CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Warm up doesn't have to mean bad...I'd gladly warm up to 20-25F high temps, lol. That'd be like a 10-15F mean temp rise from what we've been dealing with. It depends how it's defined. The way codfish made it sound..seemed like he meant pattern change? For now, I can't find a big pattern change signal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 It depends how it's defined. The way codfish made it sound..seemed like he meant pattern change? For now, I can't find a big pattern change signal. Yeah that's true. We've been -5F on the month up here, with 7 mornings of -15F or lower. I could probably warm up 5-8 degrees in the means and be plenty cold enough to still snow, lol. I wouldn't be worried about a switch to a warmer pattern, and in fact might welcome it after another 2 weeks of this, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Warm up doesn't have to mean bad...I'd gladly warm up to 20-25F high temps, lol. That'd be like a 10-15F mean temp rise from what we've been dealing with. Well, there will definitely be a warm up mid-Feb relative to the temps we have right now. Climo kind of dictates that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Warm up doesn't have to mean bad...I'd gladly warm up to 20-25F high temps, lol. That'd be like a 10-15F mean temp rise from what we've been dealing with. Do you ever ask him when you're skiing with him..what is wrong with you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 It depends how it's defined. The way codfish made it sound..seemed like he meant pattern change? For now, I can't find a big pattern change signal. Lets keep tihs going until mid March and then lets flip to spring. At some point ti has to relax the cold. The longer we keep the cold pattern, the better the chance that we flip in time for a great spring. At least I would think. A -NAO coming later in Feb could complicate things Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Do you ever ask him when you're skiing with him..what is wrong with you? Haha all the time. He's a good guy and a fun guy. You would like him because he likes to stir the pot with stuff like that...very similar to what you like to do. He likes to stimulate discussion and joke about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Haha all the time. He's a good guy and a fun guy. You would like him because he likes to stir the pot with stuff like that...very similar to what you like to do. He likes to stimulate discussion and joke about it. Well yeah that is the best part of us..but something seems a bit off.. Pattern overall seems like it's cold and snowy thru March Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Well yeah that is the best part of us..but something seems a bit off.. Pattern overall seems like it's cold and snowy thru March Well that seems like a broad generalization that it'll be cold and snowy through March. It very well may but without any reasoning in your post a claim like that seems weenie-ish. Looking at the GFS and GEFS this morning, it seems it remains quite active through day 16. I like the orientation of the trough and the cold relaxes a bit, should give some more chances for amplification of some of the waves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 The cold definitely relaxes...in fact, just west of us torches to high heaven in the plains for a time, but as of now, it looks like we mostly avoid that as it gets shunted ESE...but we will moderate some. It does look like a reload in the PAC around mid-month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Professional Lurker Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 tim kelly just said february warm up second half of month, no one mentioned that hereWarm up as we head closer to morch. What a gutsy call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 The cold definitely relaxes...in fact, just west of us torches to high heaven in the plains for a time, but as of now, it looks like we mostly avoid that as it gets shunted ESE...but we will moderate some. It does look like a reload in the PAC around mid-month. So what would that mean for sensible wx in terms of temps in Sne? You still like stormy overall look? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 So what would that mean for sensible wx in terms of temps in Sne? You still like stormy overall look? Yeah the pattern remains really active. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi 1h1 hour ago US model CFSV2 continues hinting at the almost unthinkable for the NE: A challenge to FEb 1934. Amazing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi 1h1 hour ago US model CFSV2 continues hinting at the almost unthinkable for the NE: A challenge to FEb 1934. Amazing Meh CFS...Next run will be a torch...but yeah, 00z was damn cold. Week 4 was ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Meh CFS...Next run will be a torch...but yeah, 00z was damn cold. Week 4 was ridiculous. True but if it didn"t have Euro weekly support and hasn"t been showing the same for ten days I would discount it but seems likely to be in the ball park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Really like the look of that D8 threat on the gfs. Very close to being something big. Definitely something to watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Really like the look of that D8 threat on the gfs. Very close to being something big. Definitely something to watch It will definitely nail you guys. Probably 18-24 region wide Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 The feb 8-10 threat on todays GFS has been on the EURO for two straight runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 This has looked more like model disco than the pattern thread. Remember that we have a thread for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Michael Ventrice @MJVentrice A brief February thaw coming for the U.S. followed by another psbl shot of arctic air late in the 11-15 d period fcst Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Refresher later this week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Refresher later this week? I think so. It just wants to continuously snow in your neck of the woods lately. Enjoy it- I am guessing with the good fortunes of the area recently that the Pats are a lock today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 This could be a weenie stretch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 This could be a weenie stretch.Hasnt it already been? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 This could be a weenie stretch. Looking like it. Lots of refreshers every couple days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Looking like it. Lots of refreshers every couple days. forecast.jpg Those temps are brutal...-11F with snow tomorrow night LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Massive EPO rebuilding in the 11-15 on the Euro ensembles....a pretty good PNA ridge sort of saves us while the EPO goes positive for a time before that. We'll need to watch this Friday and then next Tuesday after that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Michael Ventrice @MJVentrice A brief February thaw coming for the U.S. followed by another psbl shot of arctic air late in the 11-15 d period fcst The thaw is Midwest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 This could be a weenie stretch. potentially best two weeks anybody has seen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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