Chicago WX Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Ripped this from NE sub-forum. 12z Euro snowfall. Big hit for the northern 1/3 of IN and OH. I *believe* this map uses a Kuchera-like method. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 9.5 in my hourly....no update on the map yet from LOT....but the AFD covered everything Ricky is a hard working man today. He'll get it updated for ya! Locked and loaded man. Pics of the old hood this weekend, please and thanks! Enjoy this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Winter Storm Watch has been issued for Detroit... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 1201 PM CST FRI JAN 30 2015 ...SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL EXPECTED SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GALESBURG...PEORIA...BLOOMINGTON... NORMAL...HAVANA...LINCOLN...CHAMPAIGN...URBANA...DANVILLE... JACKSONVILLE...SPRINGFIELD...TAYLORVILLE...DECATUR...CHARLESTON... MATTOON 1201 PM CST FRI JAN 30 2015 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. * TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. * ACCUMULATIONS...TOTALS OF 6 TO 7 INCHES POSSIBLE NORTH OF I-70...WITH 7 TO 9 INCHES POSSIBLE NORTH OF A JACKSONVILLE TO DANVILLE LINE. * WIND...GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF UP TO 25 MPH SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY EVENING COULD CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW. * IMPACTS...BEGINNING SATURDAY NIGHT...ROADS WILL BECOME SNOW COVERED AND HAZARDOUS. VISIBILITIES COULD BECOME POOR DUE TO THE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS AND OUT IN THE COUNTRY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Ricky is a hard working man today. He'll get it updated for ya! Locked and loaded man. Pics of the old hood this weekend, please and thanks! Enjoy this. Righto brother....we have a top notch staff in LOT...pretty damn lucky I will be taking some pics and movies for sure! I can never get my pics to load on here....but the movies I will post via youtube at some point...Thanks!!! Looks like you still get in on some of the action too...not like your 'ol stompin' grounds, but some none-the-less Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 I'd be a bit surprised if MKX doesn't put up a winter storm watch for Racine and Kenosha counties this afternoon Maybe Walworth and Milwaukee. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparky333 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Ripped this from NE sub-forum. 12z Euro snowfall. Big hit for the northern 1/3 of IN and OH. I *believe* this map uses a Kuchera-like method. euro.png 12-14 inches for mby. Much more than I thought we would get out of this storm. Blame it on me I washed my truck today... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Winter Storm Watch has been issued for Detroit... Wow, I'm surprised they bit and issued one. First of the season for me as far as I remember. Cautiously optimistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magoos0728 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Still waiting for MKX to toss up a watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Looks like a solid hit for most of you guys. Consensus is coming together for this one. Tonights runs will pretty much lock this one in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 9.5 in my hourly....no update on the map yet from LOT....but the AFD covered everything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Wow, I'm surprised they bit and issued one. First of the season for me as far as I remember. Cautiously optimistic. They only bit on the consensus but not the far northern Ukie/NAM. M59 corridor is not under a watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 15z SREF with a mean of 11" at ORD... Range is from 6.2"-16.2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 15z plumes have a mean of just over 7" for LAF. One group in the 9-11" range, another group 5-8" with a few below that. Range is about 2-14" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainman Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 They only bit on the consensus but not the far northern Ukie/NAM. M59 corridor is not under a watch. Yeah, this is still a long way out. They still have 00z to decide if they want to go north with it. I would imagine that M59 will at least end up in an advisory either tonight or tomorrow afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Yeah, this is still a long way out. They still have 00z to decide if they want to go north with it. I would imagine that M59 will at least end up in an advisory either tonight or tomorrow afternoon.I imagine we'll see the southern 3 rows of counties in a watch/warning when all is said and done. Trend is decent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 9.5 in my hourly....no update on the map yet from LOT....but the AFD covered everything I am at the northern fringe of that 10"-12" purple area, right under the "55" marker there.... However it goes, it looks like I am shoveling this weekend...Good thing I work from home... no commute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 15z SREF with a mean of 11" at ORD... Range is from 6.2"-16.2" JOT at 9" all above 5 inches....a couple maxed at 14" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Yeah, this is still a long way out. They still have 00z to decide if they want to go north with it. I would imagine that M59 will at least end up in an advisory either tonight or tomorrow afternoon. I totally agree with their plan at this time. Easy to adjust north if needed. Currently why hype a couple 'lesser' models. It will be in the news and that is good enough at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 So decide to check the 15Z SREF. Lost my 22 incher that has been on the past 3 SREF runs But also lost those multiple 0 inchers Lowest ~1.5" ... highest ~18". Most are 6-10" with a group 10-15" That sole ~1.5" member is the only one below 5" Average was just over 10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 SREFS for my area seems very odd. Is why I usually don't follow them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 15z plumes have a mean of just over 7" for LAF. One group in the 9-11" range, another group 5-8" with a few below that. Range is about 2-14" IND jumped up a bit from the 9z run...from 3.9" to 5.5" Other Indiana cities from the 15z run: OKK 8.6", MIE 6.5", FWA 10.0", SBN 11.0", VPZ 10.9" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 12z Euro Ensemble mean with a slight nudge north, especially along the southern edge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 12z Euro Ensemble mean with a slight nudge north, especially along the southern edge. eps_snow_m_east_15.png Chicago to LAF looks like the sweet spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 I imagine we'll see the southern 3 rows of counties in a watch/warning when all is said and done. Trend is decent. Agreed, I half expected that they would do it initially but I do expect it by tomorrow if the trends continue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 JOT at 9" all above 5 inches....a couple maxed at 14" DKB range: Low: 5.7" Mean: 9.5" High: 13.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Looks like there won't be major adjustments with the 18z NAM. edit: and happy 10,000th post to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Took a look at lake effect parameters around the Chicago area and they really improve by Sunday night into Monday. Inversion heights aren't the greatest but delta Ts eventually reach into the low 20s, so there's at least the potential for a pretty stout band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GordoFabulous Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 IND jumped up a bit from the 9z run...from 3.9" to 5.5" Other Indiana cities from the 15z run: OKK 8.6", MIE 6.5", FWA 10.0", SBN 11.0", VPZ 10.9" For MIE, it's a roughly even distribution between 3.5" and 12.5" with one showing 0", one showing about 2" and one showing upwards of 17". Kinda worried about temps as BUFKIT has us riding a 30-32 temp for most of the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Took a look at lake effect parameters around the Chicago area and they really improve by Sunday night into Monday. Inversion heights aren't the greatest but delta Ts eventually reach into the low 20s, so there's at least the potential for a pretty stout band. I'm pulling for multi-band/widespread activity, before a transition to that main band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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