canderson Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Any reports on HIA? Would rather know now my flight isn't going than 5 am tomorrow.I think they're currently closed, I'd see if the flight that was coming in tonight made it. If not you can sleep because you'd have no plane there available. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 I think they're currently closed, I'd see if the flight that was coming in tonight made it. If not you can sleep because you'd have no plane there available.Thanks been checking so many delays and cancellations trying to figure out if I will have a plane or not. I assume they have shutdown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Finally hit 33. My dad said the roads were flooding due to the water having no where to go. Also interesting observation...the wall in our driveway where the water is running due to the spouting being blocked is now iced over like Niagara falls. I was afraid of stuff like this happening for those of you with deep packs that are blocking drains/etc where it may pond tonight/tomorrow before the cold air returns and freezes it Temp here slowly climbing (now 31 F) but did end up with a little more ice than I was honestly expecting. The radiational cooling has been beating the warm air advection so far tonight. Crazy to see how warm temps are at 850mb right now knowing they will be crashing in less than 24 hours!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Holy NAM. For once I hope this model scores a coup during a big snow event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 If I get 8" snow I'll buy everyone in this forum tickets and a beer at a Senators game of your choosing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Laurel Highlands Wx Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 I was afraid of stuff like this happening for those of you with deep packs that are blocking drains/etc where it may pond tonight/tomorrow before the cold air returns and freezes it Temp here slowly climbing (now 31 F) but did end up with a little more ice than I was honestly expecting. The radiational cooling has been beating the warm air advection so far tonight. Crazy to see how warm temps are at 850mb right now knowing they will be crashing in less than 24 hours!! So was I. Warm air finally winning out...up to 37 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 here is a better overlay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Laurel Highlands Wx Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 here is a better overlay Awesome job! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Awesome job! Just filling in for voyager...Must be on the road. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Laurel Highlands Wx Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Within the last 20 minutes temperature went from 32.7 to 38.3...pretty impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Awesome job! Seconded! What do you use to make these and keep the scale correct? I'm surprised NCEP maps don't have counties, or at least an option to display them. You'd think that would be a useful feature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 4, 2015 Author Share Posted March 4, 2015 Saw one of the Pitt thread posters bring this up over there, HRRR and RAP are beginning the re...changeover starting in the Pittsburgh region between the 8-10z timeframe, that bleeds into some of the central and Laurels counties by 10-11z. Will have to monitor the evolution on that with the near-term guidance overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 4, 2015 Author Share Posted March 4, 2015 Within the last 20 minutes temperature went from 32.7 to 38.3...pretty impressive. Likely starting to mix down some of that warm air aloft at your higher elevation if you have any kind of breeze, 925mb temps just off the deck are +6ºC in our areas per mesoanalysis. It also shows 850 temps below 0 are already starting to crash into NW PA, so HRRR/RAP might be on to something. Blair scanner starting to light up with some tree/branch down calls down here. Also a flooding call as well in Altoona somewhere (likely blocked drainage). I dunno how much above freezing we're going to get down here off the Allegheny front, I'm not to sure we ever see much above 34 or 35ºF, especially if the cold starts bleeding back in that fast. Wonder if that's going to have any implications on where the best snow sets up for tomorrow eve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Just filling in for voyager...Must be on the road.Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Laurel Highlands Wx Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Likely starting to mix down some of that warm air aloft at your higher elevation if you have any kind of breeze, 925mb temps just off the deck are +6ºC in our areas per mesoanalysis. It also shows 850 temps below 0 are already starting to crash into NW PA, so HRRR/RAP might be on to something. Blair scanner starting to light up with some tree/branch down calls down here. Also a flooding call as well in Altoona somewhere (likely blocked drainage). I dunno how much above freezing we're going to get down here off the Allegheny front, I'm not to sure we ever see much above 34 or 35ºF, especially if the cold starts bleeding back in that fast. Wonder if that's going to have any implications on where the best snow sets up for tomorrow eve. Yep..have a gusty SW breeze and now up to 43.1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rick G Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 just broke 30 here. hard to tell if anything is happening. everything is covered in ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Seconded! What do you use to make these and keep the scale correct? I'm surprised NCEP maps don't have counties, or at least an option to display them. You'd think that would be a useful feature. I used inkscape to vectorize (.eps) the Pa overlay map. Load the nam image & the newly created pa overlay map into Corel Draw and scale the overlay to fit the best i can. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Reporting 32 at State College last hour. It's rough out there, even just grabbing something from my car I busted my butt. Can't imagine we get much above freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 GFS supresses the Thursday storm so much that you have to go south of border to see big totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Laurel Highlands Wx Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 1 hour temperature swing 32.7 to 44.0. 15.3 rise....can't remember that fast a warm up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 GFS supresses the Thursday storm so much that you have to go south of border to see big totals. I moved back to Manchester MD this year, and even here I am very worried about suppression. This reminds me a LOT of the early march storm last year. That ended up only dropping 3" here. This year every storm has been a fringe job in this area, either north or south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Just lost a pine branch beside the house. Temp 32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Still 31 here. The GFS is uuuuuuuuuuuuugly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 RGEam a hair moth, GFS a few hundred miles south. Gotta love it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 I moved back to Manchester MD this year, and even here I am very worried about suppression. This reminds me a LOT of the early march storm last year. That ended up only dropping 3" here. This year every storm has been a fringe job in this area, either north or south. I think you'll do fine in N MD. I think at this point, it's a moderate (4-7") deal for the LSV and more than that along the border. I'd be concerned in DC-Philly about sleet. But yeah, this thing has really been leaping south, even the NYC area is sweating a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 GFS is ugly but CMC is amazing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 GFS is ugly but CMC is amazing Similar to the RGEM. GFS has been an outlier through this whole cycle, hoping it's still that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 4, 2015 Author Share Posted March 4, 2015 Took another walk down to the road, here's how thick the ice is on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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