Metsfan Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 GFS has a negative tilt at hour 24. This might show a weenie solution. GFS looks like it will close off in the next frame. This run will see a rapidly deepening storm. EDIT: Closed off at hr. 36. Throws back a lot of moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 GFS looks like it will close off in the next frame. This run will see a rapidly deepening storm. Cape gets rain on this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 That's 2-4 inches. My Hi-res maps show 5-6" bullseye for NYC on the RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 No actually they have 3 zones NYC including queens is 1-3 , wester LI is 2-4 , eastern is in W.S.W for 3-5 with potential of 6-8 I was going by their map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Mt. Holly 2-4" nw nj but 1-2" along and either direction of I-95 and less than an inch near the coast they have a toasty high of 36F IMBY. little wonder their snow totals here are less than inspiring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 .5" to NYC on the GFS. You have my attention. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 they have a toasty high of 36F IMBY. little wonder their snow totals here are less than inspiring. They always seem to be behind upton and have to up totals. This just happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Gfs snow maps are 4-6 for NYC. 2-4 nj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Gfs snow maps are 4-6 for NYC. 2-4 nj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
+SNfreak21 Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Boom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 That's 2-4 inches. If it's 12.5mm its 5 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lord Snot Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 C'mon, if we get 2" I'll be shocked. 18z RGEM is a solid hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 And it might move even more west by 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Wow-that would make many in SE MA unhappy though. That would be a crusher for parts of LI and a nice event all the way to NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Gfs snow maps are 4-6 for NYC. 2-4 njSeems odd considering it gives more qpf to smq than nycEdit actually both locations are exactly. 5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 .5" to NYC on the GFS. You have my attention. lol...yes. Nice run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 NYC jackpot? More than almost all of EMA? Hmmmmmm[/quote Extremely unlikely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Wow, costal New England gets clobbered by this GFS run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 The RGEM and GFS are in my 4 to 6 camp . I think the Canadian was really close . The JMA was .25 to .50 Would love to have the NAM , The Euro just struggles out of the Northern Branch . But that has trended better . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
+SNfreak21 Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Wow-that would make many in SE MA unhappy though. That would be a crusher for parts of LI and a nice event all the way to NYC Who cares? Rack up those snow totals and we might eclipse 2010-11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 18z GFS: 700mb closed low and VVs would put a heavy band of snow over LI and CT: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 I have to think it will back down some from this unless 0z comes in much more amplified but it's good eye candy. 0.75" just about to my house, and it develops the CCB almost overhead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 18z GFS: 700mb closed low and VVs would put a heavy band of snow over LI and CT: Yea now we are a tick or 2 away from a real nice event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
+SNfreak21 Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 What the? When the 18z GFS is amped up like this its a very good sign, it nails the northern stream events, 3-6" likely to catch alot of people off guard tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 14, 2014 Author Share Posted February 14, 2014 Lol the 0c 850 line almost touches Montauk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 I have to think it will back down some from this unless 0z comes in much more amplified but it's good eye candy. 0.75" just about to my house, and it develops the CCB almost overhead. Yea JM even the 1" line is about 20 miles west of the forks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metsfan Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 If it's 12.5mm its 5 inches I gave a general range. Most place probably won't max out at 12.5mm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Lol the 0c 850 line almost touches Montaukif this west trend sticks boston is going to have BL issues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Is it a relatively safe assumption that it will tick more west as early models have consistently erred east this winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 I have to think it will back down some from this unless 0z comes in much more amplified but it's good eye candy. 0.75" just about to my house, and it develops the CCB almost overhead. I can't remember the last time that the GFS beat the Euro in a really amplified pattern with a bombing out low. So I am not sure what the GFS is seeing that the other models aren't. But the 0z runs tonight should really be telling. The GFS wins have generally been weaker systems that overperformed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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