RyanDe680 Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 oh and Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 FWIW, that's the snow depth map. It still would be impressive, if not historic, to get that type of snow depth (with that type of coverage) in mid-March. Nope. That's accumulated snowfall. http://wxcaster.com/regional_snowfall.htm 40inch range Accum Snowfall using Mr. Evan Kuchera algorithm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 RGEM about to start rolling. Deflated weenies in 3...2..1.. rain for ORD and a grande cheese special? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 At 12, RGEM has sfc low in the same spot as the NAM. Maybe 1mb weaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Nope. That's accumulated snowfall. http://wxcaster.com/regional_snowfall.htm 40inch range Accum Snowfall using Mr. Evan Kuchera algorithm Oops, my bad. I just saw at the bottom where it says new snow OR snow depth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Been super busy with getting things ready for "spring" with my company.....guess I can put that on hold for a few days.... 21Z Plume at JOT with a mean around 5.5 and a nice cluster in the 10 to 12 range... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radioman Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 HR 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 rain for ORD and a grande cheese special? Was thinking a more EUROesque solution but in honor of Moneyman's return...what the hell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 I'll hop aboard the NAM train when the Euro/GFS have similar runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radioman Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 N/NE of 12z RGEM at the same time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 HR 24 Definitely a bit weaker and further south than the NAM. Actually looks pretty close to the 12z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 N/NE of 12z RGEM at the same time. It's almost exactly the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Well, now I just have to stay awake for the GFS. If it comes north we are in business. Gotta get used to the time change with the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Definitely a bit weaker and further south than the NAM. Actually looks pretty close to the 12z run. Looks a hair north to me? Hard to tell from these black and white charts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 4km NAM is SUPER JUICED!!!™ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 LOT AREA FORECAST DISCUSSIONNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL949 PM CDT MON MAR 10 2014.DISCUSSION...948 PM CDTWATER VAPOR IMAGERY THIS EVENING SHOWS OUR NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM OFINTEREST NOW MOVING ACROSS NEVADA. THIS SYSTEM IS EVEN PRODUCINGLIGHTNING STRIKES ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN IDAHO AT THIS TIME.THE NEW 00 UTC NAM IS CURRENTLY ROLLING IN AND IS VERY CONCERNINGFOR MOST OF NORTHERN ILLINOIS TUESDAY NIGHT. IT TRACKS THE LOWERLEVEL CIRCULATION FARTHER NORTH ACROSS NORTHEASTERN MISSOURI ANDCENTRAL ILLINOIS TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS WOULD RESULT IN A MUCH MOREFAVORABLE TRACK FOR HEAVY SNOW INTO NORTHERN ILLINOIS...INCLUDINGTHE CHICAGO METRO AND RFD AREAS. ALSO GIVEN THE GLOBAL MODELS HAVESLOWLY BEEN INCHING NORTHWARD WITH THIS SYSTEM...I CANNOT DISCOUNTTHE NAM SOLUTION. THIS SYSTEM SHOULD HAVE A LOT GOING FORIT...WITH ALL MODELS EVEN INDICATING SOME UPPER LEVEL JET COUPLINGACROSS THE REGION IN CONJUNCTION WITH GOOD FGEN SETTING UP INCONJUNCTION WITH THE LOWER/MID LEVEL CIRCULATION.THEREFORE...HEAVY SNOW...MAYBE EVEN WITH CONVECTION...IS POSSIBLETUESDAY NIGHT AS THE MAIN FORCING SETS UP ACROSS THE AREA.IN SPITE OF ALL THIS...HOWEVER...RATHER THAN SHIFTING THE WATCHNORTHWARD TO INCLUDE NORTHERN ILLINOIS...I WOULD LIKE TO SEE THE NEW00 UTC GLOBAL GUIDANCE BEFORE MAKING ANY MAJOR CHANGES TO THE GOINGHEADLINES...TO ENSURE THAT A FARTHER NORTH SOLUTION IS THE WAY TOGO. AS IT STANDS...THE NAM IS THE FARTHER NORTH WITH THIS SYSTEM.NOW THAT THE MAIN MID/UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM IS ONSHORE ACROSS THEWESTERN CONUS...THE 00UTC RAOBS SHOULD BE SAMPLING IT NOW...SO THENEW GLOBAL GUIDANCE THIS EVENING SHOULD BEGIN TO GET A BETTER HANDLEON THE SYSTEM.KJB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radioman Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 1 mb stronger and practically the same as 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Thru 36, the SFC Low is a hair north of the 0z Nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Looks a hair north to me? Hard to tell from these black and white charts. By 36 it's a bit stronger and a touch north, but still well east of the NAM. CVG vs IND. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 surprised LOT didn't just toss the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 surprised LOT didn't just toss the NAM. Given its persistence, it's hard to just toss it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 By 36 it's a bit stronger and a touch north, but still well east of the NAM. CVG vs IND. Looks like a good hit thru 48 hours. Lets see when the 1hr increments come out. Still a touch East of the 0z Nam, however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 RGEM not playing ball and that's a model that has a tendency to like to amp things up. Bit of a red flag but we'll see what the rest of the suite brings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radioman Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Just because. HRRR hr 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Looks like a good hit thru 48 hours. Lets see when the 1hr increments come out. Still a touch East of the 0z Nam, however. Moderate hit. Looks like maybe a bit more than 1/2" liquid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Wallpaper for Mike. Fully run 0z NAM clownage. Enjoy it while you got it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RJSnowLover Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 surprised LOT didn't just toss the NAM. Made me think of this quote: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 TV mets in full shock and awe mode right now. Caplan busting out the 'major' winter storm wording. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Wallpaper for Mike. Fully run 0z NAM clownage. Enjoy it while you got it. 3:11 0z NAM fully clown.gif Thanks. I'll add it to the pile I wipe my azz with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 The NAM will have to cave by the 06z run if the globals don't play ball (the RGEM isn't), for my health's sake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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