BostonWX Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Thats fine...eventually it will end. However, there is nothing in the near future that suggests the pattern is changing. Will it snow every 3/4 days? No. But that doesnt mean the pattern changed, just Boston's luck. It's so stupid... He may very well be right but that's quite the brute force method there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 It's so stupid... He may very well be right but that's quite the brute force method there. He should of been real and said, "There doesnt seem to be any end in sight, the overall pattern continues, but that doesn't mean it's going to snow as much as it has. Eventually our luck or bad-luck, however you look at snow, will run out." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I hope Boston gets another foot Wed. Pete will look like a fool to the public who just heard him basically say, "no more snow after sunday." He has zero cred w public Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I'm pretty sure Pete's playing the climo gameAdam Moyer Philly Met on EURO weeklies for Philly, and we are colder Week 1: <-9 Week 2: <-9 Week 3: -5 Week 4: -3 Pretty surprised Clinchs declaration of pedestrian. That would be a radical change. I think NWS has this nailed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 He has zero cred w public Don't want to derail the thread but was there one storm he lost the cred or a culmination of many ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 13km GFS image.jpg Holy crap that would be epic here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 He should of been real and said, "There doesnt seem to be any end in sight, the overall pattern continues, but that doesn't mean it's going to snow as much as it has. Eventually our luck or bad-luck, however you look at snow, will run out." I like Pete, I think he's actually a good met. Sometimes he gets carried away with the "I said it so it's true" attitude in the mid to long range, but he's great with local climo and meso issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 So I drove to a meeting this afternoon. A scrawny squirrel darted in front of me and I stopped I time. Honestly I rolled down the window and yelled...who's tour daddy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Don't want to derail the thread but was there one storm he lost the cred or a culmination of many ? I think he understands that the public doesn't really want uncertainty, and he realizes that. Sometimes that manifests in painfully incorrect forecasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 So I drove to a meeting this afternoon. A scrawny squirrel darted in front of me and I stopped I time. Honestly I rolled down the window and yelled...who's tour daddy!lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I like Pete, I think he's actually a good met. Sometimes he gets carried away with the "I said it so it's true" attitude in the mid to long range, but he's great with local climo and meso issues. No Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 No He is definitely skilled in meso situations and ambiguities. I agree he mails it in occasional in the long term, but he's not Burbank who used to change his Days 3-7 forecast based on the 6z GFS for his AM updates Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 You left me no choice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 You left me no choice One of my favorite videos... Cracks me up every freakin time haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Really? The best part is when he leans towards the camera to say it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Well I said gfs not hires...compare the 66 vs 72 see the difference? For those hugging the snowiest solution while pounding their pumpkins to the mid levels.... I said beginning as in first step to eventually ending up like a turtle on its back. Maine will be fine, but this will end up being a .4 to .7 or so qpf deal in eastern MA. I'll assume that by morning you will have NW MA seeing no more than wind blown flurries. If it goes that way so be it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Holy crap that would be epic here. Do you buy it bob, you buying tickets to the GFS show? I was wondering if this system dropping down from Canada is larger than the average "Short wave" and if so .....do larger system's usually take a bit more time to "get going and rapidly intensify". I know this may hold Zero bearing, but we all know large tropical systems (everything else being equal) will take much longer to undergo Rapid Intensification than a Very small tropical system, and I wonder if this big boy just doesn't have the time given it's size and the progressive nature to really bomb the mid levels and maybe the GFS isn't taking that into account, just a "dart throw" really but just a general question on the size of this shortwave and if that is bit of a negative in hoping it will bomb as fast as a smaller sized system could? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Ok, let's see if we can get back on topic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Do you buy it bob, you buying tickets to the GFS show? I was wondering if this system dropping down from Canada is larger than the average "Short wave" and if so .....do larger system's usually take a bit more time to "get going and rapidly intensify". I know this may hold Zero bearing, but we all know large tropical systems (everything else being equal) will take much longer to undergo Rapid Intensification than a Very small tropical system, and I wonder if this big boy just doesn't have the time given it's size and the progressive nature to really bomb the mid levels and maybe the GFS isn't taking that into account, just a "dart throw" really but just a general question on the size of this shortwave and if that is bit of a negative in hoping it will bomb as fast as a smaller sized system could? No, I do not. It's on an island right now. Sure we have an extremely anomalous system but we also have one that is going to have a difficult time wrapping enough moisture back into the Boston metro area. I think the upper level of qpf that will make it into the area is around 1" along the coast, with 1/2" back to to central areas. There will be also ribbon of heavier snows from the initial s/w diving out of Canada. I'm actually intrigued by this element right now down in SE MA. We may see a good portion of our projected totals come from this initial wave. I'm comfortable with how BOX has laid it all out. Snow is just on piece of this storm. The other 2 are the cold and wind which will make this a potent storm. The blizzard warnings are warranted imo. I'd certainly love to see the GFS verify as that would be an awesome combo of snow and wind. We'll soon see if the GFS is otl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Word of caution about RGEM. The big CCB is 42-48 hours, not in the models wheelhouse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 One of my favorite videos... Cracks me up every freakin time haha He told me many years ago that it was not about his D size but that Before that shoot, the producer guy (maybe new or sitting in for the real one) kept getting the size of the green screen wrong to fit him correctly. So they were joking about his size. THEN when they went on air he made that joke To the producer about his size. But it came off wrong hahaha. The PROOF of this story is when he squats for a second, as if to make sure he fits in the screen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 By 6:00 tomorrow most areas ORH west will have 2-3 OTG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 My call for baf cef 2 to 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Does anyone know if the conditions upstream at this point line up well (or not) with any particular models? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 RPM is a general 6-12 across E MA with 12-20 in SE NH and SO ME. General 2-5 for CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Word of caution about RGEM. The big CCB is 42-48 hours, not in the models wheelhouse.yeah, rgem didnt zero in until the storm was actually pretty much formed south of us in the first blizzard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 RPM is a general 6-12 across E MA with 12-20 in SE NH and SO ME. General 2-5 for CT. WTH, might as well post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Looks like 4-6 CT/Ri and 6-9 E Ma Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PineHillsWx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 He is definitely skilled in meso situations and ambiguities. I agree he mails it in occasional in the long term, but he's not Burbank who used to change his Days 3-7 forecast based on the 6z GFS for his AM updates You just lost all cred by dishing on Barry Burbank. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Thats ugly for CT but it's long range rpm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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