BuffaloWeather Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Quoting it for the 2nd time, this is the best GIF ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Step 1...Hold/improve the 18z NAM solution...check Step 2...Gain support of other models...? I don't think you'll get much support from other models of 32 inches in YYZ. If they do, I'll literally eat a crow and post on YouTube. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Cut that QPF in half and I'll still skip down the street. it is crazy...even cutting the NAM in half, it's still a major hit and 7" more than the Euro is showing for Chicago. Gotta wonder what local offices are thinking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radioman Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 RUC is even N of the NAM #weenie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Yum....I have that slight panic that I will wake up and see the 06Z run showing a 3 inch snowstorm down in Indiana. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 The NAM has 9-10" in a 3 hr period from 7-10z in N. IL. 3.5" contour in 1hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 11, 2014 Author Share Posted March 11, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 11, 2014 Author Share Posted March 11, 2014 RUC is even N of the NAM #weenie It always is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 and the winds as well....were talking some crazy drifts, of course if this verifies... blizzard.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mjwise Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 The NAM doubled up on the lol 18z run. I would love to see that verify, it would put up an unbreakable seasonal record for Detroit and rival some of the biggest storms ever for SEMI. I know it is the NAM and the expectation that it won't verify is pretty high but I can't help but get a bit excited about that run, it is literally full on weenie like some of the pre-GHD blizzard runs. Most of SEMI >16" operationally on the NAM @ 48hrs. This is just weather porn. I would be surprised and impressed if we end up with even 50% of that. Even that much would royally tick people off. Lots of people think winter is "over" with the melting and the 40's here... (Deleted dupa NAM porn) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 NAM still shows 6" here lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 east coast style and pretty much unheard of for this area...gotta toss Usually I would be all over the toss this crap immediately, but this is March and the PWATs are 0.6 to as high as 0.9" range add in the potential of mesoscale banding and thundersnow. If there was ever a time for some wild snowfall rates to happen it would be in a later season system like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Skilling going 4-8" as of now with embedded thunderstorms. 9pm-10am his timeframe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobertSul Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Very impressive looking winds on that NAM run. Inland nor'easter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 it is crazy...even cutting the NAM in half, it's still a major hit and 7" more than the Euro is showing for Chicago. Gotta wonder what local offices are thinking. Probably end up eating these words but I'm thinking we'll see the globals trend towards (although probably nowhere near as bullish) the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Well that was a nuclear run. And yet somehow, that POS model still tries to drop almost 6" here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 It always is. still waiting for the RAP to start its usual baby stepping weaker/south with the slp/ull but it isn't happening yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Most of SEMI >16" operationally on the NAM @ 48hrs. This is just weather porn. I would be surprised and impressed if we end up with even 50% of that. Even that much would royally tick people off. Lots of people think winter is "over" with the melting and the 40's here... (Deleted dupa NAM porn) I would be happy as can be with half the NAM, 8" puts us extremely close to the record for Detroit which is the only thing I am chasing right now, anything beyond that is bonus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Skilling going with 4-8". Possibly t-snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Flirting with 27" on a Wednesday. Life couldn't get any better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 My heavens. 4km NAM with the run of the season. Some 1.50" QPF lolli's in 3hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mjwise Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Usually I would be all over the toss this crap immediately, but this is March and the PWATs are 0.6 to as high as 0.9" range add in the potential of mesoscale banding and thundersnow. If there was ever a time for some wild snowfall rates to happen it would be in a later season system like this. Yep. The top Detroit snowstorm was in April, 1886. 24.5". Higher PWATs for the win. The surface low that tracked IL-OH for that storm in 1886 that wasn't impressively deep either. Didn't even get below 1000mb in Detroit. It's all about the moisture conveyor and mesoscale action. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radioman Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 It always is. Yup. HRRR is N as well at HR 15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 From Caplan: I've just gotten a glance at tonight's run of the NAM (a computer model we all use) It has been a HIGH outlier on snowfall amounts and now it is positively unreal. Stay tuned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Gotta use the 40" range Kuchera clown map for YYZ. Totals though 0z Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 I had to step away from the computer for a little bit. Just wow if that NAM verified. Jesus... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Gotta use the 40" range Kuchera clown map for YYZ. Totals though 0z Thursday. 3:11 0z NAM clown.gif FWIW, that's the snow depth map. It still would be impressive, if not historic, to get that type of snow depth (with that type of coverage) in mid-March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 I'm shocked at how consitant the NAM has been with the strength, as an outlier... Pretty wild. So much crow to eat if it pans out, which is still doubtful..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 RGEM about to start rolling. Deflated weenies in 3...2..1.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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