snowstormcanuck Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Sfc low slightly deeper over KS at 36. Aloft, maybe a touch slower with the digging of the wave? Seems like noise level stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Sfc low slightly deeper over KS at 36. Aloft, maybe a touch slower with the digging of the wave? Seems like noise level stuff. Biggest difference I see is the jet streak has yet to start rounding the base of the trough at 36hrs, compared to the 12z in which it had already started to occur. We'll see if it makes a difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 This NAM run is gonna be juicy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 I'm pulling for multi-band/widespread activity, before a transition to that main band. A little old....but 6Z WRF out of U of I depicts the scenario you described decently... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 30, 2015 Author Share Posted January 30, 2015 Sfc low is a bit stronger at 42hr with a better expansion to the area of snow across IA/MN/NE/SD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 This run looks a tad wetter than 12z in N IL/IN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 18z NAM big hit for IA-N IL-S WI-N IN-S MI-N OH. And much warmer for LAF. White flag time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Low is a hair SouthWest of CMH at hour 57. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 30, 2015 Author Share Posted January 30, 2015 Height field/wave def did dig a touch further south as well as a more neutral look to it rather than a little more positive on the 12z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 18z NAM big hit for IA-N IL-S WI-N IN-S MI-N OH. And much warmer for LAF. White flag time. Snow map is actually a hair better for us verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 latest via WPC... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 what a nice juicy run....LOCK IT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 latest via WPC... WPC.jpg lol at that little notch extending south to include LAF on the 12" prob map. I'd personally like to thank the individual responsible for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Low N of KPIT at hour 63. Great hit from Hamilton/Niagara... not bad for the GTA either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 lol at that little notch extending south to include LAF on the 12" prob map. I'd personally like to thank the individual responsible for that. lol....noticed that....good stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 18Z NAM Snow Map: Congrats Toledo!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 30, 2015 Author Share Posted January 30, 2015 Easy to see why here even more of the stronger/north bump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Low N of KPIT at hour 63. Great hit from Hamilton/Niagara... not bad for the GTA either. Yeah, looks like we'll up QPF by another 0.1" or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Low N of KPIT at hour 63. Great hit from Hamilton/Niagara... not bad for the GTA either. Verbatim NAM is about 4-8" for the GTA. 8-12" for niagara. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Low N of KPIT at hour 63. Great hit from Hamilton/Niagara... not bad for the GTA either. Through 75 hours, the GTA is in the 7-9" range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 18z NAM big hit for IA-N IL-S WI-N IN-S MI-N OH. And much warmer for LAF. White flag time. Good grief.. Talk about riding the edge! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Snow map is actually a hair better for us verbatim. Just a bit contradictory, no? Eh, I've seen all I need of this one for here. And it sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Good grief.. Talk about riding the edge! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Yeah, looks like we'll up QPF by another 0.1" or so. 0.35-0.4" of QPF for the GTA. ~0.5 for YHM with an area of 0.6"+ for Niagara. Nailing down ratios is going to be a big factor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Just a bit contradictory, no? Eh, I've seen all I need of this one for here. And it sucks. To each his own. While you're making pool preparations, I will be tracking the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Through 75 hours, the GTA is in the 7-9" range. Why are you still posting? You said this was a whiff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 nam.gif Maybe my eyes are deceiving me.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Good grief.. Talk about riding the edge! 60 more miles north and we can start thinking T for LAF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 0.35-0.4" of QPF for the GTA. ~0.5 for YHM with an area of 0.6"+ for Niagara. Nailing down ratios is going to be a big factor. Based on the instantwxmaps, looks like the NAM is employing the same crazy 25:1 ratios the SREFs are. Don't buy it for a second but this could be a candidate for 15-17:1 type event. I'll take my half foot of fluff and run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Just a bit contradictory, no? Eh, I've seen all I need of this one for here. And it sucks. Hey your buddy over at WLFI seems to be optimistic! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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