RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 I hope models handle these systems as well in the winter. I mean, yea the qpf might have been dialed down from those insane amounts for a few runs days ago. But this has been well modelled from the get go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 we all do, couldn"t resist. should max out in NEMA, congrats to those folks Man, I love this kind of autumn weather. This is the way that it should be. Flat, grey slate overcast, amid 50ish temps and drizzle....just dares a gangbuster of a winter to follow it up. I happen to be of the opinion that it will oblige. This system should be fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 51 now. Been dropping all day. Fun ride into work for swing shift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 51 now. Been dropping trow all day. Fun ride into work for swinging with the bf Kev during night shift. Be safe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 Be safe. Looks like BOX sees the wind issue and hoisted an advisory for coastal NE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 Looks like BOX sees the wind issue and hoisted an advisory for coastal NE MA. Sign me up for this one during winter. Nice set up. I don't expect much wind here, but nonetheless, should be more interesting than the 8 months of metorological ennui that we have been forced to endure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 That HRRR shows strong winds get way west thru CT and Mass all the way to Berks in that band. Interesting if that verifies Indeed. Let's get the women and children to shelter for the 15-20 knot winds the HRRR has modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 Indeed. Let's get the women and children to shelter for the 15-20 knot winds the HRRR has modeled. Has anyone alerted weather.com? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 Sign me up for this one during winter. Nice set up. I don't expect much wind here, but nonetheless, should be more interesting than the 8 months of metorological ennui that we have been forced to endure. Couldn't agree more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 22, 2014 Author Share Posted October 22, 2014 Was in Death Valley all mooring on biz..and it was cloudy, breezy and fairly mild in the upper 50's..Hit the hill on 84 in Tolland to sheet drizzle..and it's 49.1 at home FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 Was in Death Valley all mooring on biz..and it was cloudy, breezy and fairly mild in the upper 50's..Hit the hill on 84 in Tolland to sheet drizzle..and it's 49.1 at home FTW Congrats...Stay safe up on top. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 22, 2014 Author Share Posted October 22, 2014 How much rain officially ended up falling in Ware last night? Was it 6-7 inches? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 My oaks laugh at this wind. January leaf drop or bust. Too funny. Not expecting much rain out here, but we've got lots of mist and a nice breeze. 47.1/46 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 Starting to see more precip moving north and rotating in from the east up here with some embedded heavier cells coming thru now as i hear the rain banging off the AC, 48°F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 Not too bad on 93 north of BOS. Just a little drizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 22, 2014 Author Share Posted October 22, 2014 Not too bad on 93 north of BOS. Just a little drizzle.Driving and posting FTL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 Holy crap. Just looked at all the hires. Impressive across the board. Even the llj cranks now over us! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 Nasty sheet rains here. Boy is this a nice thing to track compared to the boredom I had this summer. I love a good storm.i was first on the bandwagon when this got meh'd by the majority!! Mark it down in the record books! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 22, 2014 Author Share Posted October 22, 2014 i was first on the bandwagon when this got meh'd by the majority!! Mark it down in the record books! No you weren't lol. You said it was meh and not massive and the person that made the thread should not have Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 The calls for wind being a bigger factor and worrying about models being overdone.. rap hrrr and nam all go boom at 900mb. Makes me feel pretty confident about wind calls. Cape ann is nearly a lock for it. Hrrr is 40-50kt sustained there for a time perfect weather for spinal surgery recovery. Im gonna take my meds and geek out in the recliner all night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 No you weren't lol. You said it was meh and not massive and the person that made the thread should not havei was trolling you hahahahaha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 Well here is the thing. The LLJ increase coincides with warmer air aloft moving in thus limiting mixing. So you need two things to happen. Having the temp near ground level warm enough to mix some of it down, or a strong pressure gradient to help maximize winds. Those winds at 925 won't be mixing down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 Well here is the thing. The LLJ increase coincides with warmer air aloft moving in thus limiting mixing. So you need two things to happen. Having the temp near ground level warm enough to mix some of it down, or a strong pressure gradient to help maximize winds. Those winds at 925 won't be mixing down.what about the heavy rain and instability that moves in? Also increase in dp's? Doesn't that increase elevated instability and promote mixing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 what about the heavy rain and instability that moves in? Also increase in dp's? Doesn't that increase elevated instability and promote mixing?not quite at complete cool season climo but pretty much, mix to gust to 45-50 but not the insane HRRR gusts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 what about the heavy rain and instability that moves in? Also increase in dp's? Doesn't that increase elevated instability and promote mixing?not quite at complete cool season climo but pretty much, mix to gust to 45-50 but not the insane HRRR gusts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 what about the heavy rain and instability that moves in? Also increase in dp's? Doesn't that increase elevated instability and promote mixing? I can't see temps warming too much on the coast with NE winds. But yeah maybe a little precip drag with heavy rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 what about the heavy rain and instability that moves in? Also increase in dp's? Doesn't that increase elevated instability and promote mixing? We keep a strong NE wind at the surface...so we won't be getting warmer DPs or temps at the surface. We do increase the sfc pressure gradient and the core of the LLJ is quite low, so we'll see some gusty winds, but I wouldn't expect 50 knot gusts in BOS...probably MQE and maybe some exposed spots on Cape Ann and Isle Of Shoals off NH seacoast. That type of thing. BOS may get something like 35-40 knot gusts for a few hours, but I'd be surprised by 50+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 Thanks everyone. Great explanations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 Either way, its a nasty, raw night and next couple days. Classic New England autumn coastal storm...it increases the urge to push forward another 6 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 Rainy, chilly, windy..winter closing in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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