal and Outer Cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 think BOX should have put a 4-6" amount somewhere between the Canal and Outer Cape. Why? It's fine. Maybe a spot 5 somewhere but that's not a given Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Why? It's fine. Maybe a spot 5 somewhere but that's not a given Yeah. My only surprise with the BOX maps is the maximum map -- having exactly 6.0 pretty much everywhere is perhaps on the lower end for cape/south shore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 The precipitation over the VA Capes is further west and moving more northward than NEward. Yeah, Dover radar is surprising Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeonPeon Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 The odd flake falling in Newport. Forecast nudged up the totals, and even reflecting the risk of a heavy burst of snow. Don't think the map has been updated to match the forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 18z GFS bumped west a nice tick. BOS would be close to advisory on that...or in it with 18/20 to 1 ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 18z NAM Cobb Bufkit numbers still using very high ratios, 15-23:1: KBos 2.8 KPym 7.9 KBed 2.4 KLwm 3.1 KChh 2.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Just kind of a wonder if statement...but you kind of wonder if there's a decent little band of like 1-2 snows pretty far removed to the west of where the main band sets up over Ri and E Mass. Like maybe even as far west as Ryan's house..seems enough lift and mid level front for that possibly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Is that an OES band forming/coming into the south coast of MA and RI? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 GFS and NAM agree on .25-.50" of QPF for Cape Cod, MA, expecting 16:1 to 20:1 ratios with such cold air in place, lends me to believe snow accumulations will be between 4" and 10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Yes that is OES coming from the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Is that an OES band forming/coming into the south coast of MA and RI? good pickup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 It's expanding from LI up twds S Ct too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Is that an OES band forming/coming into the south coast of MA and RI? Looks like it... that's the 2nd time in a week that we've seen OES on a southwesterly fetch into southeastern MA... arctic mass ftw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Yeah tha'ts OES on south winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Yeah tha'ts OES on south winds. I was just about to ask if that's what that was... only in this season, eh? Saw the mention of a flake in Newport and thought it a bit early, but, there you have it. Radar showing it decently now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 It's snowing here. Is this just OES? The wind is out of the S off the ocean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Oops hadn't read above! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Just kind of a wonder if statement...but you kind of wonder if there's a decent little band of like 1-2 snows pretty far removed to the west of where the main band sets up over Ri and E Mass. Like maybe even as far west as Ryan's house..seems enough lift and mid level front for that possibly Inv troughs are not that wide and it's not like saying there will be a good band to the NW like in coastals. Not happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 24, 2015 Author Share Posted February 24, 2015 Inv troughs are not that wide and it's not like saying there will be a good band to the NW like in coastals. Not happening. This is a really tough forecast. Could just miss with the best stuff leaving everyone below advisory or someone could pop 10" with ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 That little bit of OES on southwesterly winds shows how much bigger this could be if we could get easterly fetch a few hours sooner... as is, surface low develops too late to wrap better moisture around Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 This is a really tough forecast. Could just miss with the best stuff leaving everyone below advisory or someone could pop 10" with ratios. Yea, but it's not like Kevin is going to see 1" and you 10". It would probably be like PVD sees 1" or east of them and James sees 10". It is a very narrow area. You don't overperform to the west of these N-S inv troughs. Usually its the opposite. You underperform LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Inv troughs are not that wide and it's not like saying there will be a good band to the NW like in coastals. Not happening.Lol it's not just an inv trough. It's s blossoming up and over cold dome. The inv is farther east over CC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Lol it's not just an inv trough. It's s blossoming up and over cold dome. The inv is farther east over CC You eat subsidence thanks to the inv trough to the east of you. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 24, 2015 Author Share Posted February 24, 2015 Yea, but it's not like Kevin is going to see 1" and you 10". It would probably be like PVD sees 1" or east of them and James sees 10". It is a very narrow area. You don't overperform to the west of these N-S inv troughs. Usually its the opposite. You underperform LOL Normal rule of thumb seems to be bandjnf will set up west of most models. Not a pure low though so we will see. We need the band to get her too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 The inverted trough turns towards a Cold conveyor belt type of scenario. Where a large comma head develops on the western side of the developing extra-tropical cyclone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 18z RGEM since I didn't see it posted. Upped amounts in eastern areas slightly from 12z and cut them in western areas which isn't surprising as it had 1-2" back past ORH earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 The inverted trough turns towards a Cold conveyor belt type of scenario. Where a large comma head develops on the western side of the developing extra-tropical cyclone. It's a meso-low that matures over Canada James. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 You eat subsidence thanks to the inv trough to the east of you. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Ok, here's what you should be expecting: 2-4 with lollies up to 8 flakes per hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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