MJO812 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 12z Nam shows 40 inches for NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Craig Allen, respected met out of NY just said that this will easily go down as a top 5 in NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Only piece of guidance that far west.. For me I'm glad it's the nam lol. What trash Euro also has consistently had a huge jackpot near here with a 2nd jackpot in SE MA. But hey, what's 20 vs 30-enjoy it everyone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Only piece of guidance that far west.. I'm glad it's the nam lol. What trash These posts seem fine in a quiet pattern lol, but you realize the WPC was heavily weighting them in their forecasts, starting yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Those SREF plume snow estimates are horrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 26, 2015 Author Share Posted January 26, 2015 Euro also has consistently had a huge jackpot near here with a 2nd jackpot in SE MA. But hey, what's 20 vs 30-enjoy it everyone!Yeah man.. Even though you backstab me in other forums.. I wish you luck down there. Enjoy it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 12z Nam shows 40 inches for NYC no. An algorithm does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 24" average at PWM. Even excluding the ARW members. Loved this morning's AFD, with the reference to the "concerns" about reaching 20" totals. You know it's a great storm when that's the forecast worry. I have no jackpot fetish, but do find it funny that we could end up with 18" here and that would represent only half of what some in SNE get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Honestly its not worth debating jackpots. Nobody knows where it's gonna be and pretty much this whole forum is a lock for 18". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 OES getting ready to crank up.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Yeah man.. Even though you backstab me in other forums.. I wish you luck down there. Enjoy it! nah, not anymore. Those were the old days, . Truce? good luck man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 We sure the NAM initialized correctly? Lol at 50.8 inches over LI, quite the deformation here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Those SREF plume snow estimates are horrible. They have huge ratios sometimes. They seem inflated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 the nam looks close to the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guvna Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Snow hole over Tolland..... 12z Nam shows 40 inches for NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drz1111 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Only piece of guidance that far west.. I'm glad it's the nam lol. What trash Well, and the Euro. EE rule. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Snow hole over Tolland..... there's going to be a screw zone east of the deformation band Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Those algorithms aren't accounting for compaction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Well, and the Euro. EE rule. Nam looked a little west of the euro but were talking like 20 miles. It's within the model error. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 24" average at PWM. Even excluding the ARW members. how much less you think up in raymond/gyx? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 no. An algorithm does. And an awful one at that. Instacrap = Wxbell in my book on snow graphics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guvna Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 there's going to be a screw zone east of the deformation band At this point, who knows where it sets up. It'll most likely be a nowcast thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 no. An algorithm does. Even the Nam gives our area over 2.5 inches of liquid. King Euro FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Ferocious could in the long range. Whatever falls will be glacier in the coming weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 SREFs were sweet for the Lakes Region. NAM looks pretty good so far. Nice for NYC. Think I do okay up here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Colonel Badger Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 12z RPM moved the jackpot significantly East taking my area from 20" to 12". Is this a sign of a trend that the rest of the models will also follow.. or is RPM just having a wobble ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Don't think I've ever seen output like that for a storm 18 hours out from a major model. Insane for NJ North. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 The 12z Models that have run (SREFs and NAM) have the same general area as the subsidence zone. See what the rest of the 12z runs bring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 26, 2015 Author Share Posted January 26, 2015 Aside from the GFS Now we can start getting the models that matter the rest of the day..RGEM up next Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Will have to see of any other models also close it of farther SW, which would cut QPF a bit in SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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