Stebo Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 Agreed. But I do think March will be cold and active. Cold yes, active I am not so sure on yet. Although riding the trend of this winter it will be active but out of the wrong stream, if we want the big storm we will need some southern stream action. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 Feb 28th's record is -1 set back in 1994 http://www.crh.noaa.gov/dtx/display_climate.php?file=records_DTW_Feb_inc.htm . That should still be beaten, assuming the forecast maintains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 That should still be beaten, assuming the forecast maintains. I could be wrong, but the latest GFS runs, at least, haven't been as bullish on the cold, keeping the minus 30 850mb isotherm north of the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 Is this how ice ages begin? Has anyone seen Canada so cold on March 1st? NAEFS is still cold through March 9th.. I'd say we can toss the first 10 days of March as garbage... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 zzzzzzz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 I could be wrong, but the latest GFS runs, at least, haven't been as bullish on the cold, keeping the minus 30 850mb isotherm north of the region. I think that was to be expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 CFS weeklies colder than normal each of the next 4 weeks over the Lakes. Hoping we see some refresher snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 CFS weeklies colder than normal each of the next 4 weeks over the Lakes. Hoping we see some refresher snows. They will come ... boring period will only last so long... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 I think that was to be expected. Very true. The temperatures being predicted earlier were just insane for the time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 zzzzzzz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 zzzzzzz Translation: Congrats ORD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 Taking the op runs verbatim, which obviously is not a great idea anyway, they're all showing a southern stream disturbance later in the work week. GGEM is more amped up and works snow up into northern IL with an inverted trough setup Thursday night into Friday. GFS/Euro keep everything squashed south with the Arctic high overhead. Then toward day 9/10, GFS and Euro still hinting at potential for a southwest flow type system. So there's some hope after the light clipper Monday night. Given that all previous Arctic blasts this winter have produced at least some snow, I continue to think we're not going to go empty handed this time around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 Is this how ice ages begin? Has anyone seen Canada so cold on March 1st? NAEFS is still cold through March 9th.. I'd say we can toss the first 10 days of March as garbage... 12z EURO keeps that -30° air aloft from Minneapolis on northward. GFS drops it briefly into the U.P., but the majority of that air stays north of the border. By the 2nd it's way off to the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chances14 Posted February 23, 2014 Share Posted February 23, 2014 00z gfs showing plenty of storm opportunities in the march 3-10 time frame Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnesota Meso Posted February 23, 2014 Share Posted February 23, 2014 Taking the op runs verbatim, which obviously is not a great idea anyway, they're all showing a southern stream disturbance later in the work week. GGEM is more amped up and works snow up into northern IL with an inverted trough setup Thursday night into Friday. GFS/Euro keep everything squashed south with the Arctic high overhead. Then toward day 9/10, GFS and Euro still hinting at potential for a southwest flow type system. So there's some hope after the light clipper Monday night. Given that all previous Arctic blasts this winter have produced at least some snow, I continue to think we're not going to go empty handed this time around. I've been watching the GGEM and GFS operational vs their ensemble mean forecast. As we approach the 8-10 day period, their ensemble means show a southeastern ridge that is stronger than the operational runs. The operational GFS up to the 23/0z run has been to slow to break down the ridge giving us up here a good snowfall. The GGEM operational has been to fast to break down the ridge thus taking the storm track well to the south of this subforum. The 23/0z run of the GFS now shows a big hit over the IA area, and I think that is close to reality. After all, when we have had a cold dome of air over us this winter the track has favored ORD, LAF etc. I don't think it will be any different this time around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 23, 2014 Share Posted February 23, 2014 lol^ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 23, 2014 Share Posted February 23, 2014 JB keeps it rolling: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 23, 2014 Share Posted February 23, 2014 going cold is such as easy call for March Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 23, 2014 Share Posted February 23, 2014 End of the world... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 23, 2014 Share Posted February 23, 2014 cold and dry....we're locked and loaded in a terrible pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 23, 2014 Share Posted February 23, 2014 going cold is such as easy call for March Geos...doesn't think so. Optimism waning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 23, 2014 Share Posted February 23, 2014 Eventually the pattern will spend itself out. At least the white's are gone on that map above. Some models have been hinting at a change around March 6th or 7th. The increasing lower pressures in the Gulf of Alaska should have some effect on the pattern sooner or later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 23, 2014 Share Posted February 23, 2014 Eventually the pattern will spend itself out. At least the white's are gone on that map above. Some models run have been hinting at a change around March 6th or 7th. The NAEFS seems to be shrinking the core of the cold some... that covers the march 3rd to 10th time frame...so maybe its seeing some change late in that period... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 23, 2014 Share Posted February 23, 2014 Ick to the next week, potential is there after that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 23, 2014 Share Posted February 23, 2014 Geos...doesn't think so. Optimism waning. heres my surprised face Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 23, 2014 Share Posted February 23, 2014 cold lessens but still there weeks 3 and 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted February 23, 2014 Share Posted February 23, 2014 This winter can't end fast enough for the majority of folks including myself. But there is that side of me that wants to smash the all time seasonal snow record for Detroit. Hopefully things get active once again after this fast hitting arctic blast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted February 23, 2014 Share Posted February 23, 2014 cold and dry....we're locked and loaded in a terrible pattern Yep.. Need the trough a little further west. As is sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 This winter can't end fast enough for the majority of folks including myself. But there is that side of me that wants to smash the all time seasonal snow record for Detroit. Hopefully things get active once again after this fast hitting arctic blast. Most of the snow guys are zombies, sick and tired of the never ending work. Some of the seasonal contract companies are nearing closing the doors for good. Only a small few are doing morning site checks any more.... If this weather could only continue for a few more weeks, have a nice little diesel Trawler I'm eyeing up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 This winter can't end fast enough for the majority of folks including myself. But there is that side of me that wants to smash the all time seasonal snow record for Detroit. Hopefully things get active once again after this fast hitting arctic blast. I hope you mean coming in quicker than expected and not here and gone, because it's going to lock in for several days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.